http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
Notice the position 23.9 still south of Miami and 66.9w more west than 66.3 at 11 AM and that means more west than north motion in the past 3 hours.If Isabel tracks a little more south than projected then people more south of NC may have to begin preparations such as SC but again IF it tracks more south than projected.
T numbers 6.0/6.5 at= 23.9n-66.9w
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Stormchaser16
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JetMaxx
This hurricane has consistently been stronger than the Dvorak estimates....
Last Thursday evening they estimated 7.0...when it was apparent to me and a friend who's a NWS senior forecaster that Isabel was a 150-155 kt hurricane and likely <910 mb (this was about 24 hours before the 140 kt and 920 mb recon found on their first mission).
I'm convinced Isabel was as intense as Mitch and Allen for a couple hours....the visible satellite image reminded me a great deal of an image I have of hurricane Allen near his peak in August 1980 when Allen's central pressure was 904 mb (a couple hours before he bottomed out at 899 mb).
This hurricane is a monster Luis...and I'm very afraid she's going to deepen below 920 mb again....when she feels the influence of those 29-29.5°c sst in her path.
Last Thursday evening they estimated 7.0...when it was apparent to me and a friend who's a NWS senior forecaster that Isabel was a 150-155 kt hurricane and likely <910 mb (this was about 24 hours before the 140 kt and 920 mb recon found on their first mission).
I'm convinced Isabel was as intense as Mitch and Allen for a couple hours....the visible satellite image reminded me a great deal of an image I have of hurricane Allen near his peak in August 1980 when Allen's central pressure was 904 mb (a couple hours before he bottomed out at 899 mb).
This hurricane is a monster Luis...and I'm very afraid she's going to deepen below 920 mb again....when she feels the influence of those 29-29.5°c sst in her path.
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Stormchaser16
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JetMaxx
We'll see, but I don't see this hurricane weakening a bit until it's north of 30 N...
In fact, if Stacy Stewart is correct in his analysis of the jet stream remaining west of Isabel, this could be like hurricane Camille was to Mississippi and Louisiana: smash barometric pressure and intensity records along the East Coast.
This is the most formidable Atlantic hurricane I've seen threatening the East Coast in my life....even stronger than Gloria and Hugo were in this area...unbelievable.
In fact, if Stacy Stewart is correct in his analysis of the jet stream remaining west of Isabel, this could be like hurricane Camille was to Mississippi and Louisiana: smash barometric pressure and intensity records along the East Coast.
This is the most formidable Atlantic hurricane I've seen threatening the East Coast in my life....even stronger than Gloria and Hugo were in this area...unbelievable.
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john186292
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ERROR IN INITIAL POST VIZ LOCATION?
23.6 is the latest refreshed latt i find in the link you put in. Pls tell me if i made a mistake...just a newbie.
PS the nhc site for hurr's has SAT not SUN data on it, even after refresh...somebody made a bobo.
PS the nhc site for hurr's has SAT not SUN data on it, even after refresh...somebody made a bobo.
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