ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7183
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5141 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:15 am

msbee wrote:shelters here are limited and full. we have a strong house. we are boarded up.
we can go to our downstairs basement when we need to.
thanks for your concern.

i figured you were in good shape, i saw very solid structures and really impressive wooden hurricane shutters bolted on to buldings when i was in st maarten

what part of the island are you living?
0 likes   

KBBOCA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1559
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5142 Postby KBBOCA » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:16 am

Mark Sudduth is receiving updates from a guy on St Barts.

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/905357718323695616


0 likes   

User avatar
SkeetoBite
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 515
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 8:25 am
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5143 Postby SkeetoBite » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:18 am

Image
0 likes   

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9156
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#5144 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:20 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 060913
AF307 1211A IRMA HDOB 11 20170906
090430 2244N 07343W 3753 08094 0461 -191 -393 125019 019 /// /// 03
090500 2243N 07341W 3753 08091 0460 -191 -387 122018 019 /// /// 03
090530 2242N 07339W 3753 08091 0461 -194 -386 121019 020 /// /// 03
090600 2241N 07337W 3753 08092 0461 -194 -380 121020 020 /// /// 03
090630 2239N 07334W 3753 08093 0462 -195 -371 122020 020 /// /// 03
090700 2238N 07332W 3760 08081 0462 -192 -358 124018 019 /// /// 03
090730 2237N 07330W 3753 08085 0453 -195 -353 122018 018 /// /// 03
090800 2236N 07327W 3753 08085 0452 -195 -341 122018 019 /// /// 03
090830 2235N 07325W 3752 08085 0452 -195 -361 121019 019 /// /// 03
090900 2234N 07322W 3751 08086 0452 -195 -356 119019 019 /// /// 03
090930 2232N 07320W 3753 08085 0456 -196 -346 118018 019 /// /// 03
091000 2231N 07318W 3751 08097 0462 -197 -306 116018 019 /// /// 03
091030 2230N 07315W 3751 08096 0463 -195 -358 113019 019 /// /// 03
091100 2229N 07313W 3753 08095 0463 -195 -328 114019 019 /// /// 03
091130 2228N 07310W 3751 08098 0464 -195 -333 114019 019 /// /// 03
091200 2226N 07308W 3753 08096 0465 -195 -340 111018 019 /// /// 03
091230 2226N 07308W 3753 08096 0464 -194 -344 109017 018 /// /// 03
091300 2224N 07303W 3752 08097 0464 -195 -343 109018 019 /// /// 03
091330 2223N 07300W 3752 08093 0461 -192 -354 107019 020 /// /// 03
091400 2222N 07258W 3753 08091 0460 -195 -339 112019 020 /// /// 03
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5145 Postby msbee » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:21 am

our radio station Laser 101 is live on the air. Oops, they just went off. they are going on and off.
They have an app you can download.
They just talked to our local met office.
we are about to get the worst of it, and they expect the eye to pass over us shortly.
1 likes   
Too many hurricanes to remember

euro6208

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5146 Postby euro6208 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:25 am

Quite an impressive hurricane although it's cloud tops are not to my liking. The eye passing over Barbuda reminded me of Super Typhoon Meranti passing directly over Itbayat in the Northern Philippines and it was alot stronger too.

Image
Image
Last edited by euro6208 on Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5147 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:27 am

bob rulz wrote:5am kept it at 185mph. Has there been any evidence that it still has winds of that strength? I thought the most recent pass didn't find any winds to support that anymore, or am I wrong?


plenty of evidence of at least 155 kts
0 likes   

Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5148 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:28 am

msbee wrote:our radio station Laser 101 is live on the air. Oops, they just went off. they are going on and off.
They have an app you can download.
They just talked to our local met office.
we are about to get the worst of it, and they expect the eye to pass over us shortly.


expect 200mph+ wind gusts
0 likes   

KBBOCA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1559
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5149 Postby KBBOCA » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:28 am

Dave, one of the guys (pro met? not sure) who posts at Storm Carib (and is based in St. Thomas) posted this on Storm Carib's home page last night.

Tuesday, September 5, 2017 22:15PM EDT - Irma the War Goddess

Good evening,

Wow. As this is a family post, I cannot say or exert what I am thinking on a personal side. But, as I shared a few days ago, we ultimately did manifest an annular, circular, evil 185 mph hour high end Cat 5 buzzsaw of a very upset German War Goddess named Irma. (Irmas name germination no pun). I would have rather eaten a cold dish of crow that have been right on this and I will be in the middle of this tomorrow. Ouch.

Hurricane Irma, in 48 hours, has become the second most powerful storm in the Atlantic, at the moment, going from 115 mph 48 hours ago to a 185 mph high end hurricane now. Wow!! Props given!! Now, turn north please!! But until maybeeeeee Florida, not happening.

However, sadly that is not going to happen. In the near term, most of the NE Leeward Islands are screwed, aka Antigua, Anguilla, Barbuda, St. Barths, Statia, St. Maarten/Martin, plus Guadeloupe and Dominica in the short term with Antigua and Barbuda up first. My friends in St. Maarten I just communicated with, please be safe!! You have been through these before, not just as strong. Long term, as in the next few days, our very own US Virgin Islands (which the Weather Channel still cursory mentions) will be ravaged as well. St. Croix will be the unwelcome recipient of hurricane force winds on the northern coast while the islands of St. Thomas and St. John will be beat up with sustained hurricane winds of 95-130 mph. Storm surge is looking at 5-10 feet with offshore seas a wow factor of 20-40ft!! Local folks, this is ugly. You who decide to ride it out on your boats, the ME office already has your cadaver carriers, aka body bags ready which they picked up from our warehouse around noon. A spade is a spade. You are worse than stupid to stay on a boat, even in the mangroves, with a hurricane approaching with winds at 185, accompanying storm surge and a wobbler. Please write your name and SS# on your arm with a sharpie so they may identify you to your next of kin if found.

Hurricane force winds are out about 60 miles. Interesting as they go from 185 mph to 74 mph in just 60 miles, So, we are expected to be only 20 miles from the southern eye about 6:30 tomorrow night here in St. Thomas. Realistically, unless a sharp turn aka hurricane Luis wise happens which does not appear likely the northern islands will be under serious assault from 2-10 pm tomorrow afternoon/night. I'd have almost rathered it made a beeline due west yesterday, minimizing damage and destruction instead of its slowwwwwwwww move WNW.

Bottom line: The islands to our east, your under the gun in just a few hours with apocalyptic almost biblical devastation. Here in the US and BVI's tomorrow, we will see a lesser amount of devastation unless Irma wobbles to the south but huge catastrophe none the less.

I am not discussing the future of Irma as she has many options nearing Florida. What I will say is Puerto Rico, the DR, Turks and Caicos, Bahamas and the Keys are in the crosshairs. Mandatory evacuations for the Keys have been implemented. Irma might go up Fl east coast. She might split hairs and go right up the middle of the peninsula. Or she might enter the Gulf of Mexico, do a "right turn Clyde" and sadly give Tampa what it has been missing all these years. I hope not as I love that area.

Either way, it's gonna suck for the next few days here for all of us in the NE Caribbean. I'm looking at 190-195 soon tying or surpassing hurricane Allen. Blessings, prayers and wisdom to all. If your thinking about staying on a boat during this, please see paragraph 3. I will have a new post tomorrow early as I have no idea when power and internet will cease.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5150 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:32 am

Big prayers for you. Be safe and dry Msbee. :oops: :) :) :)
0 likes   

Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5151 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:34 am

St. Barts in the eye
0 likes   

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5152 Postby SFLcane » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:39 am

Mods please delete double post
Last edited by SFLcane on Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
1 likes   

KBBOCA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1559
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5153 Postby KBBOCA » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:40 am

0 likes   

User avatar
Bizzles
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 472
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:22 am
Location: Columbus, NJ

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5154 Postby Bizzles » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:41 am

http://st-barth.com/livecam3.html

Cam is intermittent but you can watch the last 4 hours as Irma rolls in!
0 likes   
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

DuskMurdock
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 3
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2017 2:52 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5155 Postby DuskMurdock » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:41 am

If it keeps going east is it a Carolina threat or OTS? Is the North Easy coast stilll safe or could they start getting into play?
0 likes   

Chris90
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 646
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:36 pm

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5156 Postby Chris90 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:47 am

Hurrilurker wrote:
bob rulz wrote:5am kept it at 185mph. Has there been any evidence that it still has winds of that strength? I thought the most recent pass didn't find any winds to support that anymore, or am I wrong?

Probably because the pressure is at it's all-time minimum (914), and is perhaps still falling, and still with a favorable environment ahead. When's the next recon scheduled? Seems like it's been a while.


Next recon is already in the air and on their way to the storm.
0 likes   
Solar Aquarian
Lunar Cancerian
:uarrow: Sagittarian

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7183
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5157 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:48 am

you guys want to see a cat 5 coming in http://www.mahobeachcam.com/

this is right by the airport on the beach on st maarten, was there last year, you can stand on the beach and the planes fly right overhead..msbee resides on this island
0 likes   

User avatar
Bizzles
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 472
Age: 39
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:22 am
Location: Columbus, NJ

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5158 Postby Bizzles » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:55 am

jlauderdal wrote:you guys want to see a cat 5 coming in http://www.mahobeachcam.com/

this is right by the airport on the beach on st maarten, was there last year, you can stand on the beach and the planes fly right overhead..msbee resides on this island

I think it fell down?? nvm...was just pointing down...what a mess!
Last edited by Bizzles on Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
flamingosun
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 198
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:51 am
Location: Merritt Island, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5159 Postby flamingosun » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:56 am

I am dead meat. I HAD to trim some shrubbery yesterday evening to get in behind it to put up shutters on one of my windows. Then, this morning, I see this!

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Tuesday, September 5, 2017
Residents Asked to Refrain From Trimming Trees, Vegetation Prior to Irma

BREVARD COUNTY, FL. -- The County's Solid Waste Department is asking residents to refrain from cutting trees or vegetation or doing any major yard work prior to any impact from Hurricane Irma on Brevard County.

Mass cutting places a tremendous burden on the normal solid waste collection process, and collection of this debris a few days prior to landfall of the storm is not guaranteed.

During a Watch or Warning period, do not place materials at the curb or take materials to the landfill or transfer facility. Services may be suspended and facilities may close early to prepare for the storm.

For information on the status of our facilities and collection services, residents should consult the website or monitor local radio and/or television stations for service updates.
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7183
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5160 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:58 am

Bizzles wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:you guys want to see a cat 5 coming in http://www.mahobeachcam.com/

this is right by the airport on the beach on st maarten, was there last year, you can stand on the beach and the planes fly right overhead..msbee resides on this island

I think it fell down?? nvm...was just pointing down...what a mess!
someone is operating it and moving it...that little car had its windshield knocked out and it blew the back hatch wide open,,thsi is the real deal for sure
0 likes   


Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests