ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Matthew and his little sister Nicole racking up the ACE over the Atlantic.

[northjaxpro]

Pressure dropping. This is alreadfy dipping into the high 930s mb. This is the worst news and I really think a Cat 5 tropical cyclone nay happen in the NW Bahamas.

[MaineWeatherNut]

The First outer bands should be moving on shore around Miami here pretty soon. They are just off shore.

[drewschmaltz]

I was sort of hoping that Matthew would gather himself already and perform an ERC into landfall. This prolonged reorganization seems timed to have intensification into landfall. I bet we find something close to RI into landfall.

Or maybe something close to RI right now.

[ronjon]

Someone really needs to smack Jim Cantore upside the head. He is talking about the eye becoming cloudy which is good, it may be shear, blah, blah, blah. Someone needs to inform him it is getting stronger-not weaker, according to recon!

Yeah he did..but he also said it could strengthen over the gulf stream.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Looking gnarly again.

[NDG]

Matthews outflow goes out all the way into South America.

[jlauderdal]

Someone really needs to smack Jim Cantore upside the head. He is talking about the eye becoming cloudy which is good, it may be shear, blah, blah, blah. Someone needs to inform him it is getting stronger-not weaker, according to recon!

Yeah he did..but he also said it could strengthen over the gulf stream.

jim cantore needs to looks at the recon reports instead of IR images....local media doing a good job, so much better than years past when it was a bunch of misinformation, no hype needed for this system so it would be tough to overhype it..we get the miami nbc station and palm beach nbc station...both have been great..i see ajog to the north right towards nassau on miami radar

[Hypercane_Kyle]

I grew up in Cape Canaveral. This situation is so heartbreaking to watch unfold. Terrified that the NASA launch facilities could be irrevocably damaged by this event too.

[jhpigott]

What about north Palm Beach county? Tia.

Ditto that question. I'm in the North Palm Beach/Juno Beach area and my point forecast calling for 65-85 sustained from the N gusting to 105. Sound reasonable? Looks like we may catch part of the western eyewall. I guess my concern would be a little jog west and we catch the northern eyewall (or God forbid the north eastern eyewall)

Not trying to scare you, but you could be ground zero for landfall of a 140 mph hurricane. Many reliable models bring the storm in near your location.

Yep, that's my concern. If the NHC track holds we'll be in the western core of a 140mph hurricane, which would likely give me high end Cat 1/ low end Cat 2 conditions similar to what we got with Jeanne and Wilma. A track little further west and we catch the N/NE part of the core and potentially a whole other ballgame. Going to be close

[northjaxpro]

This is just a frightening sight currently. An intensifying tropical cyclone taking advantage of nearly ideal conditons in the Bahamas. The even more frightening thought is that the cyclone has yet to move over the Gulf Stream.

:Everyone in the Bahamas and in the path of Matthew PLEASE STAY SAFE!! Everywhere along the Florida East Coast are looking at potential extreme impacts. Terrible situation unfolding .

[SouthDadeFish]

Pretty tight inner-core. Very well organized:

[Hypercane_Kyle]

VDM no longer showing an open eye.

[KBBOCA]

My heart is so heavy this morning... for Haiti, Cuba and the Bahamas...
and now all on the FL / GA / SC coast.

This is truly looking like one of the "worst case scenarios" so many of us used to banter about, perhaps not really believing we'd ever see it materialize in our lifetimes. So much climatology and history is against the current forecast track, but it looks like it's going to happen. All the models and NHC seem in very earnest agreement about the rough scenario unfolding where basically the whole coastline from Broward on up to Myrtle Beach may get raked by an incredibly strong and dangerous storm.

Hate what I'm seeing about the pressure drops and the storm continuing to get its act together. Praying much for all of you directly affected by the storm or who have loved ones in its path. May you all find safe places of shelter and many friends, family and neighbors supporting each other during these difficult days.

[MGC]

Oh man, I didn't expect Matthew to intensify this quickly since I went to bed shortly after the 11pm advisory. That pressure plunge is scary. This hurricane is most likely going to be a Cat-4 as forecast by NHC. Looks like Matthew is going to shoot the gap between Andros Island and New Providence Island putting Nassau in the RFQ eyewall. Really think it would be a good idea if you live close to the coast in the hurricane warned area to flee today. The is going to be a catastrophe of epic proportions....MGC

[Hypercane_Kyle]

EWRC? Radar is showing an intense band developing around the eyewall.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[MaineWeatherNut]

EWRC? Radar is showing an intense band developing around the eyewall.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

doubt it... Per the last VDM there is still a healthy 16 mile wide eye. still plenty of room for it to contract. Also recon isn't showing any sort of secondary wind maximum at the moment.

[HurricaneEric]

Man... I know Miami is gonna dodge a bit of a bullet here but seeing a monster major hurricane this close to the coast still makes me feel really uneasy.

Hoping and praying for those who will have to deal with the worst of this storm.

[brunota2003]

Here is something we did before Isabel hit NC in 2003: Take a video of EVERYTHING you can for insurance purposes. On high dollar equipment (TV, Computers, etc), write down the make, model, S/N, and if you know it, the value (basically making a high value cheat sheet). We had outbuildings that were full of tools. We took video showing every tool in every tool chest, and wrote down information we thought might be pertinent in the event we needed to file an insurance claim. Thankfully for us, Isabel weakened and we didn't need the video...but for those worried about possibly losing things, it'll give you something to do other than just sitting around worrying.

Of course if you evacuate, be sure you take the list and video with you. It doesn't do you any good if you lose it, too.

Just reposting this for all those waking up this morning...given I posted it around 2 am this morning, which means it is long buried by now!

[Michele B]

Matthew and his little sister Nicole racking up the ACE over the Atlantic.

That is so weird. Can someone explain to me how Nicole's presence is impacting/influencing Matthew?

TIA