ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[johngaltfla]

Both models (GFS/Euro) have been consistent with wind gust forecasts for Sarasota County of 130-143 mph after 9 pm. Looks like it is going to be a long night.

[floridahurricaneguy]

I inow we have a few members here who live in Orlando...whats it like down there right now?

I'm a little southwest of Orlando in Celebration. Rain rate is definitely picking up and we had a tornado warning earlier.

A little breezy but nothing crazy. Sounds like worst winds for us will be late this evening.

[Stangfriik]

Tornado warning North Palm coast, flagler and st John counties. Source is nws emergency broadcast along the top of tv screen

[KBBOCA]

A Miami Herald article with a preliminary report from the Keys.

http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather ... 01982.html

Early Sunday morning, as the eye of the massive Hurricane Irma was about to hit Key West, conditions were dire in the Middle Keys city of Marathon.

Larry Kahn, editor of the Keynoter and an editor for FlKeysNews.com, reported from one of Monroe County’s four “refuges of last resort” — a shelter set up at Marathon High School on Sombrero Road, that power was out, there was no running water, and everything outside was submerged by storm surge and rain.

“Everything is underwater. I mean everything,” Kahn said.

To make matters worse, one of the estimated 50 people staying at the shelter died overnight. Kahn said he was told by a Monroe Sheriff’s Office deputy that the man died of natural causes.

“He was staying in one of the classrooms,” Kahn said. “Police came up, along with a couple of nurses who are here, actually, got everyone out of the room and sealed it off.”

With everyone’s food running low, a deputy told Kahn that other deputies were going to go into the school’s cafeteria and raid the kitchen to make sure everyone stayed fed.

“He told me everyone could be in this building for days,” Kahn said. “Everyone here seems to be just walking around in a fog.”

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather ... rylink=cpy


So people stayed on the Keys with no food... Just incredible. I'm sorry for their suffering, but this is just sheer recklessness.

[stormreader]

Chris Marciano‏ @diabaticpv 12m12 minutes ago

Outflow jet strengthening over last hr as #Irma's outflow feeds downstream ridge. Will aid mass evac & allow precip shield to expand over SE

 https://twitter.com/diabaticpv/status/906915978210107392

The stated 130 mph might not tell the whole story. The wind warning says at 115mph on Doppler. Could be understated. Deep reds indicate increasing ferocity as landfall approaches. Gusts in Naples could be hellacious. Will watch for updates this afternoon.

[StormingB81]

I live in Rockledge in Brevard county and just had a wind gust of 53 mph

[KBBOCA]

NWS Key West‏Verified account @NWSKeyWest 2m2 minutes ago

12:37p - Sustained winds still of 60+ mph from Carysfort Reef Light to Islamorada to Pulaski Shoal Light. Gusts of 80+ mph over last hour.

[tolakram]

saved radar loop

winds shifting soon in Naples

[KBBOCA]

Stu Ostro‏Verified account @StuOstro 9m9 minutes ago

Intense band with convergence line well northeast of eyewall #Irma

 https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/906918568390004738

[Nasdaq]

Watch 10+ Quality Live Streams Of #Irma
Google: https://goo.gl/y8osNc
Apple: https://goo.gl/D4bJZ5
On the web: https://livestormchasing.com/map

[jpigott]

Chris Marciano‏ @diabaticpv 12m12 minutes ago

Outflow jet strengthening over last hr as #Irma's outflow feeds downstream ridge. Will aid mass evac & allow precip shield to expand over SE

 https://twitter.com/diabaticpv/status/906915978210107392

Over SE US or SE FL. That RGEM radar model showed a crazy band setting up along coastal SE FL as Irma passed Naples

[O Town]

I inow we have a few members here who live in Orlando...whats it like down there right now?

Light rain, winds picking up a little 16mph now. No heavy feeder bands thus far.

[JPmia]

The reports are coming in all over SE FL.. we're getting hit hard down here by surge, hurricane force wind gusts, and damage reports coming in as well. Nothing catastrophic, but this will make news for sure.

[KBBOCA]

Pray for Naples... this really could be utterly catastrophic....!

Michael Lowry‏Verified account @MichaelRLowry 4m4 minutes ago

Storm tide (storm surge + tide) in Naples bottoming out ~5-6 ft below typical highest tide. Forecast is 10-15 ft *above* highest tide. #Irma

 https://twitter.com/MichaelRLowry/status/906920354421059584

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 101642
AF306 3011A IRMA HDOB 44 20170910
163300 2345N 08327W 6967 03084 9965 +102 +063 314049 050 042 000 03
163330 2346N 08326W 6967 03083 9962 +103 +060 314050 051 041 000 00
163400 2347N 08324W 6967 03083 9958 +105 +058 315052 052 042 000 00
163430 2348N 08323W 6965 03083 9952 +109 +055 312053 053 040 000 03
163500 2350N 08322W 6967 03080 9950 +110 +061 312052 053 041 000 00
163530 2351N 08321W 6970 03076 9947 +110 +066 312050 052 045 000 03
163600 2352N 08319W 6964 03082 9947 +108 +068 316048 050 048 002 00
163630 2353N 08318W 6953 03093 9961 +101 +099 310045 048 054 005 05
163700 2355N 08317W 6981 03056 9957 +099 +065 314049 050 046 000 03
163730 2356N 08316W 6970 03069 9950 +103 +057 315051 051 045 000 00
163800 2357N 08314W 6963 03077 9946 +104 +055 314054 055 043 000 03
163830 2359N 08313W 6967 03069 9940 +107 +059 313054 055 042 000 03
163900 2400N 08312W 6969 03067 9934 +111 +058 312056 057 044 000 03
163930 2401N 08311W 6967 03065 9945 +098 +066 309053 055 045 000 03
164000 2403N 08309W 6969 03061 9945 +096 +070 312052 053 045 000 03
164030 2404N 08308W 6963 03066 9939 +099 +076 313051 052 045 000 03
164100 2405N 08307W 6967 03059 9935 +101 +068 311050 051 047 000 03
164130 2406N 08306W 6965 03060 9932 +102 +069 311051 051 046 000 03
164200 2408N 08304W 6967 03056 9932 +100 +077 310050 052 045 000 03
164230 2409N 08303W 6966 03058 9931 +098 +086 310046 048 044 000 00
$$

[drewschmaltz]

I inow we have a few members here who live in Orlando...whats it like down there right now?

I'm in South West Orlando. The rain has been a steady drizzle and very little wind to speak of. Funny how this stuff works sometimes. I'm sure the cells in the feeders will eventually get to us.

[KBBOCA]

Rick Luettich‏ @RLuettich 1m1 minute ago

Latest surge model from 11am forecast. Water levels still dropping in Naples & Ft. Meyer. Large surge & waves WILL follow when eye passes.



https://twitter.com/RLuettich/status/906922274334429184

[AdamFirst]

Looking like a due northerly motion on radar right now. Marco Island and Everglades City watch out

[doomhaMwx]

Eyewall just off the coast of mainland Florida...

[NDG]

I inow we have a few members here who live in Orlando...whats it like down there right now?

I'm in South West Orlando. The rain has been a steady drizzle and very little wind to speak of. Funny how this stuff works sometimes. I'm sure the cells in the feeders will eventually get to us.

Weather will be going down hill soon, the first true feeder bands approaching Orlando, winds will continue to pick up , worst will be around 11 PM-5 AM.