ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Tireman4]

Hurrakan Sandy is ok. Just checked in. Staying at work until safe to go home

[ColdFusion]

Water vapor shows dry air now being pulled around and into the gulf. Maybe that will pump the brakes on some of these feeder bands.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-wv.html

Sent from my LG-H872 using Tapatalk

[MGC]

Epic disaster unfolding. Good to see the people of Texas coming to the aid of those less fortunate. Praying for y'all over in Texas.....MGC

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/USCGHeartland/status/901912365402337280



USCG Heartland ✔ @USCGHeartland
#USCG Video: Coast Guard assess the aftermath of damage caused by #HurricaneHarvey during their search and rescue operations.
5:00 PM - Aug 27, 2017

[Crafty1]

I'm still dry. Measured 20" so far, 12" since midnight. Below is the view from my driveway, taken at 11am. Water went down some since then. Nowhere close to getting into the house. Lots of friends around the city have flooded. Just talked to my friend and former co-worker Larry Gregory, president of the Lone Star Flight Museum (grand opening at Ellington this weekend) and his home flooded, along with his 80 year-old mother's home. Museum is dry. Rain may focus on the east side of Houston tonight then quickly shift east of Galveston Bay and move into Beaumont to Lake Charles overnight.

http://wxman57.com/images/Street.JPG

I'm glad your home and you are safe. I have followed you for a while on here and FB.
I was wondering if the storm shifts east and moves into the Beaumont/Lake Charles area should Southeast Louisiana be concerned with flooding? Your opinion is greatly appreciated.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/spann/status/901920822167789568



James Spann ✔ @spann
Damage at the point of landfall on the middle Texas coast... video from Port Aransas South Jetty
5:34 PM - Aug 27, 2017

[Steve]

Water vapor shows dry air now being pulled around and into the gulf. Maybe that will pump the brakes on some of these feeder bands.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-wv.html

Sent from my LG-H872 using Tapatalk

Looks like some lift on the NW side of the circulation on IR. But I think the dry air to the south/southwest will just enhance precipitation to the north and northeast of the center. Also with the trough passing by to the north, it's gotta help wring out precipitation on the northeast side anyway. As to AL's question about transitioning, I don't think it will in the Gulf but it may end up convection-weighted like one with a northern semi-circle and most feeder bands to the east. Like you, I'm real interested to see what happens when it goes back in the Gulf.

[PTPatrick]

Hello all. First time poster - but I've been glued to this forum since Friday. You have been my source of real understanding of the storm. I learned a lot from y'all and also got introduced to Jeff and his time in Rockport Friday night.

I am a resident of Katy TX and I am trying to find out what the next few days hold and the news is more focused on what has happened - which is certainly epic- but not so much of what's to come. We are now getting intense bands of rain again and tornado warnings again. I know this will be the case today and certainly tomorrow. Is The storm really going to head back into the GOM and restrengthen and come back and dump more? Maybe even CAT1 strength? I just can't believe that to be true. We are NW of the city but got close to 18 inches already and I can't even think what more would do to Houston. Can you all give me your thoughts on what you think will happen starting tomorrow?

I can't thank you all enough for your amazing insight. You've helped me help a tremendous amount of people who count on me to make the right decisions that impact their safety.

Welcome to Storm 2K! The HRRR high resolution model did well with last nights rainfall in Houston area. Tonight it redevelops heavy bands again over the Houston metro area. I linked the total rainfall the next 18 hours below. I wouldn't concern myself with CAT 1 redevelopment as thats highly unlikely. The system over water will just continue to pump tons of rainfall to the east of it.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&region=scus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2017082719&fh=17&xpos=0&ypos=420

If there is a silver lining of that HRRR it's that the worst is more of the northern edge of Houston and out toward Beaumont vs downtown and west. If it's correct Galveston county would Catch a break too.

[Aric Dunn]

Its definitely on the move now.. look Se should be just about offshore in about 4 to 6 hours unless it stops again.

If there is still enough convergence in the center we should see convection build as is approaches the coast

[floridasun78]

he we go again WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the coast of Texas from north of Sargent to San Luis Pass.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Port O'Connor to Sargent Texas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Sargent to San Luis Pass Texas

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is occurring in southeastern Texas, and flash flood emergencies are in effect for portions of this area. Please see warnings and other products issued by your local National Weather Service office for additional information on this life-threatening situation.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

[hriverajr]

This looks to be just about off shore. The center that I can pick out looks to be somewhere between Victoria and Port Lavaca

Looks like it's right on top of Victoria

[Aric Dunn]

 https://twitter.com/spann/status/901920822167789568



James Spann ✔ @spann
Damage at the point of landfall on the middle Texas coast... video from Port Aransas South Jetty
5:34 PM - Aug 27, 2017

That is some seriois heavy damage to nesrly every building. Im sure there is a lot more in many other areas.

[BobHarlem]

This looks to be just about off shore. The center that I can pick out looks to be somewhere between Victoria and Port Lavaca

Looks like it's right on top of Victoria

Looks to be over Victoria to me also, look at a long running loop like this one http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?264

[Janie2006]

Welcome to Storm 2K. The biggest, the brightest, the best. Or we're just all nutters here.

We're in hour-by-hour mode now. The amounts of rain and tornadic activity are going to depend feeder bands, Harvey's motion, and changes in the synoptic pattern. For example, a few miles can make a big difference in the local amounts of rain. And that can sometimes change very quickly. Watch. Always watch.

And I loathe autocorrect.

[Aric Dunn]

This looks to be just about off shore. The center that I can pick out looks to be somewhere between Victoria and Port Lavaca

Looks like it's right on top of Victoria

1km visible has ot just east of victoria and moving slowly to the coast

[northjaxpro]

Yes, I agree. that unfortunately that Harvey's center of circulation has resumed back drifting toward the coast. Just a horrible situation and worst possible scenario unfolding.

[Aric Dunn]

Not enouhh returns on radar to see the motion well. 1km visible 50 images works well

[Janie2006]

What's the consensus on Harvey's core structure? That will play a key factor should he indeed spend more time over water.

[meriland29]

That's the million dollar question..

[KBBOCA]

Dallas is preparing to open its Convention Center as a massive shelter for evacuees:

 https://twitter.com/dallasnews/status/901926251186847744




Dallas Morning News‏Verified account @dallasnews

#Breaking: Dallas preparing ‘mega shelter’ at convention center https://interactives.dallasnews.com/201 ... ge/#stream