ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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- FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Now coming in a hair west of 12z ridge showing stronger storm.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
GFS 18z running


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
MU has the core severely disrupted by Cuba. MUCH weaker this run so far
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
4 run trend


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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- FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Alyono wrote:MU has the core severely disrupted by Cuba. MUCH weaker this run so far
I'm not seeing it... This storm held together quite well over a very mountainous Haiti peninsula and is barely going to touch Cuba...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Just a hair west of the 12z run


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
FLpanhandle91 wrote:Alyono wrote:MU has the core severely disrupted by Cuba. MUCH weaker this run so far
I'm not seeing it... This storm held together quite well over a very mountainous Haiti peninsula and is barely going to touch Cuba...
I concur. That little NNE jog he pulled a few seconds ago has all but confirmed very minimal land interaction with Cuba.
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
tolakram wrote:Just a hair west of the 12z run
I see absolutely no way out this run
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GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
4 run trend


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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Alyono wrote:MU has the core severely disrupted by Cuba. MUCH weaker this run so far
Yea, definitely up through 36 hours the storm is weaker, but it quickly builds right back up as it nears Florida due to a very favorable upper-level environment. Matthew could weaken to 125mph post Cuba and ramp up to 140-145mph near/at landfall in Florida.
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- FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
tolakram wrote:
If that 588 contour is in that position it is a classical case of the MU plowing through the ridge. Cant see a 350degree heading in the face of that setup. But more west. This all but confirms the short and mid term Euro is not truely bugged.
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- eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Anyone know why its forecast to lose some intensity as it approaches Florida? I always thought of thr straits between Fl and the bahamas as pretty fertile ground intensification. Trust me I'd love to see it fizzle out but what's in the way to cause a weaker storm for us?
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- FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Just when I think a run is going to direct hit Florida, Matthew scoots north.
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