How many named systems will form in August?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

How many named systems will form in August?

Poll ended at Wed Jul 31, 2013 2:20 pm

One
2
3%
Two
5
7%
Three
4
5%
Four
19
26%
Five
13
18%
Six
16
22%
Seven
6
8%
Eight
2
3%
Nine
4
5%
More than Ten
0
No votes
No Named Systems in August
3
4%
 
Total votes: 74

Message
Author
hurricanehunter69
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 343
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 5:21 pm
Location: New Orleans

#21 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Wed Jul 24, 2013 7:26 pm

I'll go with six.
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#22 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Jul 24, 2013 7:40 pm

None! :lol: wishful thinking.
0 likes   
Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.

SouthFloridian92
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 120
Age: 32
Joined: Tue Dec 11, 2012 4:50 pm
Location: Sebring, Florida

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#23 Postby SouthFloridian92 » Wed Jul 24, 2013 7:48 pm

Five or six.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7351
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#24 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 24, 2013 8:02 pm

5 for the reason that I think up to August 15 there will be 2 and the second half will feature 3 and the majors will be in the second half
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#25 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Jul 24, 2013 8:31 pm

I'm going to go with 6 storms. The Cape Verde has been active generally early this season, and I'm expecting 3 or 4 storms this upcoming month to be long trackers across the Atlantic. Looks like the MJO will be neutral in the coming month, so we shouldn't have many surprising large amount of storms.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#26 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jul 24, 2013 9:42 pm

I voted for 2 in July and will double that and say we will see 4 named systems in August.

Would have gone higher in August if I saw the models showing something for the first week in August which they are not right now.
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#27 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Wed Jul 24, 2013 9:56 pm

FOUR
0 likes   

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5465
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#28 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jul 25, 2013 3:38 am

Yep, 6 sounds good to me; perhaps a bit conservative especially if we soon start to see additional systems coming through the African "birth canal"
0 likes   
Andy D

(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#29 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Jul 25, 2013 4:05 am

I voted for 6. I think the lid could start coming off as we head into the middle of August.
0 likes   

User avatar
ouragans
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 490
Age: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:09 pm
Location: Abymes, Guadeloupe F.W.I
Contact:

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#30 Postby ouragans » Thu Jul 25, 2013 4:43 am

I said 4, but it could easily be 5.
0 likes   
Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.

David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W

User avatar
Kalrany
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 198
Age: 47
Joined: Tue May 07, 2013 2:32 pm
Location: Newark DE

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#31 Postby Kalrany » Thu Jul 25, 2013 10:31 am

Plunked in a 5. Would like it more quiet than that, but get the impression that most people are thinking much more. I'm splitting the difference.
0 likes   
TOTAL NOVICE. The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Lansing MI, Galveston TX, Madison WI, Houston TX, Newark DE

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2419
Age: 30
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

#32 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Jul 25, 2013 5:33 pm

Going with six as well. Half of the six will be hurricanes with one or two majors. Of course I expect the I storm to be dangerous.
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:

#33 Postby Trader Ron » Fri Jul 26, 2013 7:08 am

Going with four. Hope I'm high. :)
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#34 Postby tolakram » Fri Jul 26, 2013 8:21 am

3
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22785
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#35 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jul 26, 2013 12:04 pm

I voted 5, 2 hurricanes no major. I know the subtropics have been relatively quiet but I'm a believer that the east coast will be active. Those waters north of the MDR are awfully warm. I know also the Bermuda high has been dominant but as we head closer to the autumnal equinox I think it will budge.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

RainbowAppleJackDash

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#36 Postby RainbowAppleJackDash » Fri Jul 26, 2013 5:10 pm

tolakram wrote:3


You must be KIDDING right? O_O I wonder why...
0 likes   

Florida1118

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#37 Postby Florida1118 » Fri Jul 26, 2013 5:21 pm

RainbowAppleJackDash wrote:
tolakram wrote:3


You must be KIDDING right? O_O I wonder why...

Why is this so surprising. Its a poll. Calm down.
0 likes   

CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#38 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Fri Jul 26, 2013 6:59 pm

Going with four. Three will be weak/moderate storms just like Chantal and Dorian and one will probably make it to hurricane. Not buying into the hype this year. East coast trough looks like its here to stay along with fronts still coming down and making it all the way down to the gulf. Conditions just aren't there this year, much like last.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6666
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#39 Postby Cyclenall » Fri Jul 26, 2013 7:00 pm

I went with 9, in line with my overall season numbers. 3 major hurricanes out of that.

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Going with four. Three will be weak/moderate storms just like Chantal and Dorian and one will probably make it to hurricane. Not buying into the hype this year. East coast trough looks like its here to stay along with fronts still coming down and making it all the way down to the gulf. Conditions just aren't there this year, much like last.

I'll take a page from RainbowAppleJackDash, you must be KIDDING right? O_O .
0 likes   

CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: How many named systems will form in August?

#40 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Fri Jul 26, 2013 8:27 pm

No, not really. Not talking about overall numbers. Sure there could be 18 total weak systems that just make names and make the forecasts look good. I'm talking about number of hurricanes and potential impact. We have been dominated by fronts and east coast troughs on a weekly basis and until that changes I won't change my opinion.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 48 guests