pokkeherrie wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:Arsynic wrote:Right now, I'm going to be bullish and pound the table for OTS.
She's going fishing. I'm not an expert, I've just been watching storms long enough to know that when models are shifting east this early, the trend usually keeps going east. In fact, it's probably going to be sunny and a little bit windy for the Carolinas and FL.
But with that said...I already stocked up on hurricane supplies LAST FRIDAY and I booked rooms at two different hotels for Monday-Tuesday and Tuesday-Thursday. Trying to cover all possible scenarios.
TIP: If you reserve a hotel through a third party site and you need to push the days back, you'll have to cancel the rooms and re-book which means that if the great unwashed masses are all booking rooms at this time, you're SOL. So just book multiple rooms for multiple days and then cancel the ones you don't need. Hopefully you don't need any of them.
Is there any science to back up your theory? What makes the models shift further to the east? How far? Remember Irma is over 400 miles wide.
None it looks like. A feeling. Sorry, not good enough with the empirical science gains we have made in the last few hundred of years LOL.
Fully aware this could take an eastern track -- but the other scenario is much more destructive and right now the NHC forecast. It's hard but sometimes we have to trust the experts.
I want to add, too, that with so many lives at stake, I cannot for the life of me, figure out what one gains by telling so many reading here that it's OK to sound the all clear at this point.
You could, literally, be dooming thousands to a very bad fate.
What does one hope to gain in doing this? Is it just the sense of "being right" about something? IDK
. Fourth of six generations living on the FL East Coast since the 50's.
