ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[caneman]

Gfs has been horrendous with this storm..euro looks right

Clearly you've not been following this storm. Neither were spectacular until the closing days

[Frank P]

Winds are kicking in here in Biloxi. Before was just rain. I don't know the windspeed. I just hear it outside my window.

From the GPT Harbor... you can view live weather data... winds around 24 with gusts to 32... Harbor is 6 miles west of my house on the beach..
http://www.gulfport-ms.gov/weather/

[tolakram]

Here's the GOES 16 shortwave loop: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-07-48-1

[CrazyC83]

Tweets and images from Ryan Maue
[tw eet]https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/877226773913767937[/tweet]

ECMWF 12z landfalls TS Cindy into Houston ... could be some strong winds ... keep watch on the coast ... 990 mb is minor hurricane pressure

saved image
[i mg]http://i.imgur.com/W7qgD2a.png[/img]

With Cindy being such a large storm wouldn't we need even lower pressure for it to acquire hurricane intensity?

I would think given its gradient we would need at least down in the low 980s to support a hurricane.

[WeatherGuesser]

On the good news/flip side of things...

The farmers in the lower Midwest could use the rain. Hopefully this does turn into a non-event and the moisture moves up the Mississippi River Valley and provides a steady but not flooding rain event.

Some yes, but not 4-5" in a day or two.

[MidnightRain]

Pascagoula, mobile and surrounding areas is about to get rocked with very heavy rain

Yeah New Orleans to Gulfport could be a bad flooding situation tonight.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 210032
AF306 0303A CINDY HDOB 13 20170621
002200 2526N 09051W 8429 01488 9992 +190 +169 292017 018 029 001 00
002230 2526N 09049W 8429 01487 9992 +187 +169 284017 017 028 000 00
002300 2526N 09047W 8430 01488 9992 +185 +166 274016 016 026 000 00
002330 2526N 09045W 8430 01484 9993 +187 +163 260018 019 026 000 00
002400 2526N 09043W 8429 01487 9991 +190 +155 251021 022 025 000 00
002430 2526N 09041W 8430 01485 9990 +194 +150 245021 022 026 000 00
002500 2526N 09039W 8430 01487 9990 +193 +139 233020 020 025 000 00
002530 2526N 09037W 8428 01489 9990 +197 +135 232021 021 026 000 00
002600 2526N 09035W 8430 01487 9991 +194 +141 231021 022 023 000 00
002630 2526N 09033W 8430 01488 9993 +190 +151 229022 022 025 000 00
002700 2526N 09031W 8429 01490 9993 +189 +159 225021 021 025 000 00
002730 2526N 09029W 8429 01489 9993 +187 +167 220021 022 024 000 00
002800 2527N 09027W 8429 01491 9992 +192 +163 220022 022 025 000 00
002830 2527N 09025W 8430 01489 9993 +191 +158 218022 022 025 000 00
002900 2527N 09023W 8428 01492 9995 +190 +157 217024 025 025 000 00
002930 2527N 09021W 8430 01491 9998 +184 +157 215025 026 026 001 00
003000 2527N 09019W 8433 01489 0002 +178 +163 216026 026 024 001 00
003030 2527N 09017W 8430 01492 0002 +180 +157 214027 027 023 000 00
003100 2527N 09015W 8430 01493 0002 +182 +156 212026 027 026 001 00
003130 2527N 09014W 8429 01496 0002 +182 +155 214027 027 027 000 00
$$
;

[tolakram]

[Janie2006]

Consistent moderate tropical downpours in Mobtown (aka Mobile ) for the last couple of hours....consistent because they. just. don't. stop. Flooding situation could get very dicey before too much longer

[Steve]

I think it depends on what's behind this next surge. It's yellows/oranges here with steady rain and maybe gusts to 25-30. We are close to 2" which itself isn't a big deal. But oddly 7000 people in the area have lost power. It doesn't make sense to me but maybe tree limbs.

[Jag95]

Tornado warning over around Panama City. I hope we don't see many of those. Stay safe everybody.

[tolakram]

saved radar loop

[tropicwatch]

Tornado warning over around Panama City. I hope we don't see many of those. Stay safe everybody.

About 40miles northeast of PC. south of Blounstown, Fla.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 210042
AF306 0303A CINDY HDOB 14 20170621
003200 2527N 09012W 8430 01494 0002 +185 +155 213027 028 024 000 00
003230 2527N 09010W 8430 01496 0002 +185 +157 211028 029 024 000 00
003300 2527N 09008W 8429 01497 0003 +184 +156 206029 030 024 000 00
003330 2527N 09006W 8429 01497 0003 +187 +156 204032 033 024 000 00
003400 2527N 09004W 8432 01494 0007 +179 +163 199034 035 026 000 00
003430 2527N 09002W 8435 01492 0009 +176 +168 200032 035 027 001 00
003500 2528N 09000W 8434 01499 0010 +185 +160 192038 039 023 002 03
003530 2529N 08959W 8427 01505 0006 +185 +161 190036 037 /// /// 03
003600 2531N 09001W 8437 01489 0004 +186 +154 187035 035 024 000 00
003630 2532N 09002W 8430 01496 0004 +183 +160 188032 034 027 000 00
003700 2533N 09004W 8433 01492 0000 +183 +163 187033 034 027 001 00
003730 2534N 09005W 8429 01495 9999 +186 +158 191032 033 026 000 00
003800 2535N 09007W 8430 01492 9997 +187 +157 188031 032 025 000 00
003830 2537N 09008W 8429 01492 9993 +195 +155 186027 030 025 001 00
003900 2538N 09009W 8429 01490 9992 +193 +157 189027 028 026 001 00
003930 2539N 09011W 8431 01487 9989 +194 +158 189027 028 025 000 00
004000 2541N 09012W 8429 01490 9990 +191 +158 185027 028 024 000 00
004030 2542N 09014W 8430 01486 9989 +191 +159 185026 026 024 000 00
004100 2543N 09015W 8430 01484 9987 +192 +159 185026 028 025 001 00
004130 2544N 09016W 8429 01486 9984 +194 +158 182025 025 026 001 00
$$
;

[BRweather]

I am about 60 miles west of NOLA. True tropical feel here. Even the light rain will soak you.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT12 KNHC 210017
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL032017
A. 20/23:57:30Z
B. 26 deg 03 min N
090 deg 44 min W
C. 850 mb 1399 m
D. 35 kt
E. 048 deg 109 nm
F. 161 deg 46 kt
G. 048 deg 103 nm
H. 997 mb
I. 20 C / 1525 m
J. 20 C / 1525 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 0 nm
P. AF306 0303A CINDY OB 05
MAX FL WIND 46 KT 048 / 103 NM 23:30:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 285 / 3 KT
MAX FL TEMP 21 C 046 / 32 NM FROM FL CNTR
;

[ROCK]

Tweets and images from Ryan Maue
[tw eet]https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/877226773913767937[/tweet]

ECMWF 12z landfalls TS Cindy into Houston ... could be some strong winds ... keep watch on the coast ... 990 mb is minor hurricane pressure

saved image
[i mg]http://i.imgur.com/W7qgD2a.png[/img]

With Cindy being such a large storm wouldn't we need even lower pressure for it to acquire hurricane intensity?

I would think given its gradient we would need at least down in the low 980s to support a hurricane.

I will second that....however I am going to say this because well I have been around a long time here and I have had 6 beers,,, Seen many a storm use the land to tighten up the COC and strengthen,,,something to chew on

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 210052
AF306 0303A CINDY HDOB 15 20170621
004200 2546N 09018W 8431 01483 9984 +194 +157 181026 027 020 000 00
004230 2547N 09019W 8428 01486 9984 +190 +159 181027 027 019 000 00
004300 2548N 09021W 8430 01481 9979 +198 +156 182026 027 019 000 00
004330 2550N 09022W 8429 01481 9977 +200 +156 180025 025 019 000 00
004400 2551N 09023W 8429 01478 9976 +200 +155 176025 025 018 000 00
004430 2552N 09025W 8429 01479 9978 +196 +155 172023 025 019 000 00
004500 2553N 09026W 8430 01478 9978 +194 +155 173020 023 019 001 00
004530 2555N 09028W 8429 01478 9980 +190 +161 172021 021 017 000 00
004600 2556N 09029W 8429 01479 9980 +187 +168 169021 022 017 000 00
004630 2557N 09031W 8429 01476 9979 +185 +169 166021 021 016 000 00
004700 2558N 09032W 8426 01479 9980 +189 +168 165018 020 016 000 00
004730 2559N 09034W 8430 01477 9979 +187 +168 164017 018 014 000 00
004800 2559N 09036W 8429 01477 9979 +187 +166 162016 017 014 000 00
004830 2600N 09038W 8430 01475 9979 +185 +169 163014 015 014 000 00
004900 2600N 09039W 8432 01473 9978 +185 +167 165012 013 015 000 00
004930 2601N 09041W 8429 01476 9977 +185 +162 165011 011 014 000 00
005000 2601N 09043W 8429 01476 9976 +189 +160 157010 011 012 000 03
005030 2601N 09045W 8431 01472 9978 +185 +164 161009 010 014 000 00
005100 2600N 09047W 8431 01476 9978 +187 +161 171006 007 013 000 00
005130 2600N 09049W 8429 01476 9978 +190 +161 174004 005 016 001 00
$$
;

[ROCK]

I suspect with Cindy some EF1 rain wrapped nados...nothing major...

[abajan]

In the Atlantic, when's the last time we've had three named storms by June 20th? (Apologies if this has already been asked and answered, but it's a long thread!)