ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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WeatherOrKnot
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6941 Postby WeatherOrKnot » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:47 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:COnvection wrapping around to the west side now wont be long before we get a closed eyewall and deepening.


Thanks Aric...you are one of my favorite posters here and I really value your info.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6942 Postby blazess556 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:47 pm

Inner core is rebuilding this afternoon while the pressure stays virtually steady. Once inner core is finished, pressure should begin dropping and winds should eventually respond.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6943 Postby dizzyfish » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:48 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I've been offered, via my school, to go storm chasing somewhere on the Florida east coast.

I've never been in a full-blown hurricane before, although I had gusts of about 70 mph aloft in my apartment during Sandy. I told them I am not prepared to go (don't feel comfortable) but others have suggested that I do so as well. I don't feel safe going into an area during the core of what will likely be a category 4 hurricane. That seems too much for me.

Should I stick with my instincts or go for the resume? It seems like a risk too much to take, even though I am in a broadcast met course.


Go ONLY if you have a place of safety to reside. Do NOT go if you are unsure. I am 57 years old and have ALWAYS followed my gut feelings. That in part is why I am 57 years old! :lol:
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#6944 Postby ZX12R » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:49 pm

WeatherOrKnot wrote:
ZX12R wrote:
WeatherOrKnot wrote:For Florida, I'm seeing people say it's west, it's east, the track is heading more offshore, the track is heading more on shore. I mean it is literally all over the place.

I'm not letting my guard down, but I know my mom heard from some random source that track will keep hurricane winds well offshore in pbc and she's becoming complacent.

I know everybody is entitled to their own opionion, but I really wish we'd stick to more facts and or predictions based on currents facts.


I would doubt very seriously, that you could find a more competent group of posters anywhere. I'd be willing to bet also that this site has the highest percentage of fact based comments too. There are just some things that are not strictly black and white. As with most storms. JMO


Oh, I absolutely believe that! There are certain posters who I purposely look for comments from. Not all pro mets either. I'm just worried in general that rumors will cause people to become complacent.


I would emphasize that people shouldn't be coming here for information on what actions to take or not.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6945 Postby gboudx » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:50 pm

Weatherhorse wrote:University of Florida just cancelled classes for Friday.


Interesting. Last I heard the LSU/Florida game was still on for 11am Saturday morning. Has that changed?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6946 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:52 pm

Kind of surprised they have issued hurricane watches for portions of the Florida Gulf Coast.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6947 Postby tigerz3030 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:52 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6948 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:53 pm

Yeah It has been 11years since the state of Florida has had a landfall from a major tropical cyclone, Category 3 or higher, since Wilma in October 2005
Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6949 Postby leanne_uk » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:53 pm

I have tried to PM but I don't think I am doing it right :roll:

I have found out that their home is in Richmond Hill.... any info would be fantastic.

If you are able to, drop me a PM.

Thank you:) ;)

La Sirena wrote:
leanne_uk wrote:Hey guys and gals....

Just a quick one.... my friends bro and sis in law live in Savannah GA.

They have never had to experience a storm with originally Being from the UK. They are worrying about what they should be doing.
Are they likely to be affected by Matthew and should they were boarding up the windows etc.. if so?

I know that there is probably info already on one of the pages but I have a teething baby and I am struggling to use the phone and look for relevant info.

Thanks in advance :) ;)

Hi Leanne! I used to live in the Savannah area on a barrier island called Tybee. I just received a call that they are doing a mandatory evacuation on Tybee. I'm unsure about Savannah. Do you know which area in Savannah they live? I was told that they consider anything west of interstate 95 to be a safe zone but flooding is a concern for the whole area.

You can private message me if needed! I still have loads of contacts there and can try to help you out if I can.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6950 Postby trave2 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:53 pm

they issued tropical storm watch for gulf coast.....not Hurricane watch
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6951 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:54 pm

Landfall on central Florida's coast Line. In Brevard county. That's the forecast landfall near the cape
Last edited by hurricanefloyd5 on Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6952 Postby trave2 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:54 pm

track is a little south with 5pm cone
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6953 Postby dukeblue219 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm

gboudx wrote:
Weatherhorse wrote:University of Florida just cancelled classes for Friday.


Interesting. Last I heard the LSU/Florida game was still on for 11am Saturday morning. Has that changed?


No, but they have announced an upcoming announcement after 5pm EDT.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6954 Postby dhweather » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm

Warm water, low shear, the ingredients are there for intensification. The "good" news is that the waters around the Bahamas are not as deep, so that somewhat limits intensification. Regardless, Matthew is still a major hurricane and will likely make landfall somewhere on the East coast of Florida, which is what everyone there should be preparing for NOW. You have time right now, do not waste it.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6955 Postby scogor » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm

On the UF/LSU game, an announcement is being made at 5 pm from what I understand. Could someone post the link to confirm UF's cancelling classes on Friday? And how in the world can I convince my 89 year old mother in law who lives near the St. Johns River in Jacksonville to get on a plane to Tampa so we can pick her up and bring her to Sarasota? She and her friends think this is no big deal but I can only imagine what the aftermath will be if the current models are accurate--might be weeks before power is restored to the area!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6956 Postby Weatherhorse » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm

gboudx wrote:
Weatherhorse wrote:University of Florida just cancelled classes for Friday.


Interesting. Last I heard the LSU/Florida game was still on for 11am Saturday morning. Has that changed?


They are supposed to update after 5 pm, no word yet. I'll post something when I know.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6957 Postby trave2 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm

that convection was playing with your eyes. The center is still on a wnw/nw track. Also look at microwave image to confirm
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6958 Postby Airboy » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:55 pm

M. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 40 nautical miles (46 statute miles)
M. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles)

Is this the diameter of the eye or what does it mean? sounds bigger than before I think?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6959 Postby Weatherhorse » Wed Oct 05, 2016 3:57 pm

scogor wrote:On the UF/LSU game, an announcement is being made at 5 pm from what I understand. Could someone post the link to confirm UF's cancelling classes on Friday? And how in the world can I convince my 89 year old mother in law who lives near the St. Johns River in Jacksonville to get on a plane to Tampa so we can pick her up and bring her to Sarasota? She and her friends think this is no big deal but I can only imagine what the aftermath will be if the current models are accurate--might be weeks before power is restored to the area!


http://ufalert.ufl.edu/category/ufalert/
I've gotten three email alerts and a text message. The UF home page hasn't been updated, but classes are definitely cancelled.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6960 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 05, 2016 4:00 pm

Airboy wrote:M. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 40 nautical miles (46 statute miles)
M. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles)

Is this the diameter of the eye or what does it mean? sounds bigger than before I think?


Yes, an ellipse has a major and minor axis.

Image
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Wed Oct 05, 2016 4:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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