Aric Dunn wrote:sma10 wrote:1st order of business is to see how much the Euro and HWRF follow the Uk and JMA tonight. At least these two model should show more realistic results after significant land interaction with the islands. Next, will be to see when these shifts south stabilize.
As for GFS .. well, what can you say? It's the model that everyone seems to want to follow, but it's results are too bizarre.
Put it this way - if HWRF and Euro tonight bury themselves south into Cuba (as i expect to happen) what would you believe? The Euro/UK/HWRF/JMA alliance? Or the GFS freakshow?
actually first order of business is getting past the wsw to west motion... a lot of this could change if it just turns wnw now.. or stays WSW.. right now we are just looking at some possible outcomes without any suporrt.. 2 more days..
If it were to keep heading west-southwest or southwest for the next 2 days could this head south of the DR? What are the odds?