Interesting debate...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Josephine96

Interesting debate...

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:13 am

Well the NHC @ 11 am now says that TD 16 is not forecast to strengthen into Kate. So this is the debate...

Which system will become Kate 1st {if either}.. TD 16 or the developing blob in the Caribbean...

It's funny how all day yesterday the NHC was insisting TD 16 would strengthen to a tropical storm and now they are completely backing off even though the winds are close to tropical storm force at 35 mph.

Could it again be a female storm for Florida..? we shall see...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact lilbump3000

#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:19 am

My thinking is that Kate will form in the Caribbean, and that is if that system do anything

My Website

http://mel887.tripod.com
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:21 am

LIL Bump.. I have to agree with you.. I thought for sure Kate would have formed out of TD 16 but now I am backing off.. Kate will probably be the Caribbean system.

and TD 16 showed so much promise too lol..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1437
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

#4 Postby JtSmarts » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:28 am

I agree that Kate will probably be the carribean system instead of td 16.
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:28 am

Last time around, in 1985, Kate was quite a late season monster...a cat 3 hurricane in the eastern GOM in the latter half of November...

Image

While it was quite a problem for Florida, damage wasn't quite high enough to be retired. Perhaps she will take another shot at Florida this season...we will see.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:37 am

Maybe Kate has some business she needs to take care of here.. Hopefully it's just rain business and not wind business.
0 likes   
Top
fla_girl
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 7:42 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, Florida

#7 Postby fla_girl » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:42 am

just an observation, but that system south of cuba is in one of the hebert boxes :)
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#8 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:46 am

FLA girl.. you're right.. it's in the farther West Heberet Box.. lol.. My apologies to Hebert for mis spelling his name
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Sep 27, 2003 11:55 am

I think the Carib system has a much better chance at becoming Kate then TD16
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1437
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

#10 Postby JtSmarts » Sat Sep 27, 2003 4:40 pm

I guess we were wrong..LOL :lol:
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#11 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 4:57 pm

We're allowed to be wrong lol.. we're amateurs
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145625
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 27, 2003 5:05 pm

Josephine now the debate centers on what 90L will do.Will it intensify,will it move to Florida as a TD or TS,will it be nothing more than what it is now,will it move thru the Yucatan to the BOC,many questions that hopefully will be answered soon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
ChaserUK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 4:10 pm
Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
Contact:
Contact ChaserUK

#13 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Sep 27, 2003 5:11 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...THE DEPRESSION REACHES TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IS NAMED
KATE...

Looks like this debate has been answered!!!
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#14 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:22 pm

Josephine96 wrote:We're allowed to be wrong lol.. we're amateurs

Professionals are allowed to be wrong, too. Weather forecasting is just that, forecasting. :)
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#15 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:53 pm

Tom.. Good Point lol
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 413 guests