ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6801 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:12 am

48 hours for GFS and Euro is pretty much the same.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6802 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:13 am

tolakram wrote:Looking at the full rez weatherbell maps.

Western eyewall on shore over Melbourne at 60 hours and skirting the shore just south of Daytona at 66 hours.


How do the winds for West Palm Beach look, compared to the 12Z?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6803 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:13 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6804 Postby ExBailbonds » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:14 am

Ok that's it for me good night and thank you for your dedication. I have seen what I needed to see. Trying to make a decision if i go to work tomorrow or stay home and shutter up I am in extreme south florida ( Homestead ) :double: :double:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6805 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:14 am

Back off shore near St Augustine at 72 hours, 964mb
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6806 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:14 am

Just awoke to seeing that crazy run that the 00z GFS put on for us. That is one scary run, hopefully it's nuts.

:yayaya:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6807 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:14 am

tolakram wrote:Looking at the full rez weatherbell maps.

Western eyewall on shore over Melbourne at 60 hours and skirting the shore just south of Daytona at 66 hours.


It had to of came awful close to landfall in Palm beach between 48and 72 hours?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6808 Postby stormhunter7 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:14 am

Looks like the space cape is gonna take a hit with some winds!?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6809 Postby stormhunter7 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:15 am

96hrs off the coast of SC.. tracking ene?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6810 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:16 am

HurricaneFrances04 wrote:
tolakram wrote:Looking at the full rez weatherbell maps.

Western eyewall on shore over Melbourne at 60 hours and skirting the shore just south of Daytona at 66 hours.


How do the winds for West Palm Beach look, compared to the 12Z?

Guessing 40 to 60 kts
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6811 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:16 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6812 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:18 am

Nicole is much stronger this run and the trof continues to be flat. Binary interaction alone might argue this looks to loop in coming TAU's.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6813 Postby Alyono » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:20 am

looks like a loop is starting
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6814 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:23 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6815 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:23 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6816 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:24 am

and not weakening this time.. interesting.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6817 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:24 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6818 Postby LarryWx » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:25 am

tolakram wrote:Back off shore near St Augustine at 72 hours, 964mb


Would you please tell me where it is at 78, 84 and 90 hours?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6819 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:28 am

Looking similar to the GFS run. 981mb heading SE @ 126h
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6820 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:29 am

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