ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gatorcane]

Mandatory evacuations now for Palm Beach County Zones A and B from Boca Raton up to Jupiter

[TheAustinMan]

Recon radar imagery from their latest pass courtesy of NOAA's Aircraft Operations Center.

[jasons2k]

Thats a "fist" if I've ever seen one. I'm very concerned about next 12 to 24 hours.

I'm behind...but yes I thought the same thing. It was like seeing Ivan all over again.

[ZX12R]

I'm no meteorologist, but I see something that I've always noticed prefaced massive strengthening...

Whenever all of those "lines" emanating from the center form after something wraps.

Those are outflow boundaries, from previously-collapsed squalls. They're not a sign of strengthening, they mean that an area of squalls has collapsed. These outflow boundaries are often seen around a weakening storm.

I love this site. Thank you, wxman57!

[UFCountryMama85]

Howdy to everybody... I live in Orange City, Volusia county Florida about 25 miles east of the Volusia/Brevard Co coastline & had a question about the wind field. When it says for instance hurricane winds are 45 miles from the eye is that each way from the center or total diameter? Just curious we went through Charley in Kissimmee & don't want to underestimate another hurricane. Also I've been lurking at you folks for a couple weeks and can't understand the hostility in here I've seen at certain times. Truth be told not one model, one meteorologist or one spectator knows 100% where Matthew is going only he knows. All this debating and critiquing with each other over the unknown is useless. It clearly states these are opinions not facts in here & were all adults so agree to disagree lol. The only fact is preperation should be taken. Be safe & good luck to all who might meet Matthew.

[Aric Dunn]

Recon radar imagery from their latest pass courtesy of NOAA's Aircraft Operations Center.

[img]http://i.imgur.com/DfBGQoD.png[/ig]

that was almost and hour ago..


here you go

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... OAA-3-.kmz

[floridasun78]

here new channel from Bahamas http://original.livestream.com/znsbahamas live report from Bahamas

[Alyono]

This is not yet intensifying. There is nothing close to explosive intensification ongoing.

If anything, this may be down to a cat 2 based upon the aircraft data

[ronyan]

I'm no meteorologist, but I see something that I've always noticed prefaced massive strengthening...
Whenever all of those "lines" emanating from the center form after something wraps.

I call it the "fist"
Getting very worried
Jax has never experienced what NHC projects

I think you're mixing up two different phenomena here. This fist is like a large hot tower sometimes seen near the center.

[SunnyThoughts]

Rick Scott live presser on TWC right now.

[dhweather]

I will buy off on getting better organized, perhaps intensifying, but bombing right now? No.

[Raebie]

I'm no meteorologist, but I see something that I've always noticed prefaced massive strengthening...

Whenever all of those "lines" emanating from the center form after something wraps.

Those are outflow boundaries, from previously-collapsed squalls. They're not a sign of strengthening, they mean that an area of squalls has collapsed. These outflow boundaries are often seen around a weakening storm.

I'm confused by that statement because Matthew is gaining strength, isn't it?

[tarheelprogrammer]

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/783795529549422593

[dhweather]

I'm no meteorologist, but I see something that I've always noticed prefaced massive strengthening...

Whenever all of those "lines" emanating from the center form after something wraps.

Those are outflow boundaries, from previously-collapsed squalls. They're not a sign of strengthening, they mean that an area of squalls has collapsed. These outflow boundaries are often seen around a weakening storm.

I'm confused by that statement because Matthew is gaining strength.

What are you basing that on?

[wxman57]

I'm no meteorologist, but I see something that I've always noticed prefaced massive strengthening...

Whenever all of those "lines" emanating from the center form after something wraps.

Those are outflow boundaries, from previously-collapsed squalls. They're not a sign of strengthening, they mean that an area of squalls has collapsed. These outflow boundaries are often seen around a weakening storm.

I'm confused by that statement because Matthew is gaining strength.

Key word in my response was "often". Outflow boundaries are often (not always) a sign of a weakening storm.

[SunnyThoughts]

1500 members of National Guard activated. 6000 more ready if needed Per Rick Scott during press briefing.

[floridasun78]

i have say we gone good coverage of hurr on storm2k this site been good as watching local news and twc good job storm2k friends!!!!!!

[wxmann_91]

This is not yet intensifying. There is nothing close to explosive intensification ongoing.

If anything, this may be down to a cat 2 based upon the aircraft data

THANK YOU. Recon data shows that the wind field has broadened, and the radar data still indicates an open west eyewall. A far cry from any RI.

[northjaxpro]

Due to the southward and westward shift of the track, this is the worst case scenario I feared to potentially manifest. This shift increases the potential of Orlando area to be impacted by Matthew with trlopical storm type conditions there. It will be likely that the eyewall may make landfall somewhere from Martin County north to Brevard County. The potential of Matthew.strengthening to a high end Cat 4 or even to Cat 5. Really frightens me for that portion of the Florida East Coast. Potential devastation all along the coast.

Also, the shift in track brings into play more significant potential impacts for areas in and around Orlando, and even tropical storm wind conditions in areas like Ocala and Gainesville .

[stephen23]

Can you extrapolate 330 degrees to the Florida coast? Where does that hit?

Per last recon Fix it appears storm current heading is at 330 degrees.
http://i67.tinypic.com/2vns7cp.jpg

I really hate to do that because I don't want to get anyone to let their guard down.