
Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion

0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
HurriGuy wrote:
Oh wow. That puts BTR between .5 and 1" of QPF.
0 likes
just a side note
GFS doing well with placement of ULL over Baja California in real time. Hopefully everything else follows good timing.
GFS doing well with placement of ULL over Baja California in real time. Hopefully everything else follows good timing.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
They have me listed in Prairieville, but really more to Port Vincent.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Garden district here!
Entergy reporting possible 3-5 days without power:
http://www.entergy.com/news_room/newsre ... NR_ID=2846
Entergy reporting possible 3-5 days without power:
http://www.entergy.com/news_room/newsre ... NR_ID=2846
0 likes
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Mobile forecast office mentioned in a discussion update that dew points were crashing lower than expected, and below zero dewpoints were just north of the area. Basically. Their point being that it lends credence to the super cooled lower atmosphere once precip starts.
If dew points really are in the teens on the coast when this precip moves in, it seems a no brainer they will be getting sleet and freezing rain in an upper 20s lower atmosphere.
For example, last friday the forecast for Pascagoula area was 40 and the surface freezing line on models were a good bit north of there...but With precip and wet bulbing the temp hovered around 32 with sleet and freezing rain.
If dew points really are in the teens on the coast when this precip moves in, it seems a no brainer they will be getting sleet and freezing rain in an upper 20s lower atmosphere.
For example, last friday the forecast for Pascagoula area was 40 and the surface freezing line on models were a good bit north of there...but With precip and wet bulbing the temp hovered around 32 with sleet and freezing rain.
0 likes
- CaneCurious
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 160
- Joined: Wed Aug 25, 2004 1:40 pm
- Location: Kenner, LA
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
windnrain wrote:HurriGuy wrote:
Oh wow. That puts BTR between .5 and 1" of QPF.
Beaumont looks like between .1 and .25 of QPF. That would be either a lot of ice, or 2.5 inches of snow if we use a 10x conversion rate. Beaumont certainly looks to be seeing some frozen precip!
0 likes
- MGC
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5899
- Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
- Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Less than 24 hours out now so the models should be ball park. Last Friday the models got it wrong here on the Miss Coast. We got down to around 30 due to wet bulbing the models didn't account for.....with the dry air moving down tonight, I might suspect the same thing will occur tomorrow when the precipt start falling and evaporates into the dry air over most of the region. We should quickly get below freezing. By 11pm Friday night, my car was coated with ice. Also, the models didn't forecast the amount of QPF we got. We will have to see how they do. I'm still a bit gun shy....I've seen too many times when a winter weather forecast busts big time down here......MGC
0 likes
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Breck downplayed effects on the Southshore during the 9 o'clock news, but I didn't watch him at 10. He showed one radar model that mostly just showed a little rain with most out of here in the afternoon. Then he ran vipir which painted some frozen precip bands across sela and swms. GFS shows the second burst off the mouth of the mississippi River. So as it should be, the effects on this side the lake are a tough call.
0 likes
Dewpoint/Temp finally starting to drop steadily now thought it would drop a bit earlier tonight but its happening now so, time to see what happens. Personally i'm hoping for more snow than ice but, fear i'm a bit to far south and we'll see a bit more of what we saw last friday versus the 08' snow.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests