ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3521 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:00 pm

Amazing the GFS keeps running same track over and over with only slight deviations through 4 days...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3522 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:01 pm

102 hrs... W of 12z... Just SSE of Andros... NNW movement
96 hrs... Slightly W of 12z... N of Cuba
Last edited by Blown Away on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3523 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:03 pm

102 hours more ridging and a little more west of 12Z, but only slightly overall
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3524 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:03 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3525 Postby TimeZone » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:04 pm

GFS sticking to it's guns.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3526 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:04 pm

trend

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3527 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:05 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3528 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:06 pm

Just miles east of Andros Island.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3529 Postby blp » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:06 pm

Looking at the trends, I keep seeing slightly slower motion in each run.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3530 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:07 pm

TimeZone wrote:GFS sticking to it's guns.

Just like the 12Z, it has shifted west slightly and slightly slower.
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3531 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:07 pm

108 hrs... Very close/over Andros... Likely near Cat 4...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3532 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:08 pm

This is not a good trend.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3533 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:08 pm

Ut oh, ridging building back at 114 hours :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3534 Postby Alyono » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:09 pm

Direct hit on Nassau. Probably a cat 3
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3535 Postby TimeZone » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:10 pm

Ridging attempting to build back in. This isn't the first time the GFS has shown this. Let's see if it breaks down again as quickly as the last time...
Last edited by TimeZone on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3536 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:10 pm

gatorcane wrote:Ut oh, ridging building back at 114 hours :eek:


Solid Cat 4...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3537 Postby meriland23 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:11 pm

gatorcane wrote:Ut oh, ridging building back at 114 hours :eek:



What does that mean?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3538 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:11 pm

Hour 126, noticeable shift west, closer to Florida
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3539 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:11 pm

126 hrs... Cat 4 @Grand Bahama or 100 miles E of Florida... NNW movement...
Last edited by Blown Away on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3540 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:12 pm

Just got back to look at Mathew from work all day.. holey Moley...and not liking what I'm seeing in the models either..
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