Texas Winter 2015-2016

[TheProfessor]

Hmm that GFS one might be too cold for me.

[hriverajr]

I prefer the latter :p

[Ntxw]

I prefer the latter :p

It will probably be a combination of both as it often is. Big HP bumping up against the Rockies while deep cyclogensis into the great lakes ahead of it. A chunk slides south with the HP dome while the other slips towards the midwest with the LP

[hriverajr]

I prefer the latter :p

It will probably be a combination of both as it often is. Big HP bumping up against the Rockies while deep cyclogensis into the great lakes ahead of it. A chunk slides south with the HP dome while the other slips towards the midwest with the LP

True

[dhweather]

new year, same stuff, two weeks out........

Anything else you can contribute to this board, besides negativity, would be much appreciated. Thanks

I paid a month of rent, does that count?

[Ntxw]

True

0z GFS went the way of big HP, PV anomaly midwest split. Much bigger high than the 18z run. Probably 10 more different solutions in the next 5 days . I wonder when the media is going to start the "Polar Vortex" coming down frenzy

Love the meandering 5h block between Alaska and Yukon. Rock and lock. -EPO sustained. Why not drive the cold front down the Gulf of Mexico. If the models are correct we will be entering a severe blocking episode over the Polar regions.


0z GFS



Euro earlier today

[Ntxw]

Btw GFS still doesn't have much of an idea what to do with the storm around the 10th. Every run essentially looks different at 5h. Not just talking about here locally but even on a broad scale there are fairly sizable differences...

[orangeblood]

0Z Canadian has southern plains in its cross hairs....0 F all the way down to Oklahoma City day 9

GFS, CFSv2 waste of taxpayer $

[Portastorm]

new year, same stuff, two weeks out........

Anything else you can contribute to this board, besides negativity, would be much appreciated. Thanks

I paid a month of rent, does that count?

Mr. dhweather, may I take your coat sir? Would you like a drink?

[SeGaBob]

Would such a setup help with driving sustained cold air this far south and east?
(I know this is the Texas thread but I figured i'd get a faster answer here.)

[Ntxw]

Would such a setup help with driving sustained cold air this far south and east?

Yes it would likely. Maybe even a gulf low and winter storm threat into the mid south.

[SeGaBob]

Thanks for the fast response.

[Ntxw]

:uarrow: Thanks for the fast response.

No problem!

The next 2-3 weeks will feature below normal temperatures across much of the US. Low heights will shift from the southwest into the southeast. ENS all agree it is a very favorable set up for widespread cold and storm track out of Texas into the gulf coast.

[LaBreeze]

What would a severe blocking episode over the Polar region mean for the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida?

[DougNTexas]

How much is a months rent, and again what is a good computer weather thing besides Weatherbug?

[wxman57]

I appear to be losing my grasp on the thermostat. Not liking the latest model runs at all. OK, have your winter, but I'm taking control after March (or maybe April...)!

[perk]

I appear to be losing my grasp on the thermostat. Not liking the latest model runs at all. OK, have your winter, but I'm taking control after March!

Ok who kidnapped the real wxman57,because he would not give up this easily.

[gpsnowman]

I appear to be losing my grasp on the thermostat. Not liking the latest model runs at all. OK, have your winter, but I'm taking control after March (or maybe April...)!

We win!!! Winter has officially started. Woooo-hooooo!

[Ntxw]

What would a severe blocking episode over the Polar region mean for the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida?

If that does occur, means cold air won't be transient and longer lasting with more fronts to reinforce.




CPC superensembles analog pool has it all. 1977, 1978, 1966! All pretty chilly Januaries.


Oh and the wpc is calling for 5+ inches around coastal Los Angeles and SoCal. That's a third of their yearly rainfall in a week's time. Forecast is for rain nearly everyday. Lots of news out of there pretty soon.

[high_lander]

What would a severe blocking episode over the Polar region mean for the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida?

If that does occur, means cold air won't be transient and longer lasting with more fronts to reinforce.




CPC superensembles analog pool has it all. 1977, 1978, 1966! All pretty chilly Januaries.


Oh and the wpc is calling for 5+ inches around coastal Los Angeles and SoCal. That's a third of their yearly rainfall in a week's time. Forecast is for rain nearly everyday. Lots of news out of there pretty soon.

I'm from there, and while El Nino rains are welcome they come at a cost. Especially if there were fires (there's always fires) and the mud and ash make for horrible mudslides. Last big El Nino, there was a town half buried after a hillside collapsed due to instability. Too many people build next to the foothills or in the mountains. We used to joke that "Malibu" was an old Indian word that meant "Don't build teepee here".