Gulf Coast Disturbance (early August)

[bamajammer4eva]

No precip is moving from E to W but there is a NE wind at Keaton Beach well to the north of the semi spin

[tropicwatch]

Tyndall AFB tower in the gulf would be another good one to watch.


NDBC
Location: 29.408N 84.858W
Date: Sun, 7 Aug 2016 02:00:00 UTC
Winds: W (270°) at 14.0 kt gusting to 15.0 kt
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.90 in and falling
Air Temperature: 80.6 F
Dew Point: 74.7 F

[Aric Dunn]

No precip is moving from E to W but there is a NE wind at Keaton Beach well to the north of the semi spin

Yeah not a lot moving east to west as you say. However right west of horseshoe beach there is that recent convection is.

[stormhunter7]

i thought that spin would take off, but in the wv, there is some NE winds coming in over that center.

[stormhunter7]

watch the cedar key station for pressure falls

This personal station is down to 29.87 https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KFLHORSE4

[Kazmit]

Still at 20%/20%. I think this will be a weaker version of Colin, but could be a big rain threat.

[USTropics]

This is looking more and more like it will be a long-term synoptic pattern (~10 days), with the past 3-4 model runs showing multiple vorticies in the NE GOM. One thing is clear, the GFS and the CMC forecast copious amounts of moisture over the next 10 days for this region:

[PTrackerLA]

Strange how the GFS keeps the copious amounts neatly right offshore. Almost like there is a glitch in the way precip total is reflected on that map. The Euro has been showing some of the largest precip totals onshore.

[Ivanhater]

Can someone post the Euro precip map?

[stormhunter7]

we might have a CDO trying to fire near and over coc? with the NE shear

[Aric Dunn]

It is literally sitting right on top of horseshoe beach/ cedar key. Quickly tightening. Wont do much that close to land. Has to move away. Very interesting watching it though

[Aric Dunn]

If it can now just move even 20 to 50 miles offshore it might have a chance.

But look look at that little thing go. Fun to watch.

[Aric Dunn]

is no one else watching this its how you learn

[stormwise]

Can someone post the Euro precip map?

For what day or hour do you need it.

[Ivanhater]

Well I was looking for total accumulation

[stormwise]

Well I was looking for total accumulation

End of the run cant see any further than 240hrs, don't look nice.

https://i.imgsafe.org/6c0bdc00c8.png

[Ivanhater]

Well I was looking for total accumulation

End of the run cant see any further than 240hrs, don't look nice.

https://i.imgsafe.org/6c0bdc00c8.png

Woe...thank you

[stormlover2013]

Guys take a nap!!!! Big big rain maker

[La Breeze]

This will slide west along the northern gulf coast. Insane rain totals expected along the northern gulf coast

How far west is this expected to slide? I was under the impression that it would hang out around the Big Bend area of FL and then move north.

[Aric Dunn]

Guys take a nap!!!! Big big rain maker

this is one of the most intriguing parts of meteorology. tropical development and in radar and observation range ? even if it moves inland and does not get classified this is great data and great time..