Texas Winter 2014-2015

[Portastorm]

Winter Storm Warning for the Texarkana area(NE Texas-SW Arkansas) for tonight and tomorrow. Low tonight of 27 and a high tomorrow of only 28. 80% chance of sleet and freezing rain tonight(mostly sleet),with ice and sleet accumulations up to a .50" inch. Sleet and snow mixture in the morning changing to all snow by afternoon(80%)chance. Snow accumulations of 1-2 inches. Tomorrow night, a 50% chance of snow, with an additional .50" of accumulation.

That's going to make for one nasty, crunchy ground ... and roads/bridges will be darn near impassable I would think.

Hope it verifies so you can get the monkeys off MY back.

[Portastorm]

Any Austin updates to speak of? I admittedly haven't been paying attention to how we're doing vis-a-vis what the models have forecast. I would assume if it's colder to our north than forecast, we could expect similar things here, but there's plenty of distance between the two.

I'm holding fast to my thoughts from earlier. We should be alarmed by the fact that North Texas temps are running 3-5 degrees warmer than models/guidance predicted.

[TheProfessor]

Warmer? a lot of the models I were seeing had DFW not reaching freezing until midnight.

[Portastorm]

:uarrow: Warmer? a lot of the models I were seeing had DFW not reaching freezing until midnight.

I meant predicted temps were too warm. Sorry. My bad and good catch.

[orangeblood]

Any Austin updates to speak of? I admittedly haven't been paying attention to how we're doing vis-a-vis what the models have forecast. I would assume if it's colder to our north than forecast, we could expect similar things here, but there's plenty of distance between the two.

I'm holding fast to my thoughts from earlier. We should be alarmed by the fact that North Texas temps are running 3-5 degrees warmer than models/guidance predicted.

Temps are 3-4 deg F colder than model runs...heavy sleet and 31 F on the west side of Fort Worth at this time. Weren't supposed to see the freezing mark until 11 pm or anything significant until 9-10 hours from now!!!

[Lagreeneyes03]

sleet is accumulating fast here.

Wow and it's still 36 and pure rain out at the lake

[aggiecutter]

Any Austin updates to speak of? I admittedly haven't been paying attention to how we're doing vis-a-vis what the models have forecast. I would assume if it's colder to our north than forecast, we could expect similar things here, but there's plenty of distance between the two.

I'm holding fast to my thoughts from earlier. We should be alarmed by the fact that North Texas temps are running 3-5 degrees warmer than models/guidance predicted.

Temps are 3-4 deg F colder than model runs...heavy sleet and 31 F on the west side of Fort Worth at this time. Weren't supposed to see the freezing mark until 11 pm or anything significant until 9-10 hours from now!!!

I was just looking at the 15z SREF, and it looks like a major sleet storm for the Texarkana area. Can you translate QPF to amounts of sleet on that model, or give a good guestament. Thanks

[TexasF6]

Vaunted Meteorologist Troy Kimmel issued a special briefing, his confidence is MODERATE for an event in the Austin area.

http://troykimmelweather.com/

[TheProfessor]

sleet is accumulating fast here.

Wow and it's still 36 and pure rain out at the lake

Really? I live 1-2 miles just south of the lake.

[Yukon Cornelius]

24 and light light freezing rain here. I guess all the accumulations they were talking about in this area looks to be not happening.

[TheProfessor]

there's supposed to be a second wave moving through.

[TheProfessor]

sleet is just now starting to slow down here, grass and roofs have become white, my mailbox is an icicle now. Looks like street might freeze over with a decent amount of ice already on them before the main event.

[Portastorm]

Come on you Metroplexers ... pictures! We want pictures!!

[dhweather]

37.5 in the Heath Metropolitan Area. 0.47" of rain, which we will gladly take.

45 minutes later ..........



34.7 degrees 0.53" of rain


We dropped almost 3 degrees in 45 minutes.

After the quick drop, it has taken an hour to drop another degree, down to 33.6 , whoops, just dropped to 33.2 0.57" of rain thus far. Looks like all the heavy rain has been north of the I-30 corridor today. Hopefully that finds its way into the lakes.

[TheProfessor]

FWD is now saying areas just south east of Dallas may see .25" of freezing rain. Wouldn't be surprised to see some power outages if that were to happen.

[Yukon Cornelius]

:uarrow: there's supposed to be a second wave moving through.

That's what I keep seeing and hearing, but with the track record this winter of "almosts", "so closes", "and it went south of us" I won't count on it until I see snow and sleet falling from the sky.

[dhweather]

33.0 , winds have picked up in the last 30 minutes, not at 22MPH from the north.

[dhweather]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
639 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2015

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS FOR THE 00-06Z TIME FRAME BASED ON THE
LATEST RADAR AND WEATHER TRENDS. A WINTER PRECIPITATION MIX OF
RAIN/SLEET/FREEZING RAIN AND EVEN SOME SNOW IS OCCURRING
GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO FORT WORTH TO BONHAM
AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA RANGE FROM THE MID 20S IN
THE NORTHWEST TO 32 DEGREES. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SUGGEST THIS FIRST WAVE OF PRECIPITATION WILL END ACROSS THE
REGION BETWEEN 9 PM - MIDNIGHT WITH SOME ISOLATED LIGHT LINGERING
PRECIP AFTER THAT. THE NEXT WAVE OF PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE
AROUND 2-3 AM IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES...MOVING NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION.

ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SLEET ARE ALREADY BEING REPORTED WITHIN
THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA ABOVE AND IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ARE BEING
REPORTED ALONG THE RED RIVER. AS FAR SOUTH AS THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE METROPLEX...SOME SLUSHY ROADS AND SLICK BRIDGES
AND OVERPASSES ARE ALREADY BEING REPORTED WHERE MODERATE TO HEAVY
SLEET OCCURRED IN THE LAST 2-3 HOURS. AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO
FALL THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS...TRAVEL WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
ESPECIALLY WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT...NOT ONLY FROM THE FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET THAT IS OCCURING IN THIS AREA...BUT ANY WATER THAT
IS LEFT ON THE ROADWAYS DUE TO THE RAIN EARLIER COULD POSSIBLY
FREEZE RESULTING IN A THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS.

82/JLD

[TheProfessor]

Northwest ISD just closed schools. I'm sure many more will follow.

[dhweather]

Ham radio report - 3 miles west of Haslet in Tarrant County, 1/10th inch ice from freezing rain