#5473 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 26, 2017 1:36 pm
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Up to 1800Z August 26, here is what I would have for the BT for Harvey (from initial genesis):
AL092017, HARVEY, xx,
20170817, 1200, , TD, 13.1N, 53.3W, 30, 1008,
20170817, 1800, , TS, 13.0N, 55.0W, 35, 1006,
20170818, 0000, , TS, 13.0N, 56.6W, 40, 1004,
20170818, 0600, , TS, 13.0N, 58.3W, 40, 1004,
20170818, 1200, , TS, 13.1N, 60.2W, 35, 1006,
20170818, 1800, , TS, 13.4N, 62.0W, 35, 1007,
20170819, 0000, , TS, 13.6N, 63.2W, 35, 1006,
20170819, 0600, , TS, 13.7N, 65.0W, 35, 1006,
20170819, 1200, , WV, 13.8N, 67.0W, 30, 1008,
20170819, 1800, , WV, 13.9N, 68.8W, 30, 1009,
20170820, 0000, , WV, 14.1N, 70.8W, 30, 1008,
20170820, 0600, , WV, 14.2N, 72.9W, 25, 1008,
20170820, 1200, , WV, 14.4N, 75.0W, 25, 1008,
20170820, 1800, , WV, 14.7N, 77.0W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 0000, , WV, 15.1N, 78.7W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 0600, , WV, 15.7N, 80.5W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 1200, , WV, 16.4N, 82.5W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 1800, , WV, 17.2N, 84.6W, 25, 1008,
20170822, 0000, , WV, 18.0N, 86.4W, 25, 1009,
20170822, 0600, , WV, 18.7N, 87.9W, 25, 1010,
20170822, 1200, , LO, 19.5N, 88.9W, 25, 1010,
20170822, 1800, , LO, 20.0N, 89.8W, 25, 1010,
20170823, 0000, , LO, 20.6N, 90.5W, 25, 1009,
20170823, 0600, , LO, 20.9N, 91.5W, 25, 1008,
20170823, 1200, , TD, 21.3N, 92.4W, 30, 1006,
20170823, 1800, , TD, 21.5N, 92.6W, 30, 1005,
20170824, 0000, , TS, 22.0N, 92.5W, 35, 1003,
20170824, 0600, , TS, 22.8N, 92.5W, 45, 998,
20170824, 1200, , TS, 23.8N, 92.9W, 60, 985,
20170824, 1800, , HU, 24.4N, 93.6W, 75, 978,
20170825, 0000, , HU, 24.9N, 94.3W, 80, 973,
20170825, 0600, , HU, 25.6N, 95.1W, 90, 965,
20170825, 1200, , HU, 26.4N, 95.9W, 95, 950,
20170825, 1800, , HU, 27.1N, 96.3W, 105, 942,
20170826, 0000, , HU, 27.7N, 96.8W, 115, 939,
20170826, 0245, L, HU, 27.9N, 97.0W, 120, 937, Landfall, at S end of San Jose Island, max wind and min pressure
20170826, 0345, L, HU, 28.0N, 97.1W, 120, 939, Landfall, at Rockport, TX
20170826, 0500, L, HU, 28.2N, 97.1W, 110, 944, Landfall, 4 miles WNW of Holiday Beach, TX
20170826, 0600, , HU, 28.2N, 97.2W, 100, 948,
20170826, 1200, , HU, 28.6N, 97.3W, 65, 978,
20170826, 1800, , TS, 29.0N, 97.5W, 55, 988,
I figured it became a wave a bit sooner than operational, and was slightly stronger at the time of landfall based on the backside winds in the last Recon pass while the RFQ was onshore.
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