ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jlauderdal]

Well, it took seven hours but house is all shuttered and supplies are all stocked for Matthew here in northern PBC. Did most of my buying two days ago - and very thankful for that! Satellite view looks very impressive - will have to see if Recon obs eventually catch up.

took me 8 but had to take multiple breaks including a 30 min siesta...weather was hot and sunny..30 mins after completion we were hit with a downpour..mother nature usually gives the day before for preps and it did today

It was crazy hot - I think I drank about 5 gallons of water and Gatorade! Lol. And we had our first rain 5 minutes after I tightened the bolts on the last set of shutters. Hunkered down amid ready to go.

Me too.tons of water and gatorade..im.impressed with broward county preps...lots of shutters up and supplies bought..complacency is low

[floridasun78]

:eek:

https://twitter.com/mikewdross/status/7 ... 1838489600

two people twitter that models showing it by south fl look like their like that models

The HRRR is a high-res model that's (sadly) EXTREMELY accurate when it comes to predicting 12-15* (sorry) hours out for storms, fairly new, but again very accurate (it did a great job with Hermine for example).

ty for explaining

[bahamaswx]

Family reporting cat 3 conditions in the exumas. Blowing very, very hard now.

[Aric Dunn]

this has all the makings for intensifying quite fast.. cat 4 by morning.. maybe....

[ZX12R]

That looks absolutely frightning and hinting at an eye..

"Poised"

This honestly needs to be coined as the most used word for this season, just from this storm alone..

It's obvious I liked it.

[gatorcane]

[GTStorm]

um...yeah. looks like he's winding back up. oh boy.

[HurricaneRyan]

So is yet another ERC happening?

[Jevo]

Max Mayfield discussing Matthew with Ed Rappaport on WPLG right now. I'm having a bit of a weather Geek Out moment.

[RL3AO]

So is yet another ERC happening?

It's just finally closing an eyewall off after passing Cuba.

[jlauderdal]

HRRR runs every hour I think, right?

yep...it needs to be watched, it could be on tto something...ready for matthew with preps complete

[WeatherHoon]

In a hypothetical situation where Matthew does take a sharp West turn at the last minute, what would be the cause of that? The ridge being super strong?

[Aric Dunn]

So is yet another ERC happening?

no no..ERC happen typically during stable stages of a mature hurricane. matthew is rebuilding its inner core from the land interaction. wont be enough time for a ERC should strengthen up to landfall.

[RL3AO]

NWS Jacksonville breaking out some Katrina-like language.

[chris_fit]

Gust to 130mph at George Town, Bahamas before the station went offline...

https://www.wunderground.com/bs/george-town

[Exalt]

So is yet another ERC happening?

A redo of the core. There was an eye before and it's creating a new eye now so yes you could say it's almost a frankenstein-esque ERC, but in technicality, no it is not. The cane has completely redone its eyewall and CDO as a whole.

[Aric Dunn]

grrr.. cuba turned off the radar

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Starting to get that '9' shape.

[SouthDadeFish]

Low-level structure of Hurricane Matthew looks to be improving. Almost a closed cyan ring (classic cyan ring would be thicker on SW side to my understanding). For those unfamiliar with microwave imagery, a cyan ring around the eye is a harbinger of rapid intensification.

 https://twitter.com/MikeFischerWx/status/783838482233958400

[swampgator92]

It's really getting it together now. Eye and structure is improving. West jog?

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... map=latlon[*]