panamatropicwatch wrote:You would think the EPAC would slow down some with all that dry air.
[img]http://tropicwatch.info/dry080520172030.jpg[img]
Dry air in the Epac works differently compared to the dry air in the Atlantic.
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panamatropicwatch wrote:You would think the EPAC would slow down some with all that dry air.
[img]http://tropicwatch.info/dry080520172030.jpg[img]
Kingarabian wrote:Not sure if it's an active MJO pulse or a Kelvin, but it's on the way and traversing through the CPac->EPac.
GFS continues in showing Jova in 10 days + UKMET support (if these models are to be believed).
Euro continues to drop pressures in the same timeframe:
Ntxw wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Not sure if it's an active MJO pulse or a Kelvin, but it's on the way and traversing through the CPac->EPac.
[img]http://i.imgur.com/2crsnRE.gif[img]
GFS continues in showing Jova in 10 days + UKMET support (if these models are to be believed).
Euro continues to drop pressures in the same timeframe:
[img]http://i.imgur.com/Xdf3AJe.png[img]
Ensembles and the globals do show lowering pressures. Just got to see the shear forecast
Ntxw wrote:I'm not seeing a coherent MJO signal. There hasn't been one for awhile. In large part the next lowering of pressures and increase in activity is in accordance with another passing CCKW currently in the CPAC.
This one appears more focused for the EPAC than the recent one which came and went pretty quickly. Whether it amounts to activity is up for debate but that's likely what the models are seeing.
[img]https://preview.ibb.co/cxE5CF/hov.png[/mg]
Kingarabian wrote:Ntxw, wouldn't this graphic from MVentrice point to the MJO being in the EPac?
http://i.imgur.com/E5dXUm9.jpg
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