ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Looking at radar, the outer eyewall does appear to be contracting. That is a concern greatly to me that Matthew may be trying to intensify a bit once again.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Oct 07, 2016 7:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Bhuggs wrote:Is this a west shift or wobble or are my eyes playing a trick on me with the barrier island that juts out?
Maybe just another example of Matthew avoiding land, and following the contours of it?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
In retrospect, it fortunately for FL to this point looks like the NNW heading from last evening prevailed all night per NHC hourly updates (other than some NW/WNW wobbles) and is still the average direction. Crossing my fingers this turns to a northerly direction very soon.
Last edited by LarryWx on Fri Oct 07, 2016 7:51 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
What I initially thought was a wobble to the NW is now somewhat concerning. Anyone else seeing this on the first few daylight slides?
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... lor=yellow
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... lor=yellow
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- Evil Jeremy
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
northjaxpro wrote:Looking at radar, the outer eyewall does appear to be contracting. That is a concern greatly to me that Matthew may be trying to intensify a bit once again.
I remember reading you stayed in Jax. Stay safe up there!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
I know we have some members that are in Carteret County, NC. The school system just announced early release schedule due to the rain.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
It appears to be paralleling the coast. Would be nice if it could wobble away since while avoiding the worst the shear amount of damage up and down the coastline is going to be costly.


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
guys its going to get real close to the coast..........yall know this........if it makes landfall it will be barely making landfall..........just be safe!!!!
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Evil Jeremy wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Looking at radar, the outer eyewall does appear to be contracting. That is a concern greatly to me that Matthew may be trying to intensify a bit once again.
I remember reading you stayed in Jax. Stay safe up there!
Yeah, I am at home Evil Jeremy. I am now getting gusts to over tropical strorm force already. Just measured 44 mph gust the past 5 minutes. Thanks. You stay safe as well. The Powet is still on for the time being.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Oct 07, 2016 7:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Evil Jeremy wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Looking at radar, the outer eyewall does appear to be contracting. That is a concern greatly to me that Matthew may be trying to intensify a bit once again.
I remember reading you stayed in Jax. Stay safe up there!
Hey guys,
Here in St Aug by WGV, steady rains and sustained winds around 25-30 now some gusts to 40-45 so far. By looking at radar, looks like storm is gaining strength and moving more NW again straight towards us. Going to be an intense next 6-10 hours.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Before anybody thinks that Matthew is not a Major hurricane any more because pressure has risen a little bit this morning or because there is no official Cat 3 winds reported from the coast, recon keeps finding plenty of Cat 3 hurricane winds but on the northern and eastern quadrant, which is good.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
tigerz3030 wrote:Evil Jeremy wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Looking at radar, the outer eyewall does appear to be contracting. That is a concern greatly to me that Matthew may be trying to intensify a bit once again.
I remember reading you stayed in Jax. Stay safe up there!
Hey guys,
Here in St Aug by WGV, steady rains and sustained winds around 25-30 now some gusts to 40-45 so far. By looking at radar, looks like storm is gaining strength and moving more NW again straight towards us. Going to be an intense next 6-10 hours.
Yeah. WGV I am becoming increasingly concerned aboutbwhat does look more of a NW motion of the eyewall now. Since the western outer eyewall brushed Cape Canaversl after 4:00 a.m. when I was monitoring it, the western eyewall has moved even closer to the coast.ooming at radar, you can ser that New Smyrna Beach may be touching the westernmost edge of the eyewall now. I am not liking this shift at all WGV and others. Also, the eyewall is trying to contract and thst is an ominous sign that Matthew is tring to intensify again.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Oct 07, 2016 8:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Still moving NNW per recon fixes. Looks like we dodged a major hurricane coming ashore for FL but nobody northward should let their guard down!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
I dont think Postel from the Weather Channel knows how to read recon data...
Recon shows 117mph surface winds on the last pass. He keeps 80-90 at the most from recon. Someone needs to help him...
Recon shows 117mph surface winds on the last pass. He keeps 80-90 at the most from recon. Someone needs to help him...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Matthew has gotten closer to shore since last night.
Inside of the eye is only 5 miles offshore.

Inside of the eye is only 5 miles offshore.

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Mark, are these pictures from Twitter? If so, how do I view the whole think on my desktop?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Stangfriik wrote:Ramping up quite good here in new smyrna. See a couple branches broke high up in the trees but that's about it. Supposed to the bad stuff in a little bit though
Please do keep us posted _ I;m beachside Seawoods but evacuated with family...
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Disclaimer: while I am PhD who does research I'm rambling here so this post should be taken only for entertainment...use nhc.noaa.gov for official forecasts!
FLoridian living round here for a while: 2016 Matthew & 1998 Earl lived barrier island landfall. Also lived nearby/inland for: 2017 Irma & 2004 Frances,Jeanne & 1992 Andrew
FLoridian living round here for a while: 2016 Matthew & 1998 Earl lived barrier island landfall. Also lived nearby/inland for: 2017 Irma & 2004 Frances,Jeanne & 1992 Andrew
- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion
Also, although is very slight, forward motion is also beginning to slow just a bit. Now NNW at 12mph, was 15 mph at the time the eyewall passed. Cape Canaveral within the past 3 hours.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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