Texas Winter 2013-2014

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ravyrn
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5781 Postby ravyrn » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:05 am

Per the 0Z NAM and GFS last night...

Sugar Land is now just 2F above the forecasted temp on the NAM and 5F off the GFS. It's cooling down quickly.
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#5782 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:06 am

Let's see if we can give your temps a further chill....this is it when it roared through Grand Forks (and it arrived here quicker than was originally predicted). Sending wishes that you get all the snow you want!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTVuDIXe3IY#t=12

Heading down to -29C here again tonight....

....find your hoodies, and make some snowmen way, way, way down there! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5783 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:13 am

That was a rapid drop in temperatures around 9:30 I went out to look at the thermometer with light rain falling and it showed 34 degrees. Within 40 minutes I went to check and it showed 26 on a thermometer I have about 50 feet away from the house. Also have a second thermometer further out. I have a Galaxy S4. The awesome thing about this phone is it has built in weather sensors including Temp, Barometer, realitive humidity as well as some others. I have a weather station app. Left the phone outside where it wouldn't get wet and left it for 5 minutes. It is pretty accurate too and showed 26 degrees. I'm getting ready to go back out there and try another reading with my phone. I'll need to be careful though cause I saw that ice has started to coat the limestone patio we have and it's not fun at all to slip.
Last edited by JDawg512 on Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:14 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5784 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:13 am

South Texas Storms wrote:0z Euro is a lot wetter for you as well Rgv. The trend is your friend tonight!


0zECMWF has around 0.10-0.15 of precip for my area from Midnight to 6AM Wednesday. The real winners with precip is the McAllen and Harlingen area with 0.20-0.30. Interesting weather setting up here that's for sure!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5785 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:21 am

I'm not sure why EWX continues to say that only light amounts expected. I'm looking at a NEXRAD radar right now and it looks like the precipitation is beginning to redevelop out over the Hill Country and train across the Austin area. It's not moving. Earlier it looked like it was just going to move west to east with a break but that doesn't look to be the case now. If it continues to redevelop and move over the same areas we could be dealing with some nasty problems.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5786 Postby downsouthman1 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:23 am

JDawg512 wrote:That was a rapid drop in temperatures around 9:30 I went out to look at the thermometer with light rain falling and it showed 34 degrees. Within 40 minutes I went to check and it showed 26 on a thermometer I have about 50 feet away from the house. Also have a second thermometer further out. I have a Galaxy S4. The awesome thing about this phone is it has built in weather sensors including Temp, Barometer, realitive humidity as well as some others. I have a weather station app. Left the phone outside where it wouldn't get wet and left it for 5 minutes. It is pretty accurate too and showed 26 degrees. I'm getting ready to go back out there and try another reading with my phone. I'll need to be careful though cause I saw that ice has started to coat the limestone patio we have and it's not fun at all to slip.

The Galaxy S4 does not have what you think it does. That info is fed to it by NWS reports at your nearest large airport. My reports automatically come from the GRK site.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5787 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:44 am

freezing rain has started here in college station. to be honest Im pretty surprised, both stations nearby are reading at either 35.4 or 33.6
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5788 Postby SouthernMet » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:48 am

Despite very dry dew points in Central tx, they seem to be getting a lot of "action" atm
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5789 Postby ROCK » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:49 am

I am amazed how the 0Z models did an about face tonight. Just goes to show how unpredictable these types of setups can be.

It has been fun though tracking with you guys. I am usually a TC geek so winter is not my specialty... :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5790 Postby ravyrn » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:53 am

ROCK wrote:I am amazed how the 0Z models did an about face tonight. Just goes to show how unpredictable these types of setups can be.

It has been fun though tracking with you guys. I am usually a TC geek so winter is not my specialty... :D


ROCK, what do you mean? The 0Z GFS trended dryer from the meteograms I looked at in SETX/SWLA. I'm watching the sky at this point, but I'm interested to know what you mean about the "about face" you're referring to. I haven't looked at the NAM or CMC, are they wetter?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5791 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:58 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:freezing rain has started here in college station. to be honest Im pretty surprised, both stations nearby are reading at either 35.4 or 33.6


Really? I haven't gotten anything at my place yet. Ground is still dry.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5792 Postby ROCK » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:04 am

ravyrn wrote:
ROCK wrote:I am amazed how the 0Z models did an about face tonight. Just goes to show how unpredictable these types of setups can be.

It has been fun though tracking with you guys. I am usually a TC geek so winter is not my specialty... :D


ROCK, what do you mean? The 0Z GFS trended dryer from the meteograms I looked at in SETX/SWLA. I'm watching the sky at this point, but I'm interested to know what you mean about the "about face" you're referring to. I haven't looked at the NAM or CMC, are they wetter?


the hi-res NAM was wetter as was the 12Z and 0Z CMC....not too much but approaching that .25 amount that makes overpasses dangerous....HGX just updated their discussion. Similar event to Fridays for us here in Houston and surrounding areas.

now for you guys in LA that is a whole different animal....snow more is likely along with a mix....
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5793 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:06 am

Tonight's 0z Euro shows more potential winter precip for Texas in the 6-10 day range. It's almost our snow month in central and SE TX!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5794 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:07 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:freezing rain has started here in college station. to be honest Im pretty surprised, both stations nearby are reading at either 35.4 or 33.6


Really? I haven't gotten anything at my place yet. Ground is still dry.

yeah the ground is still damp at best, but cars are starting to get a little ice on them. just some frozen droplets, its a start I guess
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5795 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:11 am

:uarrow: Ah maybe that's why I didn't see it. If there is another layer of ice on the ground tomorrow, A&M better not make us go to class like they did during the last event. That was just stupid.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5796 Postby ravyrn » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:25 am

ROCK wrote:
ravyrn wrote:
ROCK wrote:I am amazed how the 0Z models did an about face tonight. Just goes to show how unpredictable these types of setups can be.

It has been fun though tracking with you guys. I am usually a TC geek so winter is not my specialty... :D


ROCK, what do you mean? The 0Z GFS trended dryer from the meteograms I looked at in SETX/SWLA. I'm watching the sky at this point, but I'm interested to know what you mean about the "about face" you're referring to. I haven't looked at the NAM or CMC, are they wetter?


the hi-res NAM was wetter as was the 12Z and 0Z CMC....not too much but approaching that .25 amount that makes overpasses dangerous....HGX just updated their discussion. Similar event to Fridays for us here in Houston and surrounding areas.

now for you guys in LA that is a whole different animal....snow more is likely along with a mix....


10-4. Best of luck you yall down south. I'm no longer in LC, I'm up near Tyler. Radar echos say snow is approaching me, but it is virga thus far :(

EDIT: The heavy band just rolled through here in Jacksonville, and I'm not seeing anything. Those dew points are overpowering the precip this far north. Best of luck you yall down south.
Last edited by ravyrn on Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5797 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:30 am

downsouthman1 wrote:
JDawg512 wrote:That was a rapid drop in temperatures around 9:30 I went out to look at the thermometer with light rain falling and it showed 34 degrees. Within 40 minutes I went to check and it showed 26 on a thermometer I have about 50 feet away from the house. Also have a second thermometer further out. I have a Galaxy S4. The awesome thing about this phone is it has built in weather sensors including Temp, Barometer, realitive humidity as well as some others. I have a weather station app. Left the phone outside where it wouldn't get wet and left it for 5 minutes. It is pretty accurate too and showed 26 degrees. I'm getting ready to go back out there and try another reading with my phone. I'll need to be careful though cause I saw that ice has started to coat the limestone patio we have and it's not fun at all to slip.


The Galaxy S4 does not have what you think it does. That info is fed to it by NWS reports at your nearest large airport. My reports automatically come from the GRK site.


Actually it does have those sensors you can look at the specs.

Also the closest airport to me is ABIA and it's showing a different temperature than what the reading is here. For more proof the thermometers in my yard have the same temp as what my phone is picking up. Humidity is up from earlier as well. Temp as of 6 minutes ago is hovering at 26.86 earlier it was 26.14 so looks like it's not going down any farther.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5798 Postby ROCK » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:31 am

:uarrow: you are too dry....unfortunately....think your dew point is like 0F....

but I wouldnt sweat it...you get yours coming up next week... :D
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#5799 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:31 am

44.2 here now. Ready for some precip now
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Re:

#5800 Postby ROCK » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:36 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:44.2 here now. Ready for some precip now



yeah its moving in quicker now. I am seeing many WSs in Sugarland around 40-42 out to your west...22-24 dewpoint...

Pearland still at 48-49 so wont be long..
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