ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[meriland23]

I'm getting really frustrated with the news programs, Yahoo news, etc. All of them are talking their heads off about the election. ..because you know, that is more important atm than informing people a cat 4 monster is going to decimate the EC

[supercane4867]

What's up with the recons right now? The NOAA plane from Tampa seems to have lost communication and AF is heading back to base?

[bamajammer4eva]

Looks like this may be the first time Extreme Wind Warning will be likely issued.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_wind_warning?wprov=sfla1

In National Weather Service (NWS) terminology, an extreme wind warning(EWW) is a warning issued when a landfallinghurricane is expected to bring winds of 100 knots (115 mph, 185 km/h, 51 m/s) to a specific location. The warning is issued just prior to when the strongest winds of theeyewall are expected to impact an area

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[psyclone]

Looks like this may be the first time Extreme Wind Warning will be likely issued.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_wind_warning?wprov=sfla1

In National Weather Service (NWS) terminology, an extreme wind warning(EWW) is a warning issued when a landfallinghurricane is expected to bring winds of 100 knots (115 mph, 185 km/h, 51 m/s) to a specific location. The warning is issued just prior to when the strongest winds of theeyewall are expected to impact an area

Sent from my XT1650 using Tapatalk

I like this product...I think it was conceived after Charley. I remember a hypothetical depiction of the warning area for Charley in a graphic from the NWS Tampa Bay. I was hoping we'd never see it used but it looks likely if that eyewall comes onshore.

[Aric Dunn]

that is another extremely intense convection in the eyewall again.. likely stronger..

[dukeblue219]

What's up with the recons right now? The NOAA plane from Tampa seems to have lost communication and AF is heading back to base?

AF is evidentally returning to base, but that's the only issue right now. The NOAA flight (Mission 26) landed back at MacDill. What comm issue are you seeing?

[NDG]

Will he really move over Orlando Florida?

Not move over, GFS shows "only" the eyewall ober Orlando.

Will the eye wall move over downtown Orlando

Two runs in row that the GFS, including the latest 12z, forecasting the NW and western eyewall to pass over Orlando. Keep in mind that the eye of Matthew will be expanding as forecasted by the GFS so there is good chance even if stays a little more east than what the GFS shows. IMO.

[mpic]

I'm getting really frustrated with the news programs, Yahoo news, etc. All of them are talking their heads off about the election. ..because you know, that is more important atm than informing people a cat 4 monster is going to decimate the EC

http://www.local10.com/live/watch-the-local-10-news

[marye45]

Walt Disney World is closing at 5pm and will remain closed tomorrow.

[newtotex]

Not move over, GFS shows "only" the eyewall ober Orlando.

Will the eye wall move over downtown Orlando

Two runs in row that the GFS, including the latest 12z, forecasting the NW and western eyewall to pass over Orlando. Keep in mind that the eye of Matthew will be expanding as forecasted by the GFS so there is good chance even if stays a little more east than what the GFS shows. IMO.

What kind of winds are they looking like in Orlando? I used to live there and have many friends there still, none of them seem to be taking the storm seriously (they have more booze than water I think

[ConvergenceZone]

Slightly off topic, but for those with smart phones, there are some great cheap hurricane tracking apps for those on the go that want to to track Matthew

[ncweatherwizard]

NW quad looks improved in the last frame, we'll see if that can persist but ragged and thin look hasn't seemed to matter much so far.

I wish a met would chime in on why its appearance has continued to look ragged ever since it emerged from Cuba. Obviously it's strengthening and cosmetic appearances probably are secondary, but relatively speaking this is the most unimpressive Cat 4 that I've seen just judging from IR. Has it been dealing with modest NW shear? Most of the convection and feeders seem confined to the S and SW quadrants.

Looks like a little bit of drier air is inhibiting deep convection immediately NW of the core. Farther northwest, as in off the E. coast of Florida, there's also a good bit of deep layer shear, so it's more difficult for clouds in the outer rainbands to maintain a deep vertical structure and pump moisture into the middle and upper levels.

[DelrayMorris]

Slightly off topic, but for those with smart phones, there are some great cheap hurricane tracking apps for those on the go that want to to track Matthew

Which ones, ConvergenceZone? I'd like to download them before I lose wi-fi

[hurricanefloyd5]

http://www.wftv.com/watch-live

for anybody who's interested you can watch live coverage on WFTV Channel 9 Orlando live coverage until the hurricane passes

[FLLurker32]

Updated Tropical storm warning details just came out for Marion County (I'm 60 miles west of Daytona. 50 miles NW of Orlando.) 40-50mph winds but prepare for Cat 3? Well, that's quite a range of possibilities there...


* WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 40-50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH - WINDOW FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS: EARLY FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: EXTREME - THE WIND THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR MAJOR HURRICANE FORCE WIND GREATER THAN 110 MPH OF EQUIVALENT CATEGORY 3 INTENSITY OR HIGHER. - TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF DEVASTATING TO CATASTROPHIC WIND IMPACTS. REMAINING EFFORTS TO SECURE PROPERTIES SHOULD NOW BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION. - EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, LOSS OF LIFE, OR IMMENSE HUMAN SUFFERING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS.

[hohnywx]

Did anyone just see that couple on the beach on TWC? They are thinking this is going to be nothing worse than a blizzard. Unbelievable...

[shawn6304]

What's up with the recons right now? The NOAA plane from Tampa seems to have lost communication and AF is heading back to base?

AF is evidentally returning to base, but that's the only issue right now. The NOAA flight (Mission 26) landed back at MacDill. What comm issue are you seeing?

Weather network said they havery a meteorologist on that NOAA flight the planes radar malfunctioned

[NDG]

Will the eye wall move over downtown Orlando

Two runs in row that the GFS, including the latest 12z, forecasting the NW and western eyewall to pass over Orlando. Keep in mind that the eye of Matthew will be expanding as forecasted by the GFS so there is good chance even if stays a little more east than what the GFS shows. IMO.

What kind of winds are they looking like in Orlando? I used to live there and have many friends there still, none of them seem to be taking the storm seriously (they have more booze than water I think

Pro-Mets in this area that are from this area say that conditions could be worst that when Charley when the city had wind gusts over 108mph, what could make it worst is that Matthew is moving slower than what Charley was so the duration of hurricane force winds will last longer. If indeed the western eyewall comes through Orlando while it is still a Cat 4 I would not be surprised if wind gusts will be much higher than 108 mph. IMO.

[MaineWeatherNut]

Did anyone just see that couple on the beach on TWC? They are thinking this is going to be nothing worse than a blizzard. Unbelievable...

Living in Maine I have been through my far share of Blizzard in my life but I have NEVER seen one with 100+ MPH sustained winds...

[OntarioEggplant]

Did anyone just see that couple on the beach on TWC? They are thinking this is going to be nothing worse than a blizzard. Unbelievable...

Unfortunately there are large amount of people who have moved to Florida since the last major landfall who have no idea what to expect.