Texas Spring 2016

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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#621 Postby Brent » Thu Apr 07, 2016 3:42 pm

I love how there was a cold front and it's 86 at DFW... :grr: April sun angles lol. Average high mid 70s... my roommate won't turn on the A/C as long as it's cool at night. :roll:

Good thing is it should be mostly cooler going forward for awhile. In other news, The GFS and Euro have gone from Monday being a "rain event" to a sprinkle.. next week still looks pretty unsettled though,
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#622 Postby dhweather » Thu Apr 07, 2016 5:01 pm

Saying 2011 isn't even funny. So that means we probably get a repeat this year. :grr:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#623 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Apr 07, 2016 5:46 pm

40 degrees and heavy snow falling right now lol.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#624 Postby Brent » Thu Apr 07, 2016 6:52 pm

TheProfessor wrote:40 degrees and heavy snow falling right now lol.


Lucky. :lol:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#625 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Apr 07, 2016 9:48 pm

Ntxw wrote:El Nino tends to favor more localized outbreaks, quantity in Texas. This due to the fact there are just more chances with the high number of systems moving through. Such as last season, but none were high risk days.

La Ninas on a national scale are more likely to produce big outbreaks with your classic high risk days. But the opportunities are farther inbetween. Quality outbreaks over quantity. You can easily name some big memorable outbreaks just rattling off recent springs coming from La Nina especially after the switch from El Nino.

1998-1999 Nina-May 3rd
2007-2008-Super Tuesday
2010-2011-Dixie and Joplin
2016-2017...?

So yeah the spring to watch is 2017. Likely another huge outbreak to add on that list.


1924-1925-Tri-State Tornado
1973-1974-Super Outbreak
1988-1989-Daulatpur–Saturia, Bangladesh Tornado (Deadliest tornado in world history)

They occurred in La Nina.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#626 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Apr 07, 2016 10:43 pm

I'm getting pretty sick of the dry pattern. The constant reenforcement of continental cold fronts aren't particularly strong right now, but the huge gulf in dewpoint depressions is playing havoc on my lips and nasal cavity.

I'm also lamenting about not having any interesting weather to follow lately. Can we just go back to unfaltering El Nino? :P
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#627 Postby Brent » Thu Apr 07, 2016 11:30 pm

1900hurricane wrote:I'm getting pretty sick of the dry pattern. The constant reenforcement of continental cold fronts aren't particularly strong right now, but the huge gulf in dewpoint depressions is playing havoc on my lips and nasal cavity.

I'm also lamenting about not having any interesting weather to follow lately. Can we just go back to unfaltering El Nino? :P


I'm tired of getting shocked everytime I touch my car... :lol:

I'm tired of above normal temperatures. I swear it's been nothing but above normal since late summer last year other than a day or two here and there.

Most of all... I'm tired of this boring pattern.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#628 Postby JDawg512 » Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:48 pm

Yea I'm pretty tired of of seeing our rain chances dwindle as the Euro is not showing a whole lot. I take it over the GFS these days. Not to say that the GFS will always be wrong but it just hasn't been doing a great job for this area for awhile now.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#629 Postby TheProfessor » Fri Apr 08, 2016 6:18 pm

I love winter weather during the winter time, but having to walk through a sleet and snow storm on April 8th is just not right, add in the 40 mph wind gusts and it's just brutal.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#630 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:42 pm

TheProfessor wrote:I love winter weather during the winter time, but having to walk through a sleet and snow storm on April 8th is just not right, add in the 40 mph wind gusts and it's just brutal.


:uarrow:
I'm jealous! :cheesy: :wink:

But that doesn't sound like much fun. I got cabin fever when we had an ice storm down here in 2007 that shut us in for a few days.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#631 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Apr 09, 2016 7:56 am

I woke up to this. https://imgur.com/a/mi6Ge

Still some more on the ground now but melting should start soon. http://imgur.com/a/KSaD1
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#632 Postby Brent » Sat Apr 09, 2016 2:34 pm

Breaking News: We have raindrops in DFW. Alert we have raindrops in DFW. :lol:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#633 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Apr 09, 2016 3:20 pm

Brent wrote:Breaking News: We have raindrops in DFW. Alert we have raindrops in DFW. :lol:


OMG! :eek: Well, down here, have had thunder, lightning, and 0.02 inches of rain today here! :cheesy:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#634 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Apr 09, 2016 5:53 pm

An active weather pattern will likely be returning to Texas this week with several chances for rain. Much of the state could receive over 1 inch of rain in the next 7-10 days.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#635 Postby Ntxw » Sun Apr 10, 2016 11:27 am

More active pattern is welcome. Also temperatures have been pretty steady to even slightly cool this April thus far. 90s and 100s are not impossible, and can occur. We'll hold steady in 70s and some 80s which is nothing extreme for this month. Long range guidance are mostly pointing to possibilities of a rather wet summer ahead, perhaps with 2007 as a guide. They look more and more like that summer where most of the country was hot except for the southern plains. CFSv2 is actually calling for an unusually cool summer for us.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#636 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Apr 10, 2016 11:57 am

Ntxw wrote:More active pattern is welcome. Also temperatures have been pretty steady to even slightly cool this April thus far. 90s and 100s are not impossible, and can occur. We'll hold steady in 70s and some 80s which is nothing extreme for this month. Long range guidance are mostly pointing to possibilities of a rather wet summer ahead, perhaps with 2007 as a guide. They look more and more like that summer where most of the country was hot except for the southern plains. CFSv2 is actually calling for an unusually cool summer for us.


I sure hope so, although it is expected to warm up here, warm here is 70 degrees. I don't want to go from 65 degrees to 90-95 degrees within a day or two when I return to Texas on May 4th. I'm hoping to slowly build up a heat tolerance for late Summer and not be dropped straight into an inferno lol.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#637 Postby Brent » Sun Apr 10, 2016 12:10 pm

Ntxw wrote:More active pattern is welcome. Also temperatures have been pretty steady to even slightly cool this April thus far. 90s and 100s are not impossible, and can occur. We'll hold steady in 70s and some 80s which is nothing extreme for this month. Long range guidance are mostly pointing to possibilities of a rather wet summer ahead, perhaps with 2007 as a guide. They look more and more like that summer where most of the country was hot except for the southern plains. CFSv2 is actually calling for an unusually cool summer for us.


God I sure hope so. I'm a little discouraged at how dry it's been lately and the fact that this week the rain chances keep getting less impressive the closer the event gets.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#638 Postby Ntxw » Sun Apr 10, 2016 3:30 pm

Brent wrote:God I sure hope so. I'm a little discouraged at how dry it's been lately and the fact that this week the rain chances keep getting less impressive the closer the event gets.


Yeah, for the most part the precip events thus far in 2016 have underachieved. With a Nino that is fading into a La NIna, I guess we'll have to lower expectations! I just hope these above normal months comes to end soon. It's really getting old. Overall though the pattern is good for at least opportunities even if amount may lack. For a true heavy rain event though, we want to see something disturbed in the EPAC even if not a named system.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#639 Postby Brent » Sun Apr 10, 2016 4:07 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Brent wrote:God I sure hope so. I'm a little discouraged at how dry it's been lately and the fact that this week the rain chances keep getting less impressive the closer the event gets.


Yeah, for the most part the precip events thus far in 2016 have underachieved. With a Nino that is fading into a La NIna, I guess we'll have to lower expectations! I just hope these above normal months comes to end soon. It's really getting old. Overall though the pattern is good for at least opportunities even if amount may lack. For a true heavy rain event though, we want to see something disturbed in the EPAC even if not a named system.


Nah I'm not expecting a bunch of flood events like last year but a decent rain event would be nice... at least to get us up near average before summer. Hopefully yesterday was a sign change is coming.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#640 Postby aggiecutter » Sun Apr 10, 2016 5:06 pm

Image
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