http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-avn.html
There is a twist and some convection in a wave at about 12n 33w. I believe this is the wave the GFS developed a few days ago but none of the models are picking up on this so far.
Wave in Eastern Caribbean
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CalmBeforeStorm
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Wave In East Central Atlantic
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: Wave in Central Atlantic
This wave extends from 10 - 20 North.
The low on the Northern end of the wave can split off and the southern half continue on westward.
The low on the Northern end of the wave can split off and the southern half continue on westward.
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AtlanticWind
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Re: Wave in Central Atlantic
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cycloneye
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Re: Wave in Central Atlantic
2 PM discussion:
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W
TO THE SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WESTWARD 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
THE WAVE SHOWS UP WELL IN LONG-TERM INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE LAST 48 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 33W AND 35W.
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W
TO THE SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WESTWARD 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
THE WAVE SHOWS UP WELL IN LONG-TERM INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE LAST 48 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 33W AND 35W.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Blown Away
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Re: Wave in Central Atlantic
TAFB has our wave moving WNW for next 72 hours.
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Aric Dunn
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THe southern portion of the wave appears to be getting a little better defined and convection building... needs to be watched..
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If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Hurricaneman
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:THe southern portion of the wave appears to be getting a little better defined and convection building... needs to be watched..
This system is looking good below 10N but it probably won't develop due to South America
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Gustywind
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- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 122359
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI JUL 12 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 19N34W
TO 10N35W DRIFTING W. THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE IS WITH THE MID
LEVEL LOW NEAR 11N34W RATHER THAN THE UPPER LEVEL LOCATION OF
THE PAST FEW DAYS. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 33W-36W.
AXNT20 KNHC 122359
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI JUL 12 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 19N34W
TO 10N35W DRIFTING W. THE LOCATION OF THE WAVE IS WITH THE MID
LEVEL LOW NEAR 11N34W RATHER THAN THE UPPER LEVEL LOCATION OF
THE PAST FEW DAYS. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 33W-36W.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130550
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 13 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N35W
TO 8N36W DRIFTING W. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. AN
EMBEDDED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NOTED AT 10N36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 35W-37W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
AXIS.
AXNT20 KNHC 130550
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 13 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N35W
TO 8N36W DRIFTING W. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP
MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. AN
EMBEDDED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NOTED AT 10N36W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 35W-37W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
AXIS.
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Wave in Central Atlantic
8 AM discussion.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 19N36W
TO 8N37W MOVING W AT 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. AN EMBEDDED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NOTED AT
10N37W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-12N BETWEEN 35W-
39W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
AXIS.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 19N36W
TO 8N37W MOVING W AT 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS WITHIN A SURGE OF
DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. AN EMBEDDED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NOTED AT
10N37W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-12N BETWEEN 35W-
39W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
AXIS.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: Wave in Central Atlantic
I noticed that there are two swirling area's. The one on the right is imbedded in a Tropical Wave, the other one not depicted on the Tropical Weather Disco.
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Gustywind
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2 PM Discussion.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N37W
TO 10N38 MOVING W AT 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
SURGE OF MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED. ONLY FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR
THE SOUTHERN END OF THIS WAVE WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TUE.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS FROM 20N37W
TO 10N38 MOVING W AT 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
SURGE OF MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED. ONLY FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR
THE SOUTHERN END OF THIS WAVE WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TUE.
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Gustywind
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8 PM discussion.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 16N39W TO 07N37W AND MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. THIS
WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITHIN THE ITCZ
AND HAS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT AT THIS TIME. THIS WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN VERY EARLY ON TUESDAY.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLC WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 16N39W TO 07N37W AND MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. THIS
WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITHIN THE ITCZ
AND HAS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT AT THIS TIME. THIS WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN VERY EARLY ON TUESDAY.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
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- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
2 AM discussion.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013
A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 17N49W 13N48W
9N46W MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 17N
BETWEEN 50W AND 52W. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO ENTER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY ON TUESDAY.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013
A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 17N49W 13N48W
9N46W MOVING WESTWARD 15 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 17N
BETWEEN 50W AND 52W. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO ENTER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY ON TUESDAY.
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AtlanticWind
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