ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

How far is the nearest radar?

Brownsville's radar is 300 miles away.

[OntarioEggplant]

I'm guessing national media will latch on to this today. Hopefully no panic

Lol. Everyone might want to gas up before the price of it spikes.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Intenstity take no notice. Those bands are glowing very ominous.

Size of a storm has no reflexion to strength.

[KWT]

NDG, that is rather impressive lining up of where the center is in relation to the convection and its coverage. Think we are going to continue to see some decent pressure drops of pressure.

Current center must be quite tight given the pressure drops already being seen, my guess is hurricane winds will be found in 6-9hrs and a very rapid whip up from that point.

[ScottNAtlanta]

recon vortex says 24 mile circular eye open NW

[WAcyclone]

Where Recon found the COC of Harvey, right in the middle of the CDO.

http://i.imgur.com/G2xEJeU.jpg

Looks like it is a bit to the east of that X:

[NDG]

Where Recon found the COC of Harvey, right in the middle of the CDO.

http://i.imgur.com/G2xEJeU.jpg

Thankfully it's rather a small storm

GFS is persistent that it will grow in size over time through landfall.

[MississippiWx]

Wow. That is the fastest organization of a storm I've seen in a long time. This possibility has always been there...sky is the limit now.

[SouthDadeFish]

I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds hurricane-force winds in the NE quadrant during this upcoming center pass. In my opinion, the most remarkable part about this period of intensification is how quickly the center moved under the convection from its previous heavily sheared look and now an inner core has formed. It goes to show why forecasting TC intensity is so challenging!

[Kazmit]

I did not expect a 60 mph tropical storm when I woke up. This is getting bad quickly.

[NDG]

Where Recon found the COC of Harvey, right in the middle of the CDO.

http://i.imgur.com/G2xEJeU.jpg

Looks like it is a bit to the east of that X:

http://i.imgur.com/bkCB876.jpg

You are right, I went by the wrong longitude coordinates.

[South Texas Storms]

The coldest cloud tops look to be tracking in a more west-northwesterly direction over the past few hours on satellite. This is in line with what the models were indicating after the center got tucked northward into the convective blow up last night.

[JtSmarts]

I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds hurricane-force winds in the NE quadrant during this upcoming center pass. In my opinion, the most remarkable part about this period of intensification is how quickly the center moved under the convection from its previous heavily sheared look and now an inner core has formed. It goes to show why forecasting TC intensity is so challenging!

I've been watching the Corpus Christi broadcasts and some of the mets hadn't even mentioned the possibility of Harvey being more than a strong ts/low level cane. I hope the people are able to get prepared today while they still have some time. Intensity forecast truly remains the achilles heel.

[NDG]

It better start moving WNW to NW pretty soon if the 06z GFS was to be correct.

[tolakram]

1 min SLIDER view, waiting impatiently for sunrise.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_02&x=1109&y=1043&z=1&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[Ntxw]

I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds hurricane-force winds in the NE quadrant during this upcoming center pass. In my opinion, the most remarkable part about this period of intensification is how quickly the center moved under the convection from its previous heavily sheared look and now an inner core has formed. It goes to show why forecasting TC intensity is so challenging!

I've been watching the Corpus Christi broadcasts and some of the mets hadn't even mentioned the possibility of Harvey being more than a strong ts/low level cane. I hope the people are able to get prepared today while they still have some time. Intensity forecast truly remains the achilles heel.

The tone will probably change here in a few hours and people get up and word gets out with the latest information. The warnings have already been up for awhile so hopefully people took them seriously.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Dont need a large system for catastrophic flooding, Don't need more than a TD.
Have seen the flooding effects first hand in NQLD from small TC's. Take a tip
go off the current model precip.

[NDG]

Nice wall that it has developed, at least in the SE quadrant.

[Portastorm]

Dont need a large system for catastrophic flooding, Don't need more than a TD.
Have seen the flooding effects first hand in NQLD from small TC's. Take a tip
go off the current model precip.

Yes! Some of the worst flooding in Texas history has come from tropical depressions or tropical storms: Allison (2001), Charley (1998), and Claudette (1979) as examples.

[ROCK]

Ok what just happened..went to bed and now I am looking at a rapidly developing system woe