Texas Fall 2013

[PTrackerLA]

Scheduled to fly through DFW midday Sunday . Should I start to look into other options anticipating a major winter storm in that area? I'd imagine 1 inch of sleet/freezing rain would pretty much shut down the airport. This is just great...

[somethingfunny]

Scheduled to fly through DFW midday Sunday . Should I start to look into other options anticipating a major winter storm in that area? I'd imagine 1 inch of sleet/freezing rain would pretty much shut down the airport. This is just great...

Yup I'd definitely be looking at other options..... good luck!

[joshskeety]

Sleet here in downtown Ft Worth where I work.. Sleeting pretty good too..


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[downsouthman1]

This whole storm is tricky. The SoCal ULL is not moving right now. If anything, it's retrograding a tad. & I know that the ULL currently over Ontario will force another cold shot over the top of the one that's here now & will increase the depth of the cold air. Just wondering if in fact SoCal ULL will move in time.

[Portastorm]

The West Texas field office of the PWC is reporting freezing rain and sleet in Lubbock with conditions deteriorating.

[ndale]

Looking at info and posts from Texas Storm Chaser's facebook page and northwest Tx is already becoming a mess.

[ndale]

Just for a moments diversion from todays weather and just for fun because I know this will change, the gfs for Dec. 8 show almost the whole state of Tx under snow cover.

[downsouthman1]

Just for a moments diversion from todays weather and just for fun because I know this will change, the gfs for Dec. 8 show almost the whole state of Tx under snow cover.

Well we were warned that this could just be the tip of the iceberg.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

34 degrees and very light rain in Richardson, humidity at 93%. This is getting close!

[downsouthman1]

I noticed with this current shortwave moving through that even extremely light radar returns are reaching the ground. Will be interesting how the ULL remoistens the column after the potential drying trend tomorrow. That is, if we even get much of a dry slot at all. Those WV loops are nuts.

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

[Kalrany]

51 in the med center of downtown Houston, with 95% humidity.

66 with 100% humidity in Galveston.

Was very foggy this morning, but is clear now. No rain yet, but we are waiting......

[Janie2006]

This is becoming insane. Well, I wouldn't want to be driving right now. I can't recall the last time this happened before Thanksgiving, with the freezing precip making its way across into Northern Mississippi, Alabama and the Smokies by Wednesday. I'm shaking my head at these soundings from BUFKIT.

[joshskeety]

I noticed with this current shortwave moving through that even extremely light radar returns are reaching the ground. Will be interesting how the ULL remoistens the column after the potential drying trend tomorrow. That is, if we even get much of a dry slot at all. Those WV loops are nuts.

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

lol.. The Gulf of Mexico my friend...

If there is any dry slot it will be short lived and way south, but since the ULL will be moisture pumpfest, I doubt the existence of one until well east of any of us...

[downsouthman1]

I noticed with this current shortwave moving through that even extremely light radar returns are reaching the ground. Will be interesting how the ULL remoistens the column after the potential drying trend tomorrow. That is, if we even get much of a dry slot at all. Those WV loops are nuts.

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

lol.. The Gulf of Mexico my friend...

If there is any dry slot it will be short lived and way south, but since the ULL will be moisture pumpfest, I doubt the existence of one until well east of any of us...

That's my current thoughts. The dry slot begins after the ULL & GOM surface low passes east.

[orangeblood]

Well this morning's model runs are really starting to come together outside of the GFS, which looks like a convoluted mess. The Bulls Eye for this event looks like it will be from DFW to Stephenville to Brownwood, 50 miles either side of this line appears to be ground zero with sleet/freezing rain the dominate precip type. Too early to call amounts though, will wait until tomorrow morning

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[downsouthman1]

Well this morning's model runs are really starting to come together outside of the GFS, which looks like a convoluted mess. The Bulls Eye for this event looks like it will be from DFW to Stephenville to Brownwood, 50 miles either side of this line appears to be ground zero with sleet/freezing rain the dominate precip type. Too early to call amounts though, will wait until tomorrow morning

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

I'm thinking that's the north edge of the bullseye.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Put up my new ambient weather station last night and i have 50.5F here in Sugar land. Its working great, just wish i didnt have such an obstruction so i could get good wind readings. I imagine when the sun goes down the temp will drop nicely. My buddy is in San Angelo for a wedding and he says EVERYTHING is frozen around him. That was a few hours ago.

[joshskeety]

Well this morning's model runs are really starting to come together outside of the GFS, which looks like a convoluted mess. The Bulls Eye for this event looks like it will be from DFW to Stephenville to Brownwood, 50 miles either side of this line appears to be ground zero with sleet/freezing rain the dominate precip type. Too early to call amounts though, will wait until tomorrow morning

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

I'm thinking that's the north edge of the bullseye.

North edge of this will be Wichita falls to Ft. Smith Arkansas.. Orangeblood is about right.. If I were to put a dart at it, which its simply just too early still, I would say center of the bullseye for precipitation is draw a line from Brownwood to Commerce, Texas and go 50 miles on the other axis.. The question is going to be temperature and sounding to what type of precip it will be... Of course the further south you go, the warmer the temps will be so weather the Austin area will see anything other than rain will depend how much cold air there is..

[downsouthman1]

Heavy rain, 36 degrees with a 30 degree dewpoint here in Temple, TX right now.

[orangeblood]

Well this morning's model runs are really starting to come together outside of the GFS, which looks like a convoluted mess. The Bulls Eye for this event looks like it will be from DFW to Stephenville to Brownwood, 50 miles either side of this line appears to be ground zero with sleet/freezing rain the dominate precip type. Too early to call amounts though, will wait until tomorrow morning

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

I'm thinking that's the north edge of the bullseye.

Took a blend of the European and NAM for this one. Also, pay attention to tonight's European run, it is starting to trend much further south with the ULL. If this were to verify, it could tap into the gulf and create a decent snowstorm on the backside of the low Tuesday morning.