Texas Winter 2014-2015

[wxman22]

18z gfs now has Temps reaching 32f at iah with freezeing rain across northern Harris County and points north

[HouTXmetro]

18z gfs now has Temps reaching 32f at iah with freezeing rain across northern Harris County and points north

Reaching 32? So we are talking about high temps for the day?

[Tireman4]

[quote="Portastorm"]:uarrow:

What's so funny, I drew that map?!

[/quote


Oh Porta, you Scamp

[Tireman4]

And yet still nothing from the PWC...no long range forecasts. No nothing. I respect Wxman57 , but he can go bi-polar any second. Lol. Should we truck so more Grey Goose that way?

[wxman22]

18z gfs now has Temps reaching 32f at iah with freezeing rain across northern Harris County and points north

Reaching 32? So we are talking about high temps for the day?

Well it shows temperatures during the peak of precipitation ranging 32-33f at iah high temps look to be about 35f but the temperature starts to fall as precipitation begins

[Tireman4]

This will be close. Very close. Srain is spot on.

[Ralph's Weather]

I think someone between I-20 and I-30 gets 3+" of snow Friday and a sizeable area of eastern North Texas and Northeast Texas should see light snow accumulations. Temps should be cold enough and Baja systems usually bring unanticipated moisture. south of this area there looks to be an area of mixed precip north of I-10. This will be followed by just about daily rounds of additional precip and reinforcing cold through the weekend and maybe into next week.

[TexasSam]

This might be a good time to give up smoking, as I have to go outside to smoke.

[SouthernMet]

My confidence is growing in some type of freezing rain event(sleet also possible) for the Austin area friday night-saturday morning. Guidance has been showing this potential for a few days now and models have all pretty much agreed on this scenario now.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Another trembler. Dang.

[Wntrwthrguy]

Definitely don't want to see any ice. Any chance at all, even a small chance, that the Austin area sees snow out of this instead of ice? If so, what needs to occur for this to happen?

[BigB0882]

Another trembler. Dang.

A friend of mine on FB posted the same thing.

[Ntxw]

What a day today has been shaking wise. I've felt both in Irving next to the airport.

I think there's a good chance of post frontal snow/sleet later this week. I haven't had time to go in depth on guidance but I think a quick dusting to maybe an inch or two isn't impossible. Soundings look good for it to start as snow maybe change over as we head deeper into the weekend.

GFSMOS looks cold, says 13 for DFW as a low and NAM MOS around 15. Though, might be tough to achieve that with a baja system lurking and maybe clouds but that's the raw number. I would nudge a few degrees up.

[somethingfunny]

Up until today's pair I had been noticing that most of these earthquakes generally occurred in late evening and the early overnight morning hours, and in chilly weather. Last year's tremors in Azle followed the same pattern - and also occurred in rapid succession from November through January or February... is it possible that the trigger for the tremors is somehow related to ground shifting with cold weather and changing temperatures or soil moistures?

[davidiowx]

Up until today's pair I had been noticing that most of these earthquakes generally occurred in late evening and the early overnight morning hours, and in chilly weather. Last year's tremors in Azle followed the same pattern - and also occurred in rapid succession from November through January or February... is it possible that the trigger for the tremors is somehow related to ground shifting with cold weather and changing temperatures or soil moistures?

It isn't out of the realm of possibilities, but has it been common for a while or have you noticed an increase over the past few years? If it is more recently, I would bet Fracking has something to do with it.

[Ntxw]

Up until today's pair I had been noticing that most of these earthquakes generally occurred in late evening and the early overnight morning hours, and in chilly weather. Last year's tremors in Azle followed the same pattern - and also occurred in rapid succession from November through January or February... is it possible that the trigger for the tremors is somehow related to ground shifting with cold weather and changing temperatures or soil moistures?

It isn't out of the realm of possibilities, but has it been common for a while or have you noticed an increase over the past few years? If it is more recently, I would bet Fracking has something to do with it.

Could be but there is also fracking going on just as much in places like North and South Dakota that experiences very little if any of these earthquakes. What makes North Texas and Central Oklahoma special? Could the long dead underground mountain range (think Ouachita)possibly be moving or shifting? Or maybe the fracking is disturbing it, I don't know just throwing something crazy out there.



Or maybe the old Texas Stadium site is just rocking for the boys, Party!

[Tireman4]

It is the ghost of Tom Landry guiding our young Jason onward!!!

[dhweather]

I would bet serious cash that fracking is, at a minimum, contributing to the earthquakes. Seismically dead (for multiple decades) places in the US all of the sudden are erupting with mini quakes. Ohio fracks a lot, Pennsylvania and Texas too. Guess where is historically dead seismically and has a lot of fracking going on in the last 5-7 years. Plus Ohio and PA are doing a ton of deep well injection, something I am wholeheartedly against. If we pollute the aquifers, it will make the drought look trivial, undrinkable water.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Sigh... Not to derail the thread, but as someone who is a risk analyst for geological undertakings, I can confidently say that fracking has little if anything to do with earthquakes.

People like to speak about earthquakes never happening in Tx and other parts but that simply isn't true. They try to fit things into their convenient timeline (political dweebs) or focus on their lifetimes.

So.... Let me get that for you... http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... istory.php

[Portastorm]

Hey gang, while the discussion of the merits/concerns of cracking and earthquakes is compelling, this thread is about Texas weather. Feel free to start a thread on this topic in the Off Topic forum. Thanks.

BTW, 0z GFS rolling in and looks colder at 72 hours than the 12z run.