ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

This is a H-E-B store in Corpus Christi where many articules like water are gone from shelves.

[Cuda17]

Right on the bulls-eye

That's the icing on the cake right there.

[Ivanhater]

Amazing to see this unfold...with the models slow movement and uncertainty. .Texas and the rest of the gulf coast are very uneasy right now

[Alyono]

not sure this ever went stationary.Looks to be moving NW on the goes 16 visible

[jasons2k]

Believe me, we are. It's starting to take off now, and it's not even nighttime yet. I think the stationary/west wobble today will get cancelled-out by the more rapid intensification, and the ultimate track is still pretty much the same.

[Kingarabian]

not sure this ever went stationary.Looks to be moving NW on the goes 16 visible

That's interesting since the Euro was stalling it around this time frame.

[jaguars_22]

So me being in Victoria will most LIKELY be in the worse part of the storm?? The way its looking now?? Could Change

[Kingarabian]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 23 AUG 2017 Time : 184500 UTC
Lat : 21:45:43 N Lon : 92:43:42 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.5 /1001.6mb/ 35.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.5 2.4 2.4

[South Texas Storms]

not sure this ever went stationary.Looks to be moving NW on the goes 16 visible

That's interesting since the Euro was stalling it around this time frame.

I think the quicker this system moves, the more inland it will track into Texas before it begins to track southeast towards the Gulf again.

[Kazmit]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 23 AUG 2017 Time : 184500 UTC
Lat : 21:45:43 N Lon : 92:43:42 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.5 /1001.6mb/ 35.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.5 2.4 2.4

Tropical storm-force winds now. Pressure's down some too. I wonder if it will be upgraded at 5.

[Hurricaneman]

Have to see what recon finds this evening

[hriverajr]

not sure this ever went stationary.Looks to be moving NW on the goes 16 visible

That's interesting since the Euro was stalling it around this time frame.

Go to the following link.. put 200 frames and speed it up.. you can see the NW movement

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-96-1

[xironman]

Is Harvey getting ahead north of the convection?

[xironman]

not sure this ever went stationary.Looks to be moving NW on the goes 16 visible

That's interesting since the Euro was stalling it around this time frame.

Go to the following link.. put 200 frames and speed it up.. you can see the NW movement

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-96-1

Much better done.

[tatertawt24]

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/900423061836447744

TX got really lucky with Bret, weakening from cat 4 and hitting rural country. Hopefully history will repeat itself.

[Hurricaneman]

Is Harvey getting ahead north of the convection?

http://i.imgur.com/GBNoRj2.gif

Looks like a slow movement nw to nnw

[tatertawt24]

Is Harvey getting ahead north of the convection?

The location and the sprawling messiness reminds me a lot of Opal, although the comparisons pretty much end there.

[Kingarabian]

not sure this ever went stationary.Looks to be moving NW on the goes 16 visible

That's interesting since the Euro was stalling it around this time frame.

Go to the following link.. put 200 frames and speed it up.. you can see the NW movement

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-96-1

Thanks, and nice link!

[MississippiWx]

Is Harvey getting ahead north of the convection?

http://i.imgur.com/GBNoRj2.gif

Looks like the beginning of consolidation. It's not as stretched out as before.
NW movement for the next couple of days seems like a good bet. After that is when the fit hits the shan, as they say.

[Nimbus]

Harvey is wrapping a huge band of moisture in currently, which may effect the center location short term.
We should get some good recon tonight with vortex messages giving us a true heading.