ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10021 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:07 pm

last 30 t0 45 min looks like its doing a small little loop.. very small.. wobbleing ssw.. could be the turn happenin shortly.


just stepped away for a couple hours and its well on its way. winds will take some time to come back.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10022 Postby weatherwindow » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:09 pm

AdamFirst wrote:
Kazmit wrote:Storm surge already getting bad in Key West. It might be completely underwater by the peak of the storm. Quite a shocking video.
https://www.instagram.com/p/BY1aBjhAKjj/?taken-at=213444877


That doesn't look like Key West to me. I could be wrong though.

That's the North Cuban coast....the photog is listed as KW
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10023 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:09 pm

OK Irma, where'd you hide Florida?


Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10024 Postby Yellowlab » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:10 pm

SoupBone wrote:This is both sad and stupid.

 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/906619121823047680




In about 6 hours I'm afraid there's going to be a lot of people in Key West that are going to regret their decision. They need to pray Irma doesn't go west of them...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10025 Postby Meteorcane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:11 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Thanks FrankP,

on the radar you provided for sure it is moving. Why would the basic Key west radar look as if it's not moving?


I don't know it seems to be moving to me on KBYX... one thing to note is that the lower elevation angles update ~every 2 minutes in the scanning strategy (VCP 212 w/Sails) key west radar so you would need a loop with more frames to adequately judge movement.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10026 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:11 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:last 30 t0 45 min looks like its doing a small little loop.. very small.. wobbleing ssw.. could be the turn happenin shortly.


just stepped away for a couple hours and its well on its way. winds will take some time to come back.


I was using this radar https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes doesn't she look like she's made.....little north turn Aric
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10027 Postby Steve » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:11 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:Place is pretty dead for a hurricane relatively close to Florida :lol:

Good job on preps guys!


I had to run out to Metairie about an hour ago. Lots and lots of FL License Plates driving around greater New Orleans second only to LA licence plates. Very noticeable on the I-10.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10028 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:11 pm

that outer eyewall is going to have to get much stronger to choke of that inner eyewall..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10029 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:13 pm

Yeah does look like a SSW wobble...maybe the turn is about ready to commence

She looks to have put on the brakes
Last edited by gatorcane on Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10030 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:13 pm

In 3 posts posted within minutes of each other, we've had predictions that Irma is making it's turn north, wobbling west, and conducting a loop to the ssw. Never a dull moment!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10031 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:13 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:that outer eyewall is going to have to get much stronger to choke of that inner eyewall..


Might not have it done by the time it hits the keys, but I believe there is plenty of time to do it before it's peninsula landfall.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10032 Postby KBBOCA » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:13 pm

I've been following Miami met John Morales on Twitter since this was looking like a major impact for Miami.

Can anyone give recommendations of the best Twitter accounts / mets to follow for SW FL - Naples, Ft Myers, Tampa...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10033 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:13 pm

lrak wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:last 30 t0 45 min looks like its doing a small little loop.. very small.. wobbleing ssw.. could be the turn happenin shortly.


just stepped away for a couple hours and its well on its way. winds will take some time to come back.


I was using this radar https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes doesn't she look like she's made.....little north turn Aric


thats hard to tell on there. im using GRlevel analyst long loops. looks like its a small loop.. just those normal wobbles. :)
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10034 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:14 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:In 3 posts posted within minutes of each other, we've had predictions that Irma is making it's turn north, wobbling west, and conducting a loop to the ssw. Never a dull moment!


Here's another one then to add to that: Hurricane Irma's average mean motion is exactly on track.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10035 Postby forecasterjack » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:15 pm

Added GOES-16 1 minute imagery to weather.us in case anyone was interested. Create your own custom domain to see closeup of eye: https://weather.us/satellite/812-w-236-n/satellite-superhd-1min.html#play
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10036 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:16 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:In 3 posts posted within minutes of each other, we've had predictions that Irma is making it's turn north, wobbling west, and conducting a loop to the ssw. Never a dull moment!


Well, it's difficult to explain. :)

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10037 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:16 pm

Gotcha Aric!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10038 Postby SNOW_JOKE » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:16 pm

ATCcane wrote:
SNOW_JOKE wrote:NOAA are one Recon-plane down today due to a lightning strike earlier on.

The lightning strike was believed to be minor and hit the front end of the modified C130 aircraft leaving some damage. The aircraft will be grounded for some time to be fixed for the damage, but it is unknown how long.

http://wkrg.com/2017/09/09/lightning-st ... -5-aboard/



NOAA flies P3's. It was an Air Force C130 that was hit by lightning.


Ah I wasn't sure who flies what, looking at FR24 NOAA has their Gulfstream IV in the air at the moment. South of Cuba.
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10039 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:19 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:In 3 posts posted within minutes of each other, we've had predictions that Irma is making it's turn north, wobbling west, and conducting a loop to the ssw. Never a dull moment!
Wobble watching at its finest

Sent from my DL8006 using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10040 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:19 pm

Well all you Floridians will be in my prayer tonight. Be safe everything can be replaced but a life.
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