Central Gulf Blob

[rainydaze]

Hi guys,

No matter what it is: rainmaker blob, td,ts...I was just wonderin' which way should it be moving over the next few days? Are we looking at LA/MS area, North Florida or South Florida? Or is that completely wrong and it's going to continue NW or WNW?

[Derecho]

That's a front. Huge amounts of shear over it as well (largely BECAUSE it's a front.

Whatever tropical system exists or may form is in the Bay of Campeche.

Still a lot of rain, however, connected with it, which will end up affecting Florida.

[JCT777]

Agreed that the BOC blob is the one to watch. Florida it going to get drenched this week for sure!

[bfez1]

Statement from our local met here in New Orleans:

It is becoming evident this afternoon that a broad low is developing in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. I fully expect a storm to form in the next day or two. Winds will increase offshore to near gale force by tomorrow night as the storm intensifies and a cold front moves down from the north.

It certainly looks like we could have an accelerating storm or hurricane toward the central Gulf Coast by Sunday. The westerlies are firmly entrenched over our area, so a sharp east turn toward Alabama or Florida would be likely.

If the storm is slower to move out of the Southwest Gulf of Mexico, then some concern for our area would grow for early next week. Stay tuned!

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

[wxman57]

Statement from our local met here in New Orleans:

It is becoming evident this afternoon that a broad low is developing in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. I fully expect a storm to form in the next day or two. Winds will increase offshore to near gale force by tomorrow night as the storm intensifies and a cold front moves down from the north.

It certainly looks like we could have an accelerating storm or hurricane toward the central Gulf Coast by Sunday. The westerlies are firmly entrenched over our area, so a sharp east turn toward Alabama or Florida would be likely.

If the storm is slower to move out of the Southwest Gulf of Mexico, then some concern for our area would grow for early next week. Stay tuned!

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

David, did you take a look at the 70-80 kt westerly winds forecast (GFS) across the northern half of the Gulf forecast for Thu-Sun? Not exactly prime development winds.