ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5641 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Oct 03, 2016 10:59 pm

HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Now coming in further west...because of the quicker motion.


more the ridge
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5642 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Oct 03, 2016 10:59 pm

Hooks a right turn on the Gulf Stream right before the coast. Riding the coast after 78 hours. Matthew seems to like to avoid landfall.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5643 Postby toad strangler » Mon Oct 03, 2016 10:59 pm

00z GFS through 78 now raking the Space Coast of FL

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5644 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:00 pm

Maybe back to an Irene style storm this run, its going pretty fast so may miss trough scooping it up
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5645 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:00 pm

ronyan wrote:I suppose it should impact the Carolinas after paralleling the coast of FL due to quicker movement.


Yeah, thats coming I'm afraid..It wants to trace the geography of the southeastern coastline, if past runs are any indication.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5646 Postby sponger » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:00 pm

Staying offshore Florida. But can it miss GA SC?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5647 Postby RL3AO » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:00 pm

Looks about six hours faster. Might make it hard to avoid landfall in Carolinas.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5648 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:01 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5649 Postby drezee » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:01 pm

With ridge orientation...not sure it can miss SC/NC
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5650 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:02 pm

Angle of approach in Florida means everything when it comes to a landfall or not. Does anyone know whether the GFS has had a right bias with this storm or not?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5651 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:03 pm

Can't turn quick enough.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5652 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:04 pm

It's going to grab South Carolina this time. No chance it curves out fast enough.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5653 Postby storm4u » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:04 pm

Sc landfall
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5654 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:04 pm

938mb
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5655 Postby SouthernBreeze » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:04 pm

Does anyone know what pressure at that point off SC?
* forget that map shows it
Last edited by SouthernBreeze on Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5656 Postby toad strangler » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:05 pm

Just an unforgiving attack on the immediate coast of FL into GA on the 00z GFS
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5657 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:05 pm

Holy smokes, well that's new. Horrible, but new. Hard to get a landfalling cane in SC from that direction...but GFS figured out how to do it.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5658 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:05 pm

So in general it's closer to Ga than 18z?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5659 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:05 pm

Well, Matthew is literally just about at the coast just east of Jacksonville Beach at 90 hours with the eyewall within 50-70 miles of the coast..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#5660 Postby Raebie » Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:06 pm

Bad run for Savannah.
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