ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6521 Postby stephen23 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:12 am

tolakram wrote:visible loop. Rebuilding eyewall, looks to me like it should show strengthening soon, once the outflow gets better established.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-76&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=20&mapcolor=yellow


Also Showing up really well on Cuba long range radar

ADAR&TB2=../Radar/04Camaguey/cmwMAXw01a.gif
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6522 Postby stephen23 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:13 am

stephen23 wrote:
tolakram wrote:visible loop. Rebuilding eyewall, looks to me like it should show strengthening soon, once the outflow gets better established.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-76&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=20&mapcolor=yellow


Also Showing up really well on Cuba long range radar

ADAR&TB2=../Radar/04Camaguey/cmwMAXw01a.gif

http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?T ... AXw01a.gif
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6523 Postby sponger » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:14 am

Rail Dawg wrote:Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.


Safe travels RD!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6524 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:14 am

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Back one page there was a quote from NBC6 John Morales about the intensification going on, and that Hurricane force winds could be expanding. At what point do they change Tropical Storm warnings for at least a Hurricane watch here in Miami Dade.

At this point, if there was a change it would be to a warning not a watch. Its too close for a watch
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6525 Postby shawn6304 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:15 am

Canelaw99 wrote:http://www.weather.gov/mfl/htiwind

Here's my question. I'm in extreme SE Dade County and we only have TS warning at this time, so why on earth are we in red zone for high probability of cat 1-2 winds? I'm a nurse scheduled to work tomorrow and not sure, yet, what the facility is doing. All preps need to be done today. Yes, I know, better to be safe than sorry, but this graphic just surprised me.



Call your Hospital/Practice administrator that is what they are for and should have all information.

My wife is one for HCA.

Shawn
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6526 Postby Rail Dawg » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:15 am

lando wrote:
Rail Dawg wrote:Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.


Where you going in Wpb? Is that where you think landfall will occur?



Good question.

I firmly believe at this point only the NHC should be taken as the factual source for track.

There are many here with expert opinion and I like ALL of what they say because it ALL goes into the decision mix.

But I won't say where something is going to hit.

I will say right now I'm heading to West Palm Beach. Maybe further south.

The goal is the eye.

I also am carrying a lot of relief supplies.
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6527 Postby caneseddy » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:16 am

Miami-Dade just announced schools closed Thursday and Friday
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6528 Postby BobHarlem » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:18 am

This link shows the euro canaveral landfall https://embed.windytv.com/?28.748,-80.4 ... c.wind.mph
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6529 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:19 am

Orlando wrote:I haven't read every page of this thread, but would like to know if you all were in Orlando, would you evacuate?

Also, are the people in Orlando putting up plywood on the windows? Are there other ways to secure the windows besides plywood or shutters?

This forum is always so helpful. This is my first major hurricane to go through.


The general rule is evacuation is for storm surge, not wind. Orlando is not on the coast, therefore, the general rule is not evacuation out of the area. You may however want to evacuate your home into another local building if you feel it is not sturdy enough to ride out the storm.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6530 Postby RL3AO » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:19 am

I suspect the miami dade emergency operations center is really ramping up today. Wouldnt be surprised to see hurricane warning shift southward.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6531 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:19 am

shawn6304 wrote:

Call your Hospital/Practice administrator that is what they are for and should have all information.

My wife is one for HCA.

Shawn


I don't think they've decided yet
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6532 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:21 am

Brian Shields from WFTV just said it the Euro pans out A lot of inland areas WILL see Hurricane force winds and we could see damage that could surpass charley
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6533 Postby caneseddy » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:21 am

RL3AO wrote:I suspect the miami dade emergency operations center is really ramping up today. Wouldnt be surprised to see hurricane warning shift southward.


They already announced schools are closed Thursday and Friday
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6534 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:21 am

With this extra attention south, I'm thinking Palm Beach may be a target for landfall, or the eye is just off the shore.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6535 Postby psyclone » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:22 am

RL3AO wrote:
Orlando wrote:I haven't read every page of this thread, but would like to know if you all were in Orlando, would you evacuate?

Also, are the people in Orlando putting up plywood on the windows? Are there other ways to secure the windows besides plywood or shutters?

This forum is always so helpful. This is my first major hurricane to go through.


No. Must evacs are for storm surge near the coast.


Also mobile homes.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6536 Postby HurricaneEric » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:22 am

Definitely wobble watching here in SW Miami. I remember not boarding up for Katrina when it hit, thinking the eye would go north to Broward/PBC area.

Ended up being in the eye of the storm as well as having an F0 tornado near my place as Katrina wobbled south and west. It was terrifying... we had not put the plywood up while small things we had outside zipped by at 70+mph.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6537 Postby WPBskywatch » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:23 am

Rail Dawg wrote:Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.



Welcome to West Palm! This is where i live. I'm lucky to have front row tickets. Good luck in your travels and stay safe!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6538 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:23 am

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6539 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:24 am

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
marionstorm wrote:
xironman wrote:Which plane was that?


All of the vortex messages on my google earth app say 964

Those are from equipment drops into the storm (vortex msgs) aircraft are extrapolated so they dont always match. That said, the structure is looking better so intensification is not out of the question


I thought Recon was in there measuring. I am obviously distracted here with preparations and I apologize for that oversight. I have not seen the recent flight schedule of the Recon, but I would have to think they will be flying in as much as they are able to within their means.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6540 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:24 am

RL3AO wrote:I suspect the miami dade emergency operations center is really ramping up today. Wouldnt be surprised to see hurricane warning shift southward.


Thanks for the info, though I don't like it :eek: :eek:
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