Texas Winter 2013-2014

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Beware Texas the hounds of hell and their Master are moving quickly your way!

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=582849601798030

[Rgv20]

18zNAM shows some Winter Fun for the RGV!

[dhweather]

The 12Z GFS is consistent with yesterday. Broken record of drought with some cold mixed in through Feb 3, then BLAMMO. It's gotta be Lucy, I'm not buying it.

[Stormnut]

Winter storm watch for Houston just issued

[Rgv20]

NWS Houston just issued a Winter Storm Watch!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
257 PM CST SUN JAN 26 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR TUESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA LATE MONDAY DROPPING
TEMPERATURES TO AROUND FREEZING TO WELL BELOW FREEZING TUESDAY
MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE TOWARD THE REGION
FROM THE SOUTHWEST HELPING TO INITIATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SNOW...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET. THIS WINTER PRECIPITATION SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST BY EVENING ALONG THE COAST. SIGNIFICANT ICING IS LIKELY
ACROSS THE REGION. SNOW FALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES SHOULD
BE COMMON OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BOTTOM OUT WEDNESDAY MORNING
IN THE 20-25 DEGREE RANGE FROM INTERSTATE 10 NORTHWARD.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE BACK ABOVE FREEZING AFTER NOON ON
WEDNESDAY.

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-270500-
/O.NEW.KHGX.WS.A.0002.140128T0900Z-140129T0600Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...
COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...CONROE...CORRIGAN...
CROCKETT...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...
FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...GROVETON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...HUNTSVILLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...LIVINGSTON...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PALACIOS...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND...
ROSENBERG...SEALY...SHEPHERD...SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...
THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS...
WINNIE
257 PM CST SUN JAN 26 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WITH SOME PATCHY FREEZING RAIN WILL
DEVELOP AROUND COLLEGE STATION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN EXPAND
EAST AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE HUNTSVILLE AND CONROE AREAS
EVENTUALLY REACHING THE HOUSTON METROPLEX AROUND NOON. CLOSER TO
THE COAST FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE THE MORE COMMON FORM
OF PRECIPITATION AND SHOULD DEVELOP AROUND 3 PM. THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND AROUND THE COAST BY 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...VERY COLD ROAD SURFACES WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. SURFACE ROADS ARE LIKELY TO BE
IMPACTED IN ADDITION TO ELEVATED ROADWAYS. ELEVATED ROADWAYS MAY
BE ENTIRELY IMPASSABLE. TRAVEL MAY BE SEVERELY LIMITED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

[hriverajr]

Geeshh my weather station here in del Rio registered a high of 87 today. it is fan aspirated too

88 now

[dhweather]

[dhweather]

Geeshh my weather station here in del Rio registered a high of 87 today. it is fan aspirated too

Davis VP2 ? That's what I've got.

[TheProfessor]

The 12Z GFS is consistent with yesterday. Broken record of drought with some cold mixed in through Feb 3, then BLAMMO. It's gotta be Lucy, I'm not buying it.

That would be a lot of snow on the ground for along time. I truly hope that happens. and if that 35 got to 32 we would be talking about records.

Could you possibly do one for DFW airport too?

[Ntxw]

Reiterate, the same GFS/GEFS that BLOWTORCHED the country the rest of January from the 15th.

[dhweather]

12 GFS DFW almost identical to Mesquite

[TheProfessor]

12 GFS DFW almost identical to Mesquite

yes, but that 34 degrees can make a huge difference! I sure hope the Gfs isn't toying with DFW.

[dhweather]

It's beyond 5 days out, well beyond at that, so don't get your hopes up. The only thing that is remotely encouraging with it is that the GFS is somewhat consistent with this.

[srainhoutx]

NWS Lake Charles and New Orleans issue a Winter Storm Watch.

[ndale]

EWX point forecast shows them not expecting much for my area.

Monday Night
A slight chance of flurries after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 24. North northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday
A slight chance of snow before 10am, then a slight chance of freezing rain and sleet between 10am and noon, then a slight chance of rain after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 36. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

[Jagno]

NWS Lake Charles and New Orleans issue a Winter Storm Watch.

I just checked our local NWS page again and apparently it's not been updated because we still show no Winter Storm Watch. I was curious how they could issue watches for a few miles west of me and not us. Are we in a bubble here in Lake Charles?

[Wntrwthrguy]

EWX point forecast shows them not expecting much for my area.

Monday Night
A slight chance of flurries after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 24. North northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday
A slight chance of snow before 10am, then a slight chance of freezing rain and sleet between 10am and noon, then a slight chance of rain after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 36. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Just about to say the same thing. Not very promising looking at that forecast.

[Ntxw]

This is amazing, you do not see this everyday. (Lake Charles will fill in), Warm Pool strikes again!

[Portastorm]

Just read the afternoon AFD out of EWX. Another head scratcher to me. They mention less precip for this coming event than the last one, yet the GFS is showing higher qpf values for this event than it did for the last one. They also mention an all-rain precip event during Tuesday 11 am-7 pm! Whaaa??!! All of the GFS grid numbers show temps in the AUS-SAT area at or below freezing during the day. Very strange.

It's an ultra conservative approach to be sure. Hey look, I wasn't expecting a Blizzard Watch out of them but I certainly wasn't expecting this either. Oh well.

[Wntrwthrguy]

Just read the afternoon AFD out of EWX. Another head scratcher to me. They mention less precip for this coming event than the last one, yet the GFS is showing higher qpf values for this event than it did for the last one. They also mention an all-rain precip event during Tuesday 11 am-7 pm! Whaaa??!! All of the GFS grid numbers show temps in the AUS-SAT area at or below freezing during the day. Very strange.

It's an ultra conservative approach to be sure. Hey look, I wasn't expecting a Blizzard Watch out of them but I certainly wasn't expecting this either. Oh well.

Porta, what would you say your confidence level is heading into this possible weather event compared to the same timeframe to last week's?