ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4421 Postby tolakram » Sat Oct 01, 2016 10:54 pm

Much faster than the euro again, almost by a day. No wonder the track differences are big.

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4422 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Oct 01, 2016 10:55 pm

Is this with the latest dropsonde data?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4423 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 10:55 pm

Ridge attempting to build back west at hour 78.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4424 Postby tolakram » Sat Oct 01, 2016 10:56 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4425 Postby tolakram » Sat Oct 01, 2016 10:59 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4426 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:00 pm

About 20miles west of 18z
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4427 Postby tgenius » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:00 pm

Appears to be further east from SFL
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4428 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:01 pm

tolakram wrote:Image

ok do see other small shift to west gfs new run?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4429 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:01 pm

What caused yesterday's 00z run to get so close to Florida?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4430 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:02 pm

tgenius wrote:Appears to be further east from SFL

look last frame you bit more close to nw Bahamas not far from fl coast line http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016100200/gfs_mslp_wind_watl_18.png
Last edited by floridasun78 on Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4431 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:03 pm

20 miles west of 18z at 96hrs and maybe slightly faster by an hr or 2
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4432 Postby tolakram » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:03 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4433 Postby tolakram » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:04 pm

trend

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4434 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:07 pm

tolakram wrote:trend

[img]
what trend do you see ?i know this onlky gfs their other models runs we need watch
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4435 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:07 pm

So now we're back to a smudge west again...new trend??? Stay tuned!!! Gotta love how the models keep us coming back time and time again!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4436 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:09 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:So now we're back to a smudge west again...new trend??? Stay tuned!!! Gotta love how the models keep us coming back time and time again!

that why their telling Florida keep eye we see how other models do
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4437 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:10 pm

Yup. Stronger and slightly south-west of previous run. Trying to see what the weaknesses in the ridge are doing.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4438 Postby tgenius » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:10 pm

If that were to pan out it's conceiveable SFL would get some trip storm gusts and a couple of rainbands.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4439 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:10 pm

Just got a quick soaking from a weak storm rolling in off the Atlantic, could this be an indicator that the Bermuda High is holding strong or stronger than originally forecasted?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#4440 Postby toad strangler » Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:10 pm

.
Last edited by toad strangler on Sat Oct 01, 2016 11:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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