Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

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JDawg512
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6021 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:33 pm

Glad to see blue sky to the northwest. Still have ice coating my car, hopefully that will melt quickly once the sun comes out.

I for one am glad Austin Community College canceled all classes today. The first alert came out just after 8 stating they would open after 12, then another alert came about 35 minutes after saying they will be closed all day. I would have had to leave at 2 for my 3 p.m. class and obviously it didn't warm up as quickly as they originally thought since ice is layered on my car.
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Re:

#6022 Postby Portastorm » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:34 pm

Red Raider fan wrote:Ok i'm confused, why is Brownsville talking about a second surge of cold arctic air moving in there and i havent heard of that for my neck of the woods? :double:


I believe they are referring to the area/airmass of drier dew points which is heading down into the Valley. Just like what happened in SC and SE Texas, once the precip starts falling in the Valley it will quickly drag surface temperatures down. There is no secondary surge of Arctic air, per se.
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Re: Re:

#6023 Postby Tireman4 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:34 pm

Portastorm wrote:
stormywaves wrote:I don't post too often but I love to read. Do you think they will extend the advisory for the Houston area?


We're glad you're here and thanks for updating your profile. And to answer your question, no, I do not think HGX will extend the Winter Weather Advisory for the overnight.




I would not. This is not in the Advisory criteria...

From HGX Special Weather Statement:

THROUGH 7 PM...A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES WILL MOVE EAST INTO
THE REGION FROM THE HILL COUNTRY. NO ACCUMULATIONS IS EXPECTED.

DAMP PLACES AND PUDDLES ON THE ROADS WILL ICE UP ON ROADS AS
TEMPERATURES THAT ARE NEAR FREEZING CONTINUE TO FALL THIS EVENING.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... ugiIPvnYsZ
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Re: Re:

#6024 Postby stormywaves » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:34 pm

Portastorm wrote:
stormywaves wrote:I don't post too often but I love to read. Do you think they will extend the advisory for the Houston area?


We're glad you're here and thanks for updating your profile. And to answer your question, no, I do not think HGX will extend the Winter Weather Advisory for the overnight.



Thanks!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6025 Postby TexasStorm » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:38 pm

orangeblood wrote:12Z Euro coming in deeper and colder for early next week...has it all for North Texas - severe thunderstorms, freezing rain, sleet then snow on Tuesday



And then the flip/flop (no pun intended) 18z flips us back to the warmer weather along with a side of severe storms. The GFS that is.
Last edited by TexasStorm on Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6026 Postby Red Raider fan » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:39 pm

Ok thanks Porta, its just that i read their winter weather advisory and in it it said there was a second surge of cold arctic air, i live well north of them and i was thinking if so it would go through my area first, but there is no more advisories for my area. Thanks for the clarification. :D
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#6027 Postby Red Raider fan » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:41 pm

I have to agree with you on that Texastorm, lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6028 Postby hriverajr » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:43 pm

We have a dewpoint of -2 in Del Rio.. how is that for dry?!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6029 Postby weatherguy425 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:45 pm

hriverajr wrote:We have a dewpoint of -2 in Del Rio.. how is that for dry?!




I'll raise you your -2°, for this morning's -10° in my neck of the woods!
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#6030 Postby Red Raider fan » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:52 pm

Where can i look to see what is coming for next week?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6031 Postby TexasStorm » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:52 pm

hriverajr wrote:We have a dewpoint of -2 in Del Rio.. how is that for dry?!



Good time to go around shocking people! :Kick"
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#6032 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:53 pm

Radar just blew up over SA

Can i stick my neck out and say were half way through?
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Re:

#6033 Postby davidiowx » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:56 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Radar just blew up over SA


I was literally about to post the same thing. Hoping it holds together to get here. It looks like there is more moisture out west per this loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/avn-animated.gif
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6034 Postby Tireman4 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 4:57 pm

Moderate sleet in Humble at this moment. I expect this on and off tonight.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6035 Postby TexasF6 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:11 pm

Porta? can you please, please, please do something about our idiot school districts? Specifically, RRISD, PISD, Eanes, Manor??!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Thanks!!!! One of my friends smashed his truck going into work when he should have NEVER left the HOUSE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Leander and P-Ville had buses CRASH!!!!! RRPD had to single handedly stop RRISD from opening from what I am hearing now.....I'm upset, so I will stop typing now.....
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6036 Postby cperez291 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:13 pm

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#6037 Postby Red Raider fan » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:18 pm

I dont believe the forecasters predicted this. Radar shows alot of precip over S.A. some of it is pink some yellow and blue, just looked out the window here at work in downtown S.A. and i dont know if my eyes are decieving me or wishful thinking but its sprinkling and looks like possible sleet pellets falling or maybe snow flurries flying around. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#6038 Postby TexasF6 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:34 pm

Is the low splitting into 2 areas of LP??? Wxman57? Porta? What am I seeing here?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/flash-wv.html
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Re:

#6039 Postby Snowman67 » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:41 pm

Red Raider fan wrote:I dont believe the forecasters predicted this. Radar shows alot of precip over S.A. some of it is pink some yellow and blue, just looked out the window here at work in downtown S.A. and i dont know if my eyes are decieving me or wishful thinking but its sprinkling and looks like possible sleet pellets falling or maybe snow flurries flying around. :D



I'd like to get some reports as to whether this precipitation is even making it to the ground. The afternoon discussion out of Houston discussed the issue of returns showing up on radar and what may account for them :



SOME SLEET IS
STILL BEING REPORTED IN A FEW ISOLATED AREAS BUT FEEL THAT HEAVIER
RETURNS ARE DUE TO BRIGHT BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH SNOW FALLING
INTO THE WARM LAYER AND BEGINNING TO MELT. VERTICAL CROSS SECTIONS
TEND TO SUPPORT THE OBSERVATIONS THAT VERY LITTLE OF THIS IS
REACHING THE GROUND.
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#6040 Postby Big O » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:49 pm

12z European Ensemble Members: All 50 members showing snow for McAllen. Ensemble mean for event is 1 3/4" while deterministic is showing 2 1/2". Add to that another 2 1/4" of snow on Days 9-10 of the deterministic model. Let's see how well it verifies. By the way, Harlingen in the same boat, but deterministic showing them getting 3" of snow.
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