ATL: GABRIELLE - Remnants - Discussion

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HurricaneDREW92
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Re:

#901 Postby HurricaneDREW92 » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:53 pm

alienstorm wrote:A flight level wind of over 60 mph just reported

Time: 19:30:00Z
Coordinates: 17.0N 65.5167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 971.1 mb (~ 28.68 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 348 meters (~ 1,142 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1010.4 mb (~ 29.84 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 97° at 35 knots (From the E at ~ 40.2 mph)
Air Temp: 21.8°C (~ 71.2°F)
Dew Pt: 21.8°C (~ 71.2°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 36 knots (~ 41.4 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 58 knots (~ 66.7 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 44 mm/hr (~ 1.73 in/hr)
(*) Denotes suspect data


Surface translation?
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#902 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:53 pm

circ still a little elongated but this pass has better definition.
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Re:

#903 Postby lester » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:53 pm

alienstorm wrote:A flight level wind of over 60 mph just reported

Time: 19:30:00Z
Coordinates: 17.0N 65.5167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 971.1 mb (~ 28.68 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 348 meters (~ 1,142 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1010.4 mb (~ 29.84 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 97° at 35 knots (From the E at ~ 40.2 mph)
Air Temp: 21.8°C (~ 71.2°F)
Dew Pt: 21.8°C (~ 71.2°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 36 knots (~ 41.4 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 58 knots (~ 66.7 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 44 mm/hr (~ 1.73 in/hr)
(*) Denotes suspect data


that sfmr data is rain-contaminated
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Re: Re:

#904 Postby alienstorm » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:54 pm

HurricaneDREW92 wrote:
alienstorm wrote:A flight level wind of over 60 mph just reported

Time: 19:30:00Z
Coordinates: 17.0N 65.5167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 971.1 mb (~ 28.68 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 348 meters (~ 1,142 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1010.4 mb (~ 29.84 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 97° at 35 knots (From the E at ~ 40.2 mph)
Air Temp: 21.8°C (~ 71.2°F)
Dew Pt: 21.8°C (~ 71.2°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 36 knots (~ 41.4 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 58 knots (~ 66.7 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 44 mm/hr (~ 1.73 in/hr)
(*) Denotes suspect data


Surface translation?


SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 58 knots (~ 66.7 mph)
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#905 Postby 'CaneFreak » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:54 pm

Aric, convection is popping this afternoon over that low level circulation well to the northeast of 97L as well. HMMMMMMM...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/97L/imagery/rgb_lalo-animated.gif
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Re: Re:

#906 Postby RL3AO » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:54 pm

alienstorm wrote:SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 58 knots (~ 66.7 mph)


The flight level winds in the one above it (36 knots)
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Re: Re:

#907 Postby adam0983 » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:55 pm

What are the odds that the trough will send Invest 97L out to sea? Just an opinion not a forecast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#908 Postby hurricanes1234 » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:55 pm

Is the area east of the Bahamas favourable? What is the shear like? :oops:
Last edited by hurricanes1234 on Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#909 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:56 pm

'CaneFreak wrote:Aric, convection is popping this afternoon over that low level circulation well to the northeast of 97L as well. HMMMMMMM...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/97L/imagery/rgb_lalo-animated.gif


yeppers... lets see it can become a little more defined ..
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#910 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:57 pm

looks like a super-cell type feature over the center

could lead to short term RI
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Re:

#911 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:59 pm

Alyono wrote:looks like a super-cell type feature over the center

could lead to short term RI

Well I guess the question is not whether is a depression but whether it is a storm or not by the 5pm EST advisory?

You got to think they are going to name this by 5pm EST.
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#912 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:59 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:circ still a little elongated but this pass has better definition.



Also notice that the pressure dropped to 1009mb from 1011mb on the earlier fixed center or windshift
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Re:

#913 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:59 pm

Alyono wrote:looks like a super-cell type feature over the center

could lead to short term RI


yeah, a hot tower. should also help tighten up the circ.
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#914 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:01 pm

Doppler velocity showing a better wind profile with the recon location on the line between towards away unlike the earlier wind shift.. also showing 50kt winds at 9000k feet in that tower..
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#915 Postby HurriGuy » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:06 pm

Latest models show that not as many of the models ae recurving.
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#916 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:08 pm

97L is beginning to absorb the disturbance to its northeast. This should lead to an increase in size, further exaggerating the flooding event expected over Puerto Rico and perhaps eastern Hispaniola. Both should be preparing for a tropical storm.
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#917 Postby SeGaBob » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:10 pm

I wonder which computer model the NHC is going to lean towards on their track if they initiate advisories... :)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#918 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:11 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972013_al072013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201309042009
NONE
NOTIFY
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#919 Postby NDG » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:12 pm

In just 6 hours 97L is organized better fairly fast.

Image
Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#920 Postby torrea40 » Wed Sep 04, 2013 3:13 pm

cycloneye wrote:BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972013_al072013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201309042009
NONE
NOTIFY


It's a Depression.??????
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