ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6461 Postby Ken711 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 9:55 pm

SFLcane wrote:Cone shifted west bit


Also slightly SE from the SC/NC state line track onward.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6462 Postby SouthernBreeze » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:14 pm

I see NHC cone map doesn't show any sort of looping out to sea off SC. Will be interesting to see how next Euro run handles this
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6463 Postby tigerz3030 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:25 pm

NorthJax, based on model runs now what do we expect in St Augustine around WGV?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6464 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:30 pm

0Z GFS running

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6465 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:32 pm

4 run trend

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6466 Postby HurricaneEric » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:32 pm

Hour 18 of 00z GFS virtually the exact same as 18z
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6467 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:34 pm

The ridge is about the same, but maybe a little further south this run with the south side of the ridge
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6468 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:35 pm

Ridge just a tad stronger.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6469 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:37 pm

A little stronger this run, a little further south.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6470 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:37 pm

Looks like a slight south shift on the GFS at 30 hours, slightly stronger ridge
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6471 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:38 pm

4 run trend
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6472 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:39 pm

Definitely a bit stronger and further south with the ridge. Very close to Andros Island now Matthew is. Time will tell if it makes it to the coast.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6473 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:39 pm

Heading for Abaco this run but will it make that nasty landfall
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6474 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:39 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6475 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:40 pm

over Abaco at 36hrs
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6476 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:40 pm

Another slight shift to the south and west by the GFS so far on this run.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6477 Postby caneseddy » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:41 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:over Abaco at 36hrs


I think you meant Andros Island :D
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6478 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:41 pm

42 hours and more south than 18Z :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6479 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:42 pm

It's gonna hit...don't see anyway around it.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6480 Postby psyclone » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:42 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:over Abaco at 36hrs

Andros!
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