ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
hurrtracker79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:32 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1301 Postby hurrtracker79 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:18 am

0Z HWRF is MUCH closer to SE FL as a 975 mb storm in 96 hours....Big shift to the left...
0 likes   

stormlover2013

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1302 Postby stormlover2013 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:22 am

Images please
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1303 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:25 am

0z HWRF has shifted a little more to the west.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1304 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:26 am

Can someone please post the HWRF 0z run?
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24

hurrtracker79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:32 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1305 Postby hurrtracker79 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:28 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:Can someone please post the HWRF 0z run?

Big difference, just east of West Palm Beach in 108 hrs & 967 mb...
0 likes   

User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#1306 Postby southerngale » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:28 am

When quoting posts with images, please remove the IMG tags before posting. We don't need to see the same graphic repeatedly, particularly right after the quoted post. Thanks. :)
0 likes   
Please support Storm2k by making a donation today. It is greatly appreciated! Click here: Image

Image my Cowboys Image my RocketsImage my Astros

hurrtracker79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:32 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1307 Postby hurrtracker79 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:28 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:Can someone please post the HWRF 0z run?

check out @hurrtrackerapp they tweeted it
0 likes   

MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:

#1308 Postby MWatkins » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:31 am

This system would be quite a coup for the HWRF if 96L moves anywhere close to FL. HWRF actually performed very well last year (I think Jeff Masters did a write up on this earlier in the week).

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1309 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:31 am

hurrtracker79 wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:Can someone please post the HWRF 0z run?

check out @hurrtrackerapp they tweeted it


Ooh...just saw that...not liking the looks of that at all!!!
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24

hurrtracker79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:32 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1310 Postby hurrtracker79 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:34 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:
hurrtracker79 wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:Can someone please post the HWRF 0z run?

check out @hurrtrackerapp they tweeted it


Ooh...just saw that...not liking the looks of that at all!!!

967 MB off Cape Canaveral. Almost fully on coast. CAT 2?
0 likes   

User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2840
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1311 Postby blp » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:34 am

Did you see the HWRF shift from the 12z.

https://mobile.twitter.com/hurrtrackerapp
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

hurrtracker79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:32 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1312 Postby hurrtracker79 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:35 am

blp wrote:Did you see the HWRF shift from the 12z.

https://mobile.twitter.com/hurrtrackerapp

that is a HUGE difference. Wowzers...
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6367
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1313 Postby boca » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:39 am

Link to the HWRF please.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2991
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1314 Postby Bocadude85 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:39 am

Pretty substantial shift from the HWRF. About 30-40 miles offshore Palm Beach
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#1315 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:40 am

I don't have the graphics yet, but here is the text version, very close to the east coast of FL.

ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED HWRF HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL STORM INVEST 96L

INITIAL TIME 0Z AUG 23

FORECAST POSITIONS

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE MIN PRESS (hPa) MAX SFC WIND (KTS)

HOUR: 0.0 LONG: -69.20 LAT: 19.50 MIN PRES (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 34.00
HOUR: 1.0 LONG: -69.70 LAT: 19.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 1010.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 33.00
HOUR: 2.0 LONG: -69.80 LAT: 19.40 MIN PRES (hPa): 1010.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 34.00
HOUR: 3.0 LONG: -70.30 LAT: 19.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 1010.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 33.00
HOUR: 4.0 LONG: -70.50 LAT: 19.70 MIN PRES (hPa): 1009.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 31.00
HOUR: 5.0 LONG: -70.70 LAT: 19.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 1008.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 32.00
HOUR: 6.0 LONG: -71.00 LAT: 19.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 32.00
HOUR: 7.0 LONG: -71.20 LAT: 20.00 MIN PRES (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 35.00
HOUR: 8.0 LONG: -71.40 LAT: 20.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 34.00
HOUR: 9.0 LONG: -71.80 LAT: 20.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 1006.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 32.00
HOUR: 12.0 LONG: -72.60 LAT: 20.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 31.00
HOUR: 15.0 LONG: -73.40 LAT: 21.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 1007.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 31.00
HOUR: 18.0 LONG: -73.50 LAT: 21.50 MIN PRES (hPa): 1006.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 33.00
HOUR: 21.0 LONG: -73.80 LAT: 21.90 MIN PRES (hPa): 1004.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 32.00
HOUR: 24.0 LONG: -74.30 LAT: 22.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 1005.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 32.00
HOUR: 27.0 LONG: -74.60 LAT: 22.40 MIN PRES (hPa): 1004.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 34.00
HOUR: 30.0 LONG: -74.90 LAT: 22.60 MIN PRES (hPa): 1002.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 39.00
HOUR: 33.0 LONG: -75.00 LAT: 22.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 1002.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 40.00
HOUR: 36.0 LONG: -75.20 LAT: 23.00 MIN PRES (hPa): 1003.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 40.00
HOUR: 39.0 LONG: -75.40 LAT: 23.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 999.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 36.00
HOUR: 42.0 LONG: -75.40 LAT: 23.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 997.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 38.00
HOUR: 45.0 LONG: -75.50 LAT: 23.50 MIN PRES (hPa): 996.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 39.00
HOUR: 48.0 LONG: -75.60 LAT: 23.60 MIN PRES (hPa): 996.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 39.00
HOUR: 51.0 LONG: -75.80 LAT: 23.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 995.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 44.00
HOUR: 54.0 LONG: -76.00 LAT: 23.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 993.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 47.00
HOUR: 57.0 LONG: -75.90 LAT: 23.90 MIN PRES (hPa): 994.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 47.00
HOUR: 60.0 LONG: -75.90 LAT: 24.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 993.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 47.00
HOUR: 63.0 LONG: -76.00 LAT: 24.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 992.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 44.00
HOUR: 66.0 LONG: -76.00 LAT: 24.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 985.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 54.00
HOUR: 69.0 LONG: -76.10 LAT: 24.40 MIN PRES (hPa): 987.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 56.00
HOUR: 72.0 LONG: -76.30 LAT: 24.40 MIN PRES (hPa): 986.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 56.00
HOUR: 75.0 LONG: -76.30 LAT: 24.50 MIN PRES (hPa): 980.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 65.00
HOUR: 78.0 LONG: -76.60 LAT: 24.70 MIN PRES (hPa): 977.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 72.00
HOUR: 81.0 LONG: -76.90 LAT: 24.90 MIN PRES (hPa): 977.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 74.00
HOUR: 84.0 LONG: -77.20 LAT: 25.10 MIN PRES (hPa): 979.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 71.00
HOUR: 87.0 LONG: -77.50 LAT: 25.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 975.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 76.00
HOUR: 90.0 LONG: -77.80 LAT: 25.50 MIN PRES (hPa): 973.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 67.00
HOUR: 93.0 LONG: -78.20 LAT: 25.70 MIN PRES (hPa): 975.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 67.00
HOUR: 96.0 LONG: -78.60 LAT: 25.90 MIN PRES (hPa): 976.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 70.00
HOUR: 99.0 LONG: -78.80 LAT: 26.30 MIN PRES (hPa): 973.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 76.00
HOUR: 102.0 LONG: -79.20 LAT: 26.50 MIN PRES (hPa): 968.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 75.00
HOUR: 105.0 LONG: -79.50 LAT: 26.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 967.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 81.00
HOUR: 108.0 LONG: -79.80 LAT: 27.30 MIN PRES (hPa): 968.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 81.00
HOUR: 111.0 LONG: -80.10 LAT: 27.60 MIN PRES (hPa): 967.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 85.00
HOUR: 114.0 LONG: -80.30 LAT: 28.00 MIN PRES (hPa): 964.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 86.00
HOUR: 117.0 LONG: -80.50 LAT: 28.40 MIN PRES (hPa): 965.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 85.00
HOUR: 120.0 LONG: -80.60 LAT: 28.80 MIN PRES (hPa): 966.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 83.00
HOUR: 123.0 LONG: -80.70 LAT: 29.20 MIN PRES (hPa): 964.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 84.00
HOUR: 126.0 LONG: -80.70 LAT: 29.60 MIN PRES (hPa): 960.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 86.00
FORECAST RAN COUPLED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD...

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
0 likes   

hurrtracker79
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 94
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:32 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1316 Postby hurrtracker79 » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:40 am

boca wrote:Link to the HWRF please.

think it is a commercial site, so can't link...
0 likes   

User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2840
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1317 Postby blp » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:42 am

boca wrote:Link to the HWRF please.



Just go to the twitter link above they have the latest graphic other sites not updated yet.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6367
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1318 Postby boca » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:45 am

Thanks for trying,this model flip flopping is too much.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1319 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:45 am

0z Euro initialized

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#1320 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:47 am

0z HWRF:

Cape Canaveral:
HOUR: 117.0 LONG: -80.50 LAT: 28.40 MIN PRES (hPa): 965.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 85.00
0 likes   


Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests