Texas Winter 2014-2015

[wxman57]

GFS and Euro are now backing away from any hints of a major pattern change and winter weather for Texas. Euro ensembles are warmer through 360 hrs, indicating only an occasional period of slightly below-normal temps (This Thu-Sat and next Thu-Sun). Euro deterministic has a light freeze in D-FW next Sunday (31-33F). GFS is slightly colder with 29-30 in Dallas next Sunday. The only predicted winter weather in Texas for the next 2 weeks is at hour 372 of the 06Z GFS, which has a tiny patch of light snow in the central Panhandle.

[hriverajr]

As soon as I saw post from 57 I knew what it would state lol

[weatherdude1108]

All I can think of is:

http://youtu.be/VsnXeQDqOOg

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Models still showing alot of big highs coming down , unfortunately nothing hardcore for us

[wxman57]

As soon as I saw post from 57 I knew what it would state lol

I was only stating my observations of the model runs.

I didn't see anything in JB's video the other day about snow down to the Gulf Coast. He mentioned the I-20 corridor (Dallas to Jackson, MS) for possible winter weather. I agree it's possible, but snow for that area wouldn't be in my forecast just yet.

Meanwhile, had a nice 35 mile ride yesterday in shorts/short sleeves. It was still a bit cool when the clouds blocked the sun, even with a high of 77.

[Portastorm]

Lead headline in this morning's Storm2K Gazette:

WXMAN57 DECLARES 'WINTER OVER!' FOR TEXAS SOUTH OF I-20

[Stormcenter]

You gotta love those models......they are always right all the time.

[Texas Snowman]

As soon as I saw post from 57 I knew what it would state lol

Yup, he's getting pretty predictable this winter. Maybe instead of a "Groundhog Day" forecast, we can come up with a "Wxman 57 Discomfort index." You know, the more uncomfortable he gets, the more he posts "It isn't going to get cold!"

[Texas Snowman]

As soon as I saw post from 57 I knew what it would state lol

And when one of our PROFESSIONAL METS notices that, well now...

[Tireman4]

As soon as I saw post from 57 I knew what it would state lol

I was only stating my observations of the model runs.

I didn't see anything in JB's video the other day about snow down to the Gulf Coast. He mentioned the I-20 corridor (Dallas to Jackson, MS) for possible winter weather. I agree it's possible, but snow for that area wouldn't be in my forecast just yet.

Meanwhile, had a nice 35 mile ride yesterday in shorts/short sleeves. It was still a bit cool when the clouds blocked the sun, even with a high of 77.

I knew you love it. Today's bike ride for you will be stupendous...sigh...My run...ughh....

[Tireman4]

Lead headline in this morning's Storm2K Gazette:

WXMAN57 DECLARES 'WINTER OVER!' FOR TEXAS SOUTH OF I-20

Ughh...wait..wait...is not the 18z the bad run?

[Tireman4]

You gotta love those models......they are always right all the time.

They are nails sir. Just nails.....90's for Highs in March..woo hooo

[wxman57]

I'll gladly report on possible snow across Texas if I see any real chance of it. And by chance I mean something other than the 384-hr GFS panel that shows widespread snow in Texas. I'd like to see snow in Houston. It's not going to happen this year, though. 90s for highs in March? I like it!

In other news, the EC seasonal outlook is indicating another very quite Atlantic hurricane season. Plenty of dry air and high pressure once again, along with a weak El Nino. If this keeps up we won't need any hurricane forecasters any more. I'll have to find a new line of work...

[wxman57]

Took a look at the 06Z GFS and plotted a couple of meteograms (Dallas-Ft. Worth & Houston). I'm not seeing anything exciting as far as cold & snow or warm weather (for me). I do like that upper 70s for Houston next Tuesday, though the warmth is quite short-lived. Kind of cold this coming weekend, too.

[Tcu101]

This time last year we were on page 390 of the Texas Winter 2013-2014. Only 181 pages less this winter..... BLAH!!!

[Texas Snowman]

In other news, the EC seasonal outlook is indicating another very quite Atlantic hurricane season. Plenty of dry air and high pressure once again, along with a weak El Nino. If this keeps up we won't need any hurricane forecasters any more. I'll have to find a new line of work...

I understand that they are looking for some winter weather forecasters in Boston...

[Texas Snowman]

This time last year we were on page 390 of the Texas Winter 2013-2014. Only 181 pages less this winter..... BLAH!!!

Last year was an eventful year in terms of potential. This year, not so much.

But there's still the rest of February and a good portion of March to see how high the page count will go. I bet we'll have something to talk about in Texas by March 20th.

[Texas Snowman]

If Joe is right, then the trend is in the right direction at least...

"@BigJoeBastardi: Snow cover will expand its reach into the mid atlantic later this week spread back into the plains next week."

[wxman57]

12Z GFS has some light snow into northern Arkansas on the 19th. Light freeze for Dallas area Sunday. Don't get too excited up there...

[Tireman4]

Ok, I gotta ask this Wxman 57. I am not trying to stir the pot ( ok, maybe I am..LOL), but during the Winters, which model do you tilt toward the most, the Euro, GFS, Canadian....any...all of the above? You can say pass if you want..