Darvince wrote:
No, I too am incredibly worried by global warming. The main reason I'm worried about it is because if that happened, we could breach the +1.5C limit over a decade early and be thrust into an even more dangerous climate state. I honestly don't care about the Atlantic that much and I become slightly afraid every time a strong cyclone/typhoon/hurricane threatens to make landfall, especially as we get further into the 21st century with accelerating sea level rise and the resulting more and more intense storm surges.
All that heat pumped into the oceans already has begun what is likely a permanent global coral bleaching event, so coral reef environments are now going to decay into the future until they no longer exist, and the state of the Arctic sea ice is its worst ever (not the smallest extent, but the most vulnerable as the floes that are there have the smallest average size on record) and it's only going to get worse. So no, it is not because the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season would be inactive, it is because 2017 and beyond would be dangerous for humanity.
I don't want to say much here but some of what you wrote is false and needs to be clarified. You crossed into my other hobby, raising corals.
We are not experiencing a permanent coral bleaching event, this event is similar to 98 and most corals will recover just fine. They have not died, just expelled their zooxanthellae, making them appear ghostly white and putting them at risk, but not killing them outright. It's a defense mechanism for the corals and more than half will recover, similar to the 98 bleaching event.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories201 ... event.htmlOf course there is concern and should be concern, but it's not accurate to say we've started what will likely be a permanent event and reefs are going to decay until they no longer exist. Corals are amazing animals and much more adaptable than we give them credit.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coral_bleachingThe Great Barrier Reef along the coast of Australia experienced bleaching events in 1980, 1982, 1992, 1994, 1998, 2002, 2006, and 2016.[47][48] Some locations suffered severe damage, with up to 90% mortality.[49] The most widespread and intense events occurred in the summers of 1998 and 2002, with 42% and 54% respectively of reefs bleached to some extent, and 18% strongly bleached.[50][51] However coral losses on the reef between 1995 and 2009 were largely offset by growth of new corals.[52] An overall analysis of coral loss found that coral populations on the Great Barrier Reef had declined by 50.7% from 1985 to 2012, but with only about 10% of that decline attributable to bleaching, and the remaining 90% caused about equally by tropical cyclones and by predation by crown-of-thorns starfishes.[53]
The IPCC's moderate warming scenarios (B1 to A1T, 2 °C by 2100, IPCC, 2007, Table SPM.3, p. 13[54]) forecast that corals on the Great Barrier Reef are very likely to regularly experience summer temperatures high enough to induce bleaching.[50]
It's a very complex subject, as most of these are, and there are more threats to corals than just temperature alone.