WPAC: INVEST 98W

[euro6208]

98W INVEST 140825 0000 31.9N 151.2E WPAC 15 1010

20140825 0232 32.8 -151.8 T1.0/1.0 98W 98W

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/storms/98W.html

Looks like one of those weak Tropical Storms you see in the Atlantic that's well above dvorak with a burst of convection over the LLC and overall organization is well defined...

I wouldn't be surprised if this is at least 45 knots given the continued development...


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[euro6208]

SST's are very favorable, Currently over 29C waters. Likely a tropical storm...

[somethingfunny]

It looks like a tropical storm to me.

[euro6208]

Too bad...

No upgrade but maybe added in postseason analysis? This was more organized than Cristobal but smaller...

[euro6208]

20140825 1301 32.6 -153.6 T1.5/1.5 98W 98W

[euro6208]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 33.5N 154.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 775 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
HAS BEEN QUICKLY PROGRESSING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE LOCATED OVER THE SYSTEM. PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION
HAS BEEN LOCATED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AREA. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. A
RECENT 251107Z ASCAT PASS SHOWED SOME 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A WEAKENING OF THE
CIRCULATION AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE MORE NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. BASED ON THE ELONGATED
SURFACE LOW TRACKING QUICKLY INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND
A LACK OF MODEL DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

There goes our Tropical Storm...

[euro6208]

[euro6208]

Can't believe this isn't upgraded yet.

Tropical Storm Fengshen?

[euro6208]

Comparing ugly cristobal to 98W...

Maybe a typhoon right now as looks don't matter in the atlantic right?...

[somethingfunny]

This may well have been an unnamed tropical storm - and in an August that must be close to setting a record for having no cyclones form in the WPAC no less - but it appears to be finished now.

[euro6208]

This may well have been an unnamed tropical storm - and in an August that must be close to setting a record for having no cyclones form in the WPAC no less - but it appears to be finished now.

Hoping they add this postseason

[euro6208]

There goes our unclassified TS.