ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blown Away]

99 MPH gust reported at the St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant within the past hour

Where is your source for that info?

[O Town]

Wow, wind gusts of hurricane force winds here in Orlando already, I didn't see this coming this early, gusts to 100+ mph don't seem that hard to get.

Conditions at: KMCO observed 10 September 2017 22:53 UTC
Temperature: 24.4°C (76°F)
Dewpoint: 24.4°C (76°F) [RH = 100%]
Pressure (altimeter): 29.43 inches Hg (996.7 mb)
[Sea-level pressure: 996.3 mb]
Winds: from the ENE (70 degrees) at 36 MPH (31 knots; 16.1 m/s)
gusting to 79 MPH (69 knots; 35.9 m/s)
Visibility: 1.00 miles (1.61 km)
Ceiling: 2000 feet AGL
Clouds: broken clouds at 2000 feet AGL
overcast cloud deck at 2700 feet AGL
Present Weather: +RA BR (heavy rain, mist)
SOME DATA ABOVE MAY BE INACCURATE!!!
"$" is an indication the sensor requires maintenance

. Me neither. I'm quite surprise and a little concerned. That core of strongest wind could be headed much closer to us than previously thought. NHC Continues to show it hooking left but no sign so far.

Yes pretty crazy here in OTown. Wasn't expecting it this soon either. Still have power thank god, but seen transformers blow across I-4, lights on the highway gone now and a lot of friends power off too. We are on borrowed time I suppose. Winds are relentless, hubby outside manning the sump pump so we don't flood. We are prepared but wasn't thinking it would get bad this soon. Irmas wind field is no joke....

[romeoblade]

 https://twitter.com/JustonStrmRider/status/907035586447507456




Juston Drake‏ @JustonStrmRider 8m8 minutes ago
The most extreme damage was from Sugarloaf Key to Marathon. The massive surge caused significant damage there, along with the winds. #Irma

[Michele B]

Making the trek inland now...intense eastern eyewall currently over LaBelle. Other inland towns in the crosshairs: Arcadia, Wauchula, Lake Placid, Sebring.

Don't see any westerly component of motion.

Those inland locations were part of the Charley 2004 World Tour. They were devastated then.

But folks here are better educated now!

[PTPatrick]

Surge is all about location location location...u gotta get east of the eye. I remember when George's hit MS, Biloxi residents were like what's the bfd? Meanwhile a few miles east in Jackson country we were stuck in the stalled eyewall drowning in the precursor to Katrina. Incedentally I think that storm saved a lot of lives in Jackson county. It taught us all how bad the surge could be just a cat 2...we lost fewer lives in jackson county and largely had similar levels of surge distruction.

Frederics eye went over us and drained those same bayous, but flooded Mobile Bay.

[AdamFirst]

Looks like Irma is feeding off of Lake Okeechobee. Bands generating over the lake and wrapping up into the storm.

[CrazyC83]

Latest steering

Doesn't this seem to follow the official track?

Looks like a due north track there for a while.

[NDG]

People here in Orlando are freaking out, they didn't think the winds were going to be this bad. I told as many people as possible not to believe many of the TV stations that were downplaying this storm early this morning, I told them 80-100 mph wind gusts possible and they thought I was crazy.

[Michele B]

I think it's too early to sound all clear for storm surge for SW Florida coast. Looking at surge graphic from Naples the surge level is staying with the tide level which is decreasing. Speculating that it will still rise to even higher levels later tonight as tide rises once again. Should also have on shore winds for quite some time.

The southern half looks quite ragged now.

We are about to slide into the northern eye wall, and I'm hoping what I see on radar is true. If so, then as soon as the southern eye wall passes, we should be back to manageable winds. If so, I'll sleep sound after about midnight

[decgirl66]

Power out....damn! Titusville, N Brevard County. Lots of tornadoes touching down this afternoon... That's the worst part!

[cjrciadt]

Still plowing N! Will I be in the eye wall in Kissimmee?!?

[abajan]

Unfortunately, the internet is replete with fake news nowadays. In situations like Irma, I know it's tempting to grab any info you can get, but it's really important to shut out the noise, and follow the official sources. I guess most of us on this forum know about the National Hurricane Center site (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/) but some may not be aware of a very useful feature of the National Weather Service site. By simply entering your zip code into the box indicated below, you can get very detailed info pertaining to your area by clicking the links in the highlighted box:



Try your best not to take guys like this one too seriously.

[JarrodB]

Here in St. Augustine, sustsined 51mph gusts to 61mph and a lot of rain. It was flooded earlier today and I havent ventured out to see how it is now, but I imagine the roads still look like a river. High tide is a litylr after midnite and I am certain the surge will be higher. The flooding will be worse since the rain has no where to go.

I am riding the storm out in a very well protected marina but a little concerned tonite or tomorrows high tide could jeopardize the floating dock. The boaters have already anchored it to the adjacent seawall just in case.

The rain is making it miserable, I think I am starting to get cabin fever snd still have 24 hours to go. I am so fortunate to have found this hurricane hole up the San Sebastian river.

[northjaxpro]

Tornado after tornado warning here in Seminole County, Florida. This is nuts!

Will continue. Central to N Fl could be primed for tornadoes later tonight and in the pre dawn hours as the very low pressure hurricane slowly winds down. Interaction with the trough area will probably aid tornado development. Be on alert, because on occasion hurricanes can have serious type tornados. This storm will soon be broken into long and dangerously brutal squall lines filled with twisting storms.

We've already had numerous tornado warnings already issued by the NWS office in Jax from these rain bands moving on shore from the Atlantic especially across St. Johns and Flagler Counties in NE FL. I am not sure that any of these touched down.

[AdvAutoBob]

Power's out here in North Ft Myers.. all our power lines are underground, but supposedly a transformer explosion led to a fire at the substation that supplies our development.
Wind is still a bit much to go out and set up the generator though..

[stormreader]

People here in Orlando are freaking out, they didn't think the winds were going to be this bad. I told as many people as possible not to believe many of the TV stations that were downplaying this storm early this morning, I told them 80-100 mph wind gusts possible and they thought I was crazy.

Too bad. Seems like Orlando took a good punch from Charley in '04. Guess memories are short. I know forecast was for hurricane force winds there. Lots of newcomers, I guess. Experiencing hurricane force different from a scale that says category 1 intensity.

[NFLnut]

Unfortunately, the internet is replete with fake news nowadays. In situations like Irma, I know it's tempting to grab any info you can get, but it's really important to shut out the noise, and follow the official sources. I guess most of us on this forum know about the National Hurricane Center site (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/) but some may not be aware of a very useful feature of the National Weather Service site. By simply entering your zip code into the box indicated below, you can get very detailed info pertaining to your area by clicking the links in the highlighted box:



Try your best not to take guys like this one too seriously.

That's the one I've been using. The local mets have been using old information. This site has been more consistently correct.

[ronjon]

People here in Orlando are freaking out, they didn't think the winds were going to be this bad. I told as many people as possible not to believe many of the TV stations that were downplaying this storm early this morning, I told them 80-100 mph wind gusts possible and they thought I was crazy.

NDG, she's following the UKMET track. Buckle up. We on the west coast breathing easier.

[northjaxpro]

People here in Orlando are freaking out, they didn't think the winds were going to be this bad. I told as many people as possible not to believe many of the TV stations that were downplaying this storm early this morning, I told them 80-100 mph wind gusts possible and they thought I was crazy.

Large storm with an expansive wind field. I.have been getting tropical storm force gusts all day long here at my home and I just registered 57 mph gust just a few moments ago. The night is just beginning and as Irma moves farther north overnight, we ate expected to get gusts in the 80-90 mph range here. Irma still packing plenty a wallop on her way out the next 24 hours.

So far, I have picked up over 8.5 inches of rain since yesterday and looks like easily another 4-6 inches are still.possible as Irma pushed through. Still have power amazingly, although I am wondering how much longer my luck is going to be with this.

[GTStorm]

Tornado after tornado warning here in Seminole County, Florida. This is nuts!

Will continue. Central to N Fl could be primed for tornadoes later tonight and in the pre dawn hours as the very low pressure hurricane slowly winds down. Interaction with the trough area will probably aid tornado development. Be on alert, because on occasion hurricanes can have serious type tornados. This storm will soon be broken into long and dangerously brutal squall lines filled with twisting storms.

We've already had numerous tornado warnings already issued by the NWS office in Jax from these rain bands moving on shore from the Atlantic especially across St. Johns and Flagler Counties in NE FL. I am not sure that any of these touched down.

Hi northjaxpro, enjoy your posts since they are 1) level headed and always seem rooted in good science and 2) somewhat applicable to Savannah...

Very interested in your thoughts...If Irma were to maintain it's northerly track...would NE Florida / SE Georgia benefit more from a weaker storm due to more time over land, or would we suffer more from a closer one?

As it stands now Savannah has been very calm...a few sprinkles, a couple of stiff breezes...