ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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EquusStorm
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
On radar it appears the inner eyewall is just about completely gone. The structure will probably improve soon once that cycle totally finishes, unless land interaction causes issues. Otherwise I don't see why it won't jump a little to category three.
Last edited by EquusStorm on Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Checking in from NW Galveston County. Picked up 0.88" of rain this morning from a feeder band. Additional feeder bands approaching the Upper TX Coast. Winds only gusting between 20-25 from the E. A few gusts up to 30MPH being reported. Thankfully the Upper TX Coast has been spared the winds and surge however the flooding potential is off the charts. To top it off some models have Harvey moving back offshore and possibly strengthening along the Upper TX Coast. I will believe it when I see it. I feel for our weather friends along the middle TX Coast.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Dense cloud cover from Harvey here in DFW. Slight breeze from the south east
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
tolakram wrote:16:31z
That is a cat 3 easily now IMHO. Wonder if the NHC recon will find a major this time around. When is recon supposed to be in there?
For reference check out my profile pic, and see the similarities between this storm and Fran at peak intensity.
Last edited by tarheelprogrammer on Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
BYG Jacob wrote:Terrifying thought nobody has mentioned, there's a nuclear power plant in the projected track.
I wouldn't sweat that too much. Turkey Point in South Dade took a direct hit from Andrew and survived. Additionally, St. Lucie took two direct hits within three weeks from Frances and Jeanne in 2004 with no issues. The nuke plants are designed to well withstand sustained Cat 5 winds.
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Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
tarheelprogrammer wrote:tolakram wrote:16:31z
[i mg]http://i.imgur.com/vf7MAeO.png[/img]
That is a cat 3 easily now IMHO. Wonder if the NHC recon will find a major this time around. When is recon supposed to be in there?
Soon.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/#NOAA21809AHARVEY
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
62 kt FL wind off of Corpus? Buckle up guys it is going to be a rough ride.
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Soonercane
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
CryHavoc wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
105 and 950 for me.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
More than a cat 2, and I am calling 125mph and 938 on this pass by recon:
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Soonercane wrote:CryHavoc wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
105 and 950 for me.
Might be a good call. Inner core doesn't look as fierce but overall structure looks improved.
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BYG Jacob
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Soonercane wrote:CryHavoc wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
105 and 950 for me.
Too well organized for that.
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CycloneGuru
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Soonercane wrote:CryHavoc wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
105 and 950 for me.
125 and 938 for me.
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MaineWeatherNut
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Soonercane wrote:CryHavoc wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
105 and 950 for me.
Just wondering what your seeing that you think it's weaker then it was last pass of Recon?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
tarheelprogrammer wrote:More than a cat 2, and I am calling 125mph and 938 on this pass by recon:
Now that is a stunning image. if the NNW section of convection had it's act together that would be a cat 4 storm.
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forecasterjack
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
GOES16 loop looks better and better each frame https://weather.us/satellite/texas/sate ... .html#play
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
16:37z
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Soonercane wrote:CryHavoc wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.
115 and 945 for me.
105 and 950 for me.
It's already under 950 and hasn't weakened..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-mloop-ft.html
Eye looks much more defined in the last frame. I viewed the Funktop loop.
Eye looks much more defined in the last frame. I viewed the Funktop loop.
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