ATL: COLIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#461 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:33 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 051923
AF307 0103A CYCLONE HDOB 24 20160605
191400 2340N 08733W 9660 00362 //// +235 //// 091006 007 008 000 01
191430 2341N 08732W 9655 00367 //// +231 //// 097007 009 014 001 01
191500 2342N 08731W 9674 00351 //// +235 //// 090009 010 012 002 05
191530 2341N 08729W 9659 00364 //// +235 //// 086009 010 /// /// 05
191600 2339N 08729W 9662 00364 //// +235 //// 098010 011 008 001 01
191630 2338N 08728W 9662 00362 0069 +235 +232 106009 010 011 000 01
191700 2337N 08727W 9663 00362 0070 +236 +230 111007 009 011 001 00
191730 2335N 08727W 9666 00360 //// +235 //// 100007 007 010 000 01
191800 2334N 08726W 9661 00361 //// +235 //// 092007 007 010 003 05
191830 2332N 08726W 9668 00358 //// +235 //// 090005 006 009 003 01
191900 2331N 08726W 9664 00361 0070 +235 +231 093006 006 008 000 00
191930 2329N 08727W 9664 00362 //// +235 //// 090007 007 007 000 05
192000 2328N 08727W 9664 00360 //// +235 //// 088007 007 009 001 01
192030 2326N 08727W 9664 00361 0069 +236 +231 084006 006 009 001 01
192100 2325N 08727W 9664 00360 0068 +235 +229 076006 006 009 000 01
192130 2323N 08727W 9664 00360 0068 +237 +229 067006 006 009 001 00
192200 2321N 08727W 9664 00359 0068 +236 +233 059005 006 010 000 01
192230 2320N 08727W 9665 00360 0068 +235 +232 072004 004 007 000 01
192300 2318N 08727W 9664 00360 0068 +235 +233 071005 005 007 000 01
192330 2317N 08728W 9666 00360 0070 +235 +233 068004 004 008 000 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#462 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:33 pm

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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#463 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:37 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 051933
AF307 0103A CYCLONE HDOB 25 20160605
192400 2315N 08728W 9663 00362 0069 +237 +229 061004 005 007 000 00
192430 2313N 08728W 9663 00361 0069 +239 +226 062004 005 008 000 00
192500 2312N 08728W 9665 00359 0068 +240 +222 066004 005 008 000 00
192530 2310N 08728W 9664 00360 0068 +239 +226 054004 004 008 000 00
192600 2309N 08728W 9666 00359 0068 +236 +229 040002 004 008 000 00
192630 2307N 08728W 9664 00360 0068 +235 +232 053001 002 008 000 05
192700 2306N 08728W 9663 00360 0068 +234 +230 350000 001 008 000 01
192730 2304N 08728W 9665 00359 0068 +235 +233 249001 001 008 000 01
192800 2302N 08729W 9664 00359 //// +235 //// 295002 002 008 000 05
192830 2301N 08729W 9664 00359 0067 +235 +231 287002 002 008 000 00
192900 2259N 08729W 9666 00358 //// +235 //// 243002 002 007 000 01
192930 2258N 08729W 9664 00360 //// +235 //// 252002 003 007 000 01
193000 2256N 08729W 9664 00360 //// +235 //// 249003 003 007 000 01
193030 2255N 08729W 9664 00360 0068 +235 +234 248002 003 008 001 01
193100 2253N 08729W 9664 00360 0068 +235 +233 222003 003 007 001 01
193130 2252N 08729W 9660 00364 //// +234 //// 221004 005 006 000 01
193200 2250N 08730W 9664 00361 0069 +235 +233 236004 004 006 000 01
193230 2249N 08730W 9668 00358 0069 +235 +234 229004 004 006 000 01
193300 2247N 08730W 9665 00361 //// +231 //// 232002 003 007 000 01
193330 2245N 08730W 9664 00360 //// +231 //// 227003 003 006 000 05
$$
;

Center confirmed at 23.1N 87.5W. It seems to be moving eastward.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#464 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:38 pm

Center is moving eastward according to recon but can that be a sign of consolidation near the MLC?
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#465 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:40 pm

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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#466 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:42 pm

Saved loop. You be the judge where the LLC might be forming in this mess: :lol:

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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#467 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:45 pm

Through OB 24:

Image

Through OB 25:

Image
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#468 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:46 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 051944
AF307 0103A CYCLONE HDOB 26 20160605
193400 2244N 08729W 9662 00365 //// +231 //// 222004 004 006 000 01
193430 2243N 08728W 9667 00359 //// +230 //// 219005 005 006 000 01
193500 2242N 08727W 9663 00361 0069 +232 +231 229003 004 006 000 01
193530 2241N 08726W 9665 00360 //// +230 //// 226003 004 008 001 05
193600 2240N 08724W 9664 00361 //// +230 //// 218004 005 005 000 01
193630 2239N 08723W 9664 00362 0071 +230 +228 206004 004 005 000 01
193700 2238N 08722W 9666 00361 0071 +233 +228 197005 005 005 000 00
193730 2236N 08721W 9664 00362 0071 +233 +228 191005 006 005 000 00
193800 2235N 08720W 9665 00362 //// +230 //// 181007 007 005 000 01
193830 2234N 08718W 9664 00364 //// +230 //// 184006 007 005 000 01
193900 2233N 08717W 9665 00361 0071 +233 +228 179005 006 005 000 00
193930 2232N 08716W 9665 00362 0072 +231 +228 173005 006 006 000 00
194000 2231N 08715W 9663 00365 0072 +233 +228 179004 005 006 000 00
194030 2230N 08714W 9663 00365 0072 +235 +227 171004 004 005 000 00
194100 2229N 08713W 9664 00362 0072 +235 +226 182004 005 005 000 00
194130 2228N 08711W 9664 00364 0073 +230 +227 198006 006 006 000 00
194200 2227N 08710W 9663 00365 //// +225 //// 191006 006 003 000 01
194230 2226N 08709W 9666 00362 //// +225 //// 201007 007 003 000 01
194300 2225N 08708W 9664 00364 //// +225 //// 195007 008 014 002 01
194330 2223N 08707W 9663 00365 //// +225 //// 194007 007 008 000 01
$$
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#469 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:48 pm

18Z vorticity map just came out. Vorticity stronger and continues to be east of the NHC position:

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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#470 Postby drewschmaltz » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:48 pm

To me it looks like it's going to do just what Levi explained on tropical tidbits.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#471 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:51 pm

look their fly in that could not find low pressure i see their going east tip of Yucatán and west cuba
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#472 Postby NDG » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:52 pm

Recon is heading is finally heading into the general area of the MLC, lets see what it finds.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#473 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:53 pm

look their fly in that could not find good low pressure reading i see their going east tip of Yucatán and west cuba
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#474 Postby robbielyn » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:55 pm

drewschmaltz wrote:To me it looks like it's going to do just what Levi explained on tropical tidbits.

Amen. Couldn't agree more.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#475 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:55 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 051953
AF307 0103A CYCLONE HDOB 27 20160605
194400 2222N 08706W 9666 00360 //// +225 //// 199007 007 006 000 01
194430 2221N 08705W 9664 00361 //// +225 //// 196008 008 008 001 01
194500 2220N 08703W 9664 00356 //// +225 //// 195008 008 003 000 01
194530 2219N 08702W 9664 00353 //// +229 //// 194008 009 004 000 01
194600 2218N 08701W 9665 00350 //// +230 //// 196009 009 012 000 01
194630 2217N 08700W 9663 00351 //// +228 //// 203009 010 009 001 01
194700 2216N 08659W 9664 00350 0059 +230 +228 204010 011 012 000 01
194730 2215N 08658W 9664 00350 0059 +228 +227 210011 011 012 000 05
194800 2214N 08656W 9664 00350 0058 +230 +227 210009 011 006 000 00
194830 2213N 08655W 9663 00354 //// +230 //// 207009 010 007 000 01
194900 2211N 08654W 9664 00355 //// +230 //// 200010 010 007 001 01
194930 2210N 08653W 9663 00358 //// +230 //// 198010 010 004 001 01
195000 2209N 08652W 9663 00359 //// +230 //// 199010 011 004 000 01
195030 2208N 08651W 9664 00356 0065 +233 +229 190010 010 006 001 01
195100 2207N 08649W 9666 00355 0064 +234 +230 187009 010 008 000 00
195130 2206N 08648W 9664 00355 0063 +227 //// 207010 011 011 001 01
195200 2205N 08647W 9662 00356 //// +224 //// 202009 011 011 003 01
195230 2204N 08646W 9677 00343 //// +232 //// 170009 010 014 001 01
195300 2203N 08645W 9663 00353 0060 +237 +230 190010 010 009 001 00
195330 2201N 08645W 9664 00354 0061 +234 +233 177010 011 009 000 01
$$
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#476 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:55 pm

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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#477 Postby NDG » Sun Jun 05, 2016 2:59 pm

S-SSW winds is that the Recon is finding just to the west of the MLC, so nothing at the surface just yet underneath the MLC.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Recon

#478 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:06 pm

00
URNT15 KNHC 052003
AF307 0103A CYCLONE HDOB 28 20160605
195400 2200N 08644W 9662 00356 0060 +233 +232 192013 015 009 002 05
195430 2159N 08643W 9663 00355 0060 +231 //// 174011 014 013 002 01
195500 2158N 08642W 9663 00353 0058 +233 +232 161014 015 014 000 01
195530 2157N 08641W 9664 00351 0059 +235 +228 169013 015 011 000 00
195600 2156N 08640W 9662 00354 0059 +236 +225 171011 012 014 000 00
195630 2155N 08639W 9665 00351 0059 +235 +227 165014 014 013 001 00
195700 2154N 08638W 9666 00350 0059 +235 +231 165016 016 013 001 00
195730 2153N 08637W 9663 00354 0059 +235 +231 171016 016 012 000 00
195800 2152N 08635W 9666 00351 0060 +235 +230 174016 017 012 000 00
195830 2151N 08634W 9663 00354 0060 +235 +232 171015 016 011 000 00
195900 2150N 08633W 9664 00353 0061 +235 +229 174015 015 012 000 00
195930 2149N 08632W 9666 00351 0061 +235 +230 172014 015 012 000 00
200000 2148N 08631W 9664 00354 0060 +235 +230 172014 014 013 000 00
200030 2147N 08630W 9662 00354 0059 +235 +229 170013 014 013 000 00
200100 2145N 08629W 9664 00350 0058 +235 +228 167013 014 014 000 00
200130 2144N 08628W 9664 00350 0056 +236 +229 166012 013 014 000 00
200200 2144N 08626W 9667 00345 0055 +235 +231 164013 014 012 000 03
200230 2144N 08625W 9667 00348 0056 +236 +231 167015 015 011 000 01
200300 2143N 08623W 9663 00351 0056 +238 +227 171016 016 014 000 00
200330 2143N 08621W 9664 00350 0057 +235 +232 170016 017 015 000 01
$$
;

Pressure center is not where the LLC is.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#479 Postby Hammy » Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:07 pm

23N/86.5W seems to be where the LLC is taking shape--the last few frames of the gif show a southward component to the low clouds, if you watch the latitude line so it doesn't get confusing relative to the high cloud motion.
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Re: ATL: THREE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#480 Postby psyclone » Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:07 pm

That MLC looks rather vigorous. looks to be moving due north or just a hair east of due north.
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