http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi.txt

Moderator: S2k Moderators
cycloneye wrote:It appears bigtime upwelling is going on at Nino 3.4 and 4.
cycloneye wrote:JB keeps insisting on El Nino being Modoki.
"@BigJoeBastardi · I outlined in Sept 2011 series of 3 potentially harsh winters.12-13,13-14,14-15 . Modiki winters like we have next winter usually cold,snowy."
Hammy wrote:Is this in any way related to the shrinking of the subsurface warm pool?
cycloneye wrote:JB keeps insisting on El Nino being Modoki.
"@BigJoeBastardi · I outlined in Sept 2011 series of 3 potentially harsh winters.12-13,13-14,14-15 . Modiki winters like we have next winter usually cold,snowy."
cycloneye wrote:Can you believe the 30 day SOI is about to cross to La Nina threshold of +8?
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi.txt
cycloneye wrote:CFSv2 peaks around +1.7C by OND period.One ensemble member goes to the roof with a super,super,super El Nino above +3.0C but I think is a big outlier.![]()
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:In the TAO data, it is showing 2 different subsurface pools, one is the CP weakening pool and the very warm pool near Peru. The other data shows the subsurface pool has weakened. Which is real now?