ATL: GABRIELLE - Remnants - Discussion

[Fego]

Barbados' radar.
http://i41.tinypic.com/20h68sl.png

Radar is down in Barbados that picis from Aug 27
In the south of the island skies are getting darker and wind seems tobe from NNW

My bad.

[caribsue]

Its ok I made the same mistake early this morning its a shame its not working though

[caribsue]

This is where you can look for Barbados

http://www.brohavwx.com/

[Fego]

Its ok I made the same mistake early this morning its a shame its not working though

Thanks, twice.

[blp]

Oscat pass. Looks good. Still elongated but tighter than earlier.

[hurricanes1234]

I know this is a far-fetched question, but what are the chances of this becoming a major hurricane?

['CaneFreak]

I see that low level circulation but I also see another strong mid level circulation further east under the convection. Still 20 to 30 knots of shear over it. I guess you are right. This will likely take a while to develop. I am just trying to get caught up on things as I have been away for a couple of days. Wonder if a new low level circulation will form further east under the convection as the one further west has little if any convection over it now?

the BT is also not right. The "center" is closer to 62W now. Shows up very clearly on visible imagery

[cycloneye]

I see that low level circulation but I also see another strong mid level circulation further east under the convection. Still 30 knots of shear over it. I guess you are right. This will likely take a while to develop. I am just trying to get caught up on things as I have been away for a couple of days. Wonder if a new low level circulation will form further east under the convection as the one further west has little if any convection over it now?

the BT is also not right. The "center" is closer to 62W now. Shows up very clearly on visible imagery

Best Track has it more to the east.

AL, 97, 2013090118, , BEST, 0, 146N, 597W, 30, 1008, LO

[SouthDadeFish]

Alyono, the recent OSCAT pass shows the more dominant surface circulation center still east of 60W. I think you are chasing an eddy... Also Barbados surface winds also suggest a surface circulation east of 60W...

['CaneFreak]

Agreed. Best surface convergence is east.

Alyono, the recent OSCAT pass shows the more dominant surface circulation center still east of 60W. I think you are chasing an eddy... Also Barbados surface winds also suggest a surface circulation east of 60W...

[caribsue]

Waterspout of the NW coast of Barbados spotted a few minutes ago

[abajan]

Alyono, the recent OSCAT pass shows the more dominant surface circulation center still east of 60W. I think you are chasing an eddy... Also Barbados surface winds also suggest a surface circulation east of 60W...

Yes, I wanted to point out that fact but it's better coming from a meteorologist to another meteorologist.

[NDG]

Oscat pass. Looks good. Still elongated but tighter than earlier.

That looks tight enough to me, though it missed most of the western quadrant of the disturbance.

[cycloneye]

TAFB confirms more east position at 18z analysis.

[CalmBeforeStorm]

I was told this wave was dead so I've been watching football all weekend. What's going on?

[Hammy]

Looks far less elongated than it did yesterday but it still isn't clear if there is a single dominant LLC inside or if its like Isaac last year, given that the OSCAT I believe tends to be lower resolution than ASCAT.

[USTropics]

Low-level vorticity actually has been building west over the past 6 hours. Still concentrated on the eastern side though. Here's a saved loop from CIMSS. There is still poor mid-level vorticity and UL continues to be stretched but has improved.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I know this is a far-fetched question, but what are the chances of this becoming a major hurricane?

All models have historically been lacking when it comes to intensity forecasting. Heck, even the NHC still has issues with such. What I'm saying is who knows, we'll just have to wait and see for now.

[USTropics]

I know this is a far-fetched question, but what are the chances of this becoming a major hurricane?

All models have historically been lacking when it comes to intensity forecasting. Heck, even the NHC still has issues with such. What I'm saying is who knows, we'll just have to wait and see for now.

Let's just say the models, for the most part, have been having a down year on top of their historical issues with intensity guidance accuracy. If the right environment is present, and UL conditions improve, the western Caribbean has the highest heat potential in the Atlantic right now.

[txwxpirate]

You can't go wrong if you say: Its not coming to Texas. Other than that, its up for grabs if it develops.

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