ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
BYG Jacob

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3661 Postby BYG Jacob » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:56 am

Is that a FL gust of 113 I see?

EDIT: nope, 96.
Last edited by BYG Jacob on Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

MrStormX
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 97
Joined: Thu Mar 10, 2011 9:48 pm

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3662 Postby MrStormX » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:57 am

Wind field seems to be expanding based on recon.
2 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146178
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3663 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:58 am

Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1200 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

...12 PM CDT POSITION ESTIMATE...
...SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS HAVE REACHED THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST...

A sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a wind gust to 48 mph (78
km/h) were recently reported at the Bob Hall Pier near Corpus
Christi, Texas.

A sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a wind gust to 58 mph (94
km/h) were recently reported by NOAA buoy 42020, located about 40
miles off the coast of Texas.

NOAA tide gauges near Corpus Christi and Port Aransas indicate
storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 ft is already occurring.


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 96.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11637
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3664 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:58 am

I think that may be it for anymore towers to fire off.

Watching CIN (Convective Cap) overland to see if it breaks down and allows convection to refire.

However, it appears to be turning north and secondary Coriolis effects should kick in which will increase its vorticity and wind magnitude.

It is also moving into a higher troposphere which will stretch its vort column vertically causing it also to spin faster.
2 likes   

jabman98
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 379
Joined: Fri Apr 25, 2003 12:15 pm
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3665 Postby jabman98 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:00 pm

Local TV met (Houston) just said they are now expecting landfall tonight around 8 p.m. I guess it has sped up a bit?
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricane Andrew
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1891
Age: 26
Joined: Sun May 23, 2010 2:53 pm
Location: KS

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3666 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:01 pm

Soonercane wrote:
CryHavoc wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:noaa plane about to pass N to South through the intense part of eyewall. im going to go with below 940 and 120 mph...


This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.

115 and 945 for me.


105 and 950 for me.

115/942
0 likes   

The Enthusiast
NREMT-AEMT, WX nerd

Irene '11, Sandy '12, Irma '17 (SAR)

"Hard to think we were born to live this way..." -Wage War

BYG Jacob

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3667 Postby BYG Jacob » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:01 pm

GCANE wrote:I think that may be it for anymore towers to fire off.

Watching CIN (Convective Cap) overland to see if it breaks down and allows convection to refire.

However, it appears to be turning north and secondary Coriolis effects should kick in which will increase its vorticity and wind magnitude.

It is also moving into a higher troposphere which will stretch its vort column vertically causing it also to spin faster.

What does that mean for the storm?
0 likes   

Langinbang187

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3668 Postby Langinbang187 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:01 pm

CycloneGuru wrote:
Soonercane wrote:
CryHavoc wrote:
This storm has continually looked more impressive than the numbers have borne out.

115 and 945 for me.


105 and 950 for me.


125 and 938 for me.


I'll go with 939 and 110.
Last edited by Langinbang187 on Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

jaxfladude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1249
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:36 pm
Location: Jacksonville, Fla

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3669 Postby jaxfladude » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:01 pm

I want to wish all of those in the path of this hurricane the best and safety....hopefully Harvey will not be as bad as feared, but be prepared if it does as feared... :flag: :double:
2 likes   
Stay safe y'all

dukeblue219
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 538
Joined: Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:52 pm

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3670 Postby dukeblue219 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:01 pm

jabman98 wrote:Local TV met (Houston) just said they are now expecting landfall tonight around 8 p.m. I guess it has sped up a bit?


Did they actually say the eye would make landfall or "tropical storm conditions will begin" at 8pm?
0 likes   

txwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1498
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 2:29 pm

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3671 Postby txwatcher91 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:02 pm

I think they'll find 115 and pressure around 942mb.
0 likes   

CycloneGuru

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3672 Postby CycloneGuru » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:02 pm

highly doubt it drops 100mb....
1 likes   

xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2526
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3673 Postby xironman » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:02 pm

It will find a bottom somewhere

Image
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3674 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:03 pm

CycloneGuru wrote:highly doubt it drops 100mb....


I'm sure it was a typo.
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1795
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3675 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:04 pm

A lot of people don't realize that this will last for days not 12-18 hrs like most hurricanes, that's how you get 40" of rain.
1 likes   

ronyan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 791
Age: 39
Joined: Tue Sep 09, 2008 5:46 pm
Location: Lake Jackson, TX

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3676 Postby ronyan » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:04 pm

tolakram wrote:
CycloneGuru wrote:highly doubt it drops 100mb....


I'm sure it was a typo.


Nah he must have been giving the wind speed in m/s. :lol:
0 likes   

jabman98
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 379
Joined: Fri Apr 25, 2003 12:15 pm
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3677 Postby jabman98 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:04 pm

dukeblue219 wrote:
jabman98 wrote:Local TV met (Houston) just said they are now expecting landfall tonight around 8 p.m. I guess it has sped up a bit?


Did they actually say the eye would make landfall or "tropical storm conditions will begin" at 8pm?

I rewound the TV to check--landfall around 8 to 9 p.m. tonight. I thought tropical storm conditions were already happening in Corpus.
1 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11637
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3678 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:04 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
GCANE wrote:I think that may be it for anymore towers to fire off.

Watching CIN (Convective Cap) overland to see if it breaks down and allows convection to refire.

However, it appears to be turning north and secondary Coriolis effects should kick in which will increase its vorticity and wind magnitude.

It is also moving into a higher troposphere which will stretch its vort column vertically causing it also to spin faster.

What does that mean for the storm?


Likely higher winds, possible increase in a Cat level.
0 likes   

NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1380
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Toronto
Contact:

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3679 Postby NotoSans » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:05 pm

Recon still does not support a major.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3680 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 12:05 pm

recon.. finding so far 115. has not hit east to NE quad yet though.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...


Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests